Latest news with #PhilippePapin
Yahoo
12 hours ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center now watching 3 waves in Atlantic. Heat, storms expected Tuesday
The latest maybe-threat in the tropics is currently no threat at all. The National Hurricane Center has been watching a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms in the Atlantic associated with an area of low pressure hundreds of miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles, but the latest July 22 update gives it zero chance of further development. "Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable as the wave moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph, and further development is no longer anticipated," Hurricane Specialist Philippe Papin said in the update. Most of the state can expect to see some rain and thunderstorms today from it, though, along with moisture from the Atlantic, National Weather Service forecasters said. AccuWeather forecasters are watching the low-pressure system as well as an area of the Gulf of America where a slow-moving round of heavy rain and thunderstorms may develop this week, and an area extending from Texas to the Carolina coast with a low chance of tropical development. The NHC is also tracking another tropical wave that just left the coast of Africa, making that three to watch in the Atlantic. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter. Historically, the fourth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season arrives Aug. 15. The last two named storms of the season — Barry and Chantal — developed earlier than normal. Florida heat wave lessening on paper, still feels hot Meanwhile, the oppressive heat across Florida is letting up a bit as the heat dome bringing record temperatures to the South expands across the Central Plains and Midwest, National Weather Service forecasters said. Heat advisories for July 22 have been issued for North Florida, the Panhandle, and North Central Florida, with heat index values expected up to 110-111 with a few spots in the Panhandle facing major heat risks, but the rest of the state is forecast to see temperatures "just" in the high 80s and low 90s and heat index values up to 100-105. ➤Florida burning with heat advisories issued across state Heat index alert: Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida Latest heat advisories: Portions of southeast Alabama, Big Bend and Panhandle Florida, and south central and southwest Georgia from 11 a.m. ET through 7 p.m. Heat index values up to 111 expected. Portions of northeast and northern Florida and southeast Georgia from 11 a.m. to 6 p.m. Heat index values up to 112 possible. Be careful going outside If you have to, and stay hydrated. Here's the latest tropical advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 2:15 a.m. July 22: NOAA Hurricane Center tracks tropical disturbance in Atlantic Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized with a tropical wave located several hundred miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable as the wave moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph, and further development is no longer anticipated. Formation chance through 48 hours: Low, near 0 percent Formation chance through 7 days: Low, near 0 percent Florida weather radar for July 22, 2025 National Weather Service Florida forecast for July 22 : A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 113. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 4 p.m. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 111. North northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. : A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11 a.m., then a slight chance of showers between 11 a.m. and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 109. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. : Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4 p.m., then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 4 p.m. and 5 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5 p.m. High near 89. Heat index values as high as 103. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. : Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. : Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2 p.m. and 4 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 106. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. ➤ How to set up emergency cellphone notifications for flash flood warnings and safety tips ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast What else is happening in the tropics? The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical waves. Tropical wave 1: A new far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 19N from 05N to 18N. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 10N to 12N between the coast of Africa and 22W. Tropical wave 2: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 33W from 05N to 17N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are limited to within 60 nm either side of the southern part of the wave from 08N to 10N. Tropical wave 3: A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 52W from 03N to 17N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 10N to 15N between 52W and 57W. Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable around the wave. 2025 hurricane season so far An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages: Tropical Storm Andrea: formed June 24. Average start date: June 20 Tropical Storm Barry: formed June 29. Average start date: July 17 Tropical Storm Chantal: formed July 5. Average start date: Aug. 3. Next up, Dexter: Average state date: Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. Hurricane names for 2025 season Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea (June 24) Barry (June 29) Chantal (July 5) Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. When is the peak of hurricane season? National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Why does NHC say 'tropical cyclone' on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm? Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Hurricane Center tracks 3 tropical waves. Heat advisories continue
The Herald Scotland
23-06-2025
- Climate
- The Herald Scotland
Hurricane center says storm could form in the Atlantic Ocean
Satellite images showed it has some signs of organization, which could briefly become a tropical depression over the next day or so, according to the center's forecast by Philippe Papin, a hurricane specialist. The forecast gives the system a 40% chance of becoming a depression over the next 48 hours. But by June 24, the system is expected to encounter less favorable conditions that would end its chances of becoming anything more than a depression. The system's forecast to continue moving northeastward at 5 to 10 mph over the open Central Atlantic and poses no threat to land. Long-range seasonal outlooks for the Atlantic hurricane season that started on June 1 call for a busier-than-normal season with more than a dozen named storms. Elsewhere, the long-range outlook from the Climate Prediction Center doesn't indicate any other storm development over the Atlantic hurricane basin, including the Caribbean, before July 8. The Eastern Pacific, which already has seen five named storms since its season began on May 15, remains active. The hurricane center gives a system a couple of hundred miles offshore of Central America a 70% chance of becoming a tropical depression later in the week of June 22, according to Papin's update. Even before it develops into anything further, the system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall over portions of Costa Rica and Nicaragua, then into El Salvador and Guatemala over the next few days. The most recent storm, Hurricane Erick, struck the southern coast of Mexico with 125 mph sustained winds, a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, and monstrous waves. Reuters reported the storm left a trail of damage, including sunken boats and flooding. Regardless of how many storms threaten in the Atlantic this summer, the hurricane center advises that it only takes one to ruin someone's year. The center's director, Michael Brennan, encourages people who live in hurricane-prone areas to be prepared in advance. Dinah Voyles Pulver, a national correspondent for USA TODAY, writes about climate change, violent weather and other news. Reach her at dpulver@ or @dinahvp on Bluesky or X or dinahvp.77 on Signal.
USA Today
23-06-2025
- Climate
- USA Today
National Hurricane Center monitoring system that could develop into season's first storm
More than three weeks into the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center is watching a system with a slim chance of developing into the season's first storm. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low-pressure system about 450 miles east of Bermuda show the potential for becoming a short-lived tropical depression, the hurricane center said at 8 p.m. ET on June 22. Satellite images showed it has some signs of organization, which could briefly become a tropical depression over the next day or so, according to the center's forecast by Philippe Papin, a hurricane specialist. The forecast gives the system a 40% chance of becoming a depression over the next 48 hours. But by June 24, the system is expected to encounter less favorable conditions that would end its chances of becoming anything more than a depression. The system's forecast to continue moving northeastward at 5 to 10 mph over the open Central Atlantic and poses no threat to land. Long-range seasonal outlooks for the Atlantic hurricane season that started on June 1 call for a busier-than-normal season with more than a dozen named storms. Elsewhere, the long-range outlook from the Climate Prediction Center doesn't indicate any other storm development over the Atlantic hurricane basin, including the Caribbean, before July 8. The Eastern Pacific, which already has seen five named storms since its season began on May 15, remains active. The hurricane center gives a system a couple of hundred miles offshore of Central America a 70% chance of becoming a tropical depression later in the week of June 22, according to Papin's update. Even before it develops into anything further, the system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall over portions of Costa Rica and Nicaragua, then into El Salvador and Guatemala over the next few days. The most recent storm, Hurricane Erick, struck the southern coast of Mexico with 125 mph sustained winds, a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, and monstrous waves. Reuters reported the storm left a trail of damage, including sunken boats and flooding. Regardless of how many storms threaten in the Atlantic this summer, the hurricane center advises that it only takes one to ruin someone's year. The center's director, Michael Brennan, encourages people who live in hurricane-prone areas to be prepared in advance. Dinah Voyles Pulver, a national correspondent for USA TODAY, writes about climate change, violent weather and other news. Reach her at dpulver@ or @dinahvp on Bluesky or X or dinahvp.77 on Signal.
