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New Paper
18-07-2025
- Sport
- New Paper
July 19 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
Race 1 (1,000m) (8) WINDSOR SILK and (1) AMAZONIAN would have benefited from their introductory outings and could be competitive with natural improvement likely. The latter showed pace on debut over 1,160m which suggests this shorter trip may be more to her liking. Watch the betting on newcomer (4) PARADISE WAY who will not need to be special to have a say in the outcome. (2) DONDOYAKI finished second over track and trip two starts back, so needs only to produce a similar effort in first-time blinkers to play a leading role. Race 2 (1,400m) (4) DELAWARE RIVER stayed on to finish third over 1,200m, suggesting this extended trip will suit better. Further progress expected after an 11-week break. (3) CONCORDIA ran second over track and trip in her penultimate outing and a repeat of that performance should put her in the frame. Newcomer (2) AMBER'S FATE is worth a market check. (1) AMAZE ME improved to run fourth over 1,000m last time. She can improve further stretching out to this distance. Race 3 (1,400m) (4) JABARI THIMBA was second best on debut over 1,160m and will not need to improve much over this longer trip to go one better. Well-related (6) PALACE ATTACK has also shown enough in two starts over 1,160m to suggest he could fight for victory if improving for the step-up to this trip. Newcomer (1) BIG JOE can be a big threat to the principals while (7) ROYALE JACKET also has earning potential. Race 4 (1,000m) Newcomer (8) TRUE HERO will not need to be special to upstage those rivals. So, any market support for the youngster would speak volumes of his chances on debut. (4) CHILLI MARMALADE, (2) SUMMER SHADE and (1) JET QUERARI have the form and experience to play leading roles. Race 5 (2,400m) (6) ALADDIN'S LAMP has thrived since relocating to the Highveld, winning consecutive recent starts and a further five-point penalty (career-high mark) is unlikely to prevent another bold showing in his hat-trick bid. Course-and-distance specialists (3) TWENTY DRACHMA'S, (2) BREEZE OVER and (7) FETCHING FLYER are proven at this level. They have the experience and form to play leading roles. Race 6 (2,000m) (2) THE ULTIMATE KING races off a career-high mark after consecutive victories but should remain competitive in his bid to complete the hat-trick. (7) ENFLAME fits a similar profile and should make his presence felt too. (1) AMERICAN REBEL has more scope for progress and this extended trip should also unlock further improvement. Veteran (6) BANHA BRIDGE is a capable hard-knocker with the means to get involved. Race 7 (1,600m) (3) LAVA COUNTY relished the step-up in trip when a fast-finishing winner of his maiden over 1,500m and this looks a good opportunity for him to follow up on his handicap debut, especially as this extended distance should unlock further improvement. Best-weighted (10) SHEETS AND GOGGLES and last-start winner (8) ROSY LEMON are females with the form and experience to challenge the youngster. Hard-knocker (5) SPY STORY should not be underestimated. Race 8 (1,800m) (2) DON'T CRY FOR ME was not disgraced in his last two starts in the 3YO Winter Series and even under top weight should acquit himself competitively in these calmer waters. Maturing last-start winner (11) PIONEER SQUARE improved after he was gelded and was a wide-margin winner over this trip last time. He is awkwardly drawn in gate No. 11 but is expected to be competitive under just 53kg on his handicap debut. Fellow last-start winner (3) HAWKBILL shoulders a big weight but ought to remain competitive too. (7) ON TARGET is not to be taken lightly after absences and will not surprise with a forward showing in this line-up. Race 9 (1,400m) (1) OBSIDIAN trounced a subsequent winner over 1,600m on the Inside track six weeks ago and copped the maximum eight-point penalty for that victory. However, he remains open to improvement and it could pay to follow his progress, even over this shorter trip. (8) GIMMEACHOICE should be respected with improvement likely after pleasing reappearances following breaks. In-form (10) SEA SHANTY and promising youngster (12) PALACE PRINCE are not taken lightly either.
New Paper
07-05-2025
- Sport
- New Paper
May 8 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
Race 1 (1,450m) (4) GULF OF AMERICA and (7) JAPANESE GARDEN stayed on well in a winners' race on debut over 1,160m and both would have benefited from that experience. (2) BOLD ACTION and (9) OPERA FAN have the form and experience to play leading roles, too. Watch the betting on well-bred newcomer (3) FAIR PROPOSAL. Race 2 (1,450m) (1) CHRONICLE KING ran second on debut over track and trip behind a subsequent winner. Can go one better with that experience to count on. (8) SCARLETT HEART can be competitive, especially in receipt of a sex allowance. Recently gelded (6) ROYALE JACKET is best judged on his debut performance. Watch the betting on imported youngster (7) TASKMASTER. Race 3 (1,200m) (7) EIGHT HATS will be hard to beat if she takes her place in this. (2) GENOVEFA and (6) RENDEVOUS IN RIO have shown enough to trouble the selection, although well-bred newcomer (10) RACHEL WALL need not be special to also make her presence felt. Race 4 (1,600m) (1) ART NOUVEAU and (3) SHAMOON have the form and experience to play leading roles but are vulnerable to less-exposed rivals. (2) NKWENKWEZI would not be winning out of turn and need not improve much in first-time blinkers to open her account. (9) ETHICAL ran an improved third against males last time and remains open to further progress. (8) REFLECTIVE did not go unnoticed on debut. Has a say. Race 5 (2,000m) (8) KUDZU scored in his only 2,000m appearance and is good value to preserve that 100 per cent record over this distance. (10) TOTAL SURRENDER is weighted to be competitive, especially in first-time blinkers. (5) STAR COIN has a good record over this trip. Keep safe. (9) CLAW, (12) FETCHING FLYER and (13) JORDAN have each-way chances. Race 6 (1,450m) (4) SAIL THE SKY was rewarded for consistency with a last-start success at a higher level. However, it is worth noting that Gavin Lerena gets off that runner to ride (5) CALL ME MASTER. (1) AFTER HOURS and (2) CALIDA have the form and experience at this level to do well. Race 7 (1,450m) (2) NIGHT BOMBER finished behind (6) BOB'S YOUR UNCLE before beating (9) PRESSONREGARDLESS, (8) BIOFARMER and (4) MAX THE MAGICIAN last time. There should be little separating the quintet on the revised weight terms. (12) PLUS FOUR landed a betting coup over this track and trip on his Highveld debut. Another bold showing is on the cards. Race 8 (1,450m) (1) WARNING SOUND fluffed her lines last time in a stronger race but would have benefited from a subsequent 15-week absence. (5) GREGARIOUS fits a similar profile and will likely fight for victory with progress expected. (2) QUANTUM, (3) RATTLE BAG and (7) ANNEWITHAN E have the form and experience to be competitive. Race 9 (1,450m) (2) SATYAGRAHA made it start-to-finish to win over track and trip last time. It should pay to follow his progress. (1) WILLOW EXPRESS is proven at this level and has the means to play a leading role, despite conceding weight to all. Last-start winners (4) KING OF NUMBERS and (9) SUPER AWESOME remain competitive, while unexposed (8) CARS BIG AS BARS is not underestimated.
