Latest news with #TasmanianPolitics
ABC News
19-07-2025
- Politics
- ABC News
Adam Langenberg's head takes a stroll through pre-election history
State political reporter Adam Langenberg explains what happened to lead Tasmania to another election less than a year and a half after the last one.
ABC News
30-06-2025
- Politics
- ABC News
YouGov poll has Labor ahead of Liberals in Tasmania but well short of majority
Early election campaign opinion polling suggests Tasmania is on track for another minority government which could be even further in minority than the previous government. A YouGov poll of 1,287 Tasmanian voters from June 12 to 24 put Labor on 34 per cent of the statewide first preference vote, the Liberals on 31 per cent, independents on 18 per cent and the Greens at 13 per cent. It's one of the first surveys of voting intention to be released during the state election campaign. The result has Labor up 5 per cent from last year's state election, the Liberals down 5.7 per cent, and the Greens relatively steady. The independent vote is 8.4 per cent higher than at the last election, but the poll does not measure support for individual candidates as it was conducted before nominations closed, with respondents indicating support for a generic independent. YouGov's Paul Smith said if the result was replicated at the election, Labor could end up with one or two seats more than the Liberals. "It's early days in this election, but I would see Labor as getting around 14 seats, and the Liberals 12 to 13, and the rest spread across the Greens and independents," he said. Statewide, the difference between the two major parties was less than the poll's 3.4 per cent margin of error. Parties need 18 seats to reach majority in the 35-seat lower house, with seven MPs elected in each of the five electorates under the Hare-Clark voting system. The Liberals have governed with 14 seats since the last election, with confidence and supply agreements in place with crossbenchers, some of whom are progressive. The poll shows the Liberals ahead in Bass and marginally leading in Braddon, the parties polled evenly in Lyons, while Labor has significantly more support in Franklin and Clark. The gap between the parties was similar to an EMRS poll from mid-May, before the election was called, which had Labor on 31 per cent, the Liberals on 29, independents on 17 and the Greens on 14. That poll included the Jacqui Lambie Network (JLN) on 6 per cent, but the party is not running candidates in this election. YouGov also asked voters to rank their top three issues at the election, with 22 per cent listing 'investing more in health' as their number one issue, followed by 14 per cent wanting more public housing. The 'pro' and 'anti' Macquarie Point stadium answers were listed separately, but when combined as a single issue, they reached 21 per cent. This showed 12 per cent of respondents listing opposition to the stadium as their main issue, and 9 per cent listing their support for the stadium. Mr Smith said the poll showed the majority of Tasmanians wanted the parties to focus on other issues. "[They] provide opportunities for parties and candidates to campaign on those issues and win more votes." Polling analyst Kevin Bonham said the figures showed Labor would get one more seat than the Liberals, and possibly two. But he said it was still a wide-open race. "At the time of this poll, it doesn't show a big clamour towards either side," Dr Bonham said. "It doesn't show anyone looking like having an easy path to forming government. "Labor could be five seats short on those numbers, although it might come up a bit when you account for independents being overestimated." The shape of the crossbench will be a critical factor for the next government. The last parliament included three progressive independents, and three JLN MPs, two of whom later sat as independents. All six are running again — two of the former JLN MPs running for the Nationals, and one as an independent. Anti-salmon farm campaigner Peter George is also running as an independent in Franklin. He received 21.7 per cent of the first preference vote in the federal election.
SBS Australia
12-06-2025
- Politics
- SBS Australia
Tasmanians prepare for another state election after 19 July snap poll approved
Tasmanians prepare for another state election after 19 July snap poll approved Published 12 June 2025, 8:40 am Just 16 months after Tasmanians voted in a state election, they are heading back to the polls. Politicians are also back on the campaign trail, a week after Labor and a group of crossbench MPs teamed up to pass a no confidence vote in Premier Jeremy Rockliff's government.
News.com.au
11-06-2025
- Politics
- News.com.au
Tasmanians will go to polls again on July 19 after no confidence motion in Premier Jeremy Rockliff
Tasmanians will face a snap election on July 19 after days of confusion following a no-confidence motion in Premier Jeremy Rockliff succeeded. Governor Barbara Baker granted approval for the election a day after Mr Rockliff made the request in order to end the state's political deadlock. She said she was 'satisfied that there is no real possibility that an alternative government can be formed'. In a statement, released on Wednesday night, the Governor said she would dissolve Parliament and issue the writ for an election on July 19. 'Notwithstanding the recent 2024 election, the public interest in avoiding the cost of another election and the prevailing public mood against holding an election, I have granted Premier Rockliff a dissolution,' Governor Baker said. Mr Rockliff had refused to resign as losing the no-confidence motion 17-18 in order for another Liberal MP to take over as Premier, saying he would seek a snap election to decide the future of the government. Ms Baker on Tuesday said she would take 'the time necessary to give due consideration to all available options'. She met with Labor Opposition Leader Dean Winter on Wednesday, before Mr Rockliff returned for a second meeting just after 6pm. Mr Winter last week moved the motion against Mr Rockliff over the minority Liberal government's handling of the state's troubled economy, following the handing down of the state budget on May 29. The budget forecast net debt was expected to approach $11bn by the end of the decade. Labor also took aim at the bungled handling of the rollout of the new Spirit of Tasmania vessels. Mr Rockliff lost last Thursday's no-confidence motion 17-18 in the lower house of parliament, making his position untenable, with key independents refusing to back his minority government. He held onto the leadership, while Labor's Mr Winter ruled out forming a minority government with the Greens. Mr Rockliff had delayed visiting Government House until Tuesday to ensure parliament passed emergency legislation to ensure public servants would be paid during and after an election.
The Guardian
11-06-2025
- Politics
- The Guardian
Tasmania election: state to head to polls again after governor grants embattled premier's request
Tasmania will hold an early election on 19 July – just 16 months after last going to the polls – after the state's governor agreed to an extraordinary request from the Liberal premier, Jeremy Rockliff. It followed a dramatic week in which the parliament narrowly supported a no confidence motion in Rockliff moved by the Labor leader, Dean Winter, and the state's three main political parties each argued a fresh election could be avoided. Rockliff visited Government House in Hobart on Tuesday night to advise the governor, Barbara Baker, that he believed a new poll was needed. She took 24 hours to consider the state's options, including asking Winter if he could form a government, before inviting Rockliff back and agreeing to his request. It will be the state's fourth election in seven years. The last poll was 23 March 2024. More to come
