Latest news with #sportsbooks
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
2025 NFL betting: 3 over/unders to bet right now
It's that time of year again. The 2025-26 NFL season is approaching, and we can dive into some futures bets. I always look forward to betting NFL futures compared to other sports because the league is historically volatile. Since 1990, an average of 5.85 new teams make the playoffs each season, and win totals typically finish about 2.5 wins off their preseason lines. There is value to be found; it's just a matter of identifying it correctly. The market I always target first for futures betting is season win totals, and there are three main reasons why. First, without getting too deep into the gambling math, these bets take place in a low-hold market. 'Hold' refers to the rake rate the sportsbook makes on a given bet. Awards markets, for example, often have three times the hold of a season win-total market. The same betting angle can often be approached in multiple ways, so finding the lowest-hold option can maximize your edge. Second, there's the availability of 'outs.' The season win-total market is usually reopened weekly with updated odds. This allows bettors to double down, hedge, open a middle or time schedule wrinkles into their strategy. It creates more flexibility within the bet type throughout the season. Finally, these futures tend to pay out the fastest. For instance, if you bet a team over 8.5 wins and a team reaches nine wins by Week 12, the bet is graded, the funds are returned and your balance is freed up to jump on another actionable angle. After scouring the market for NFL win totals, evaluating where different books have priced their lines, where initial movement has occurred and how each team's schedule looks, three bets clearly stood out to me. Here are my three favorite NFL over/unders to bet right now (as always, shop around for the best price): New England Patriots over 8.5 wins (-115 at BetMGM) This was my first NFL futures bet placed this season. The Patriots have the second-easiest schedule in the league based on the combined projected win totals of their opponents. Using the lookahead lines available now, they are currently favored in 11 games. The Patriots bring in head coach Mike Vrabel, who has gone over his win total in four of six seasons as an NFL head coach and who previously helmed a Ryan Tannehill-led team to the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC. Vrabel is a culture-setter, and his teams play physical, high-IQ football and often exceed expectations. Some sportsbooks initially opened this line at 7.5 (-140 to the over, +120 to the under), but it was quickly bet up to 8.5. Since one win is worth approximately 45 cents of vig, the current line at some sportsbooks of 8.5 at +105 is very similar in value and still worth betting. The only truly difficult stretch in the Patriots' schedule begins in Week 12, when three of four games come against the Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens. Set a reminder for Nov. 14 to start evaluating your outs between their Week 11 matchup against the Jets and Week 12 against the Bengals, right before the tough part of the schedule kicks in. New Orleans Saints under 5.5 wins (-145) I think the Saints may be the worst team in the NFL this season and are a full fade. First-year head coach Kellen Moore takes over a team stuck in salary cap hell. The Saints will carry nearly $50 million in 'dead cap' money (funds they cannot use to improve the roster). That's the highest figure in the NFL this season and is typically a strong indicator of an impending rough year. Simply put, this team is bereft of talent and effectively operating with about 20% less spending power than most others. At quarterback, their options are either second-round rookie Tyler Shough or second-year fifth-round pick Spencer Rattler following Derek Carr's abrupt retirement this offseason. The division around them is also getting stronger: Atlanta should improve with Michael Penix Jr., Carolina appears more competent with Bryce Young entering Year 2, and Tampa Bay has proven to be a consistently competitive team. The betting market has already reacted, knocking this win total down a full game from 6.5 to 5.5, but the under is still worth playing for 1 unit. Los Angeles Chargers over 9.5 wins (-110) The Chargers have everything I look for when backing an NFL team on their preseason win total: a great coach and proven winner in Jim Harbaugh, a top-tier quarterback in Justin Herbert — whom film scouts still rank near the top five despite modest stats — and a strong offensive line paired with a reliable running game. The reason Herbert's numbers don't jump off the page is largely because the team has emphasized balance. The Chargers added Najee Harris this offseason, and he's never rushed for fewer than 1,000 yards in a season. He's durable and will now run behind the best offensive line of his career. On top of that, the division is due to regress. The Chiefs survived last season by winning an unsustainable number of one-score games, including both of their matchups against the Chargers. The Chiefs have beaten the Chargers seven straight times, and six of those have been one-score games. Now, looking at the Chargers' schedule, there's a slight wrinkle in the timing of when to bet this line. They open the season at home against Kansas City, where they're already 2.5-point underdogs. Their next three games are at the Raiders, vs. the Broncos, and at the Giants — all games where they'll be favored. I recommend placing a half-unit bet now, then revisiting after Week 1 regardless of the outcome. If the Chargers lose, the win total should remain at 9.5, possibly with plus-money odds. If they win, the number may move to 10.5 or become a heavily juiced over 9.5, both of which I'd still feel comfortable playing.
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
2025 NFL betting: Three over/unders to bet right now
It's that time of year again. The 2025-26 NFL season is approaching, and we can dive into some futures bets. I always look forward to betting NFL futures compared to other sports because the league is historically volatile. Since 1990, an average of 5.85 new teams make the playoffs each season, and win totals typically finish about 2.5 wins off their preseason lines. There is value to be found; it's just a matter of identifying it correctly. The market I always target first for futures betting is season win totals, and there are three main reasons why. First, without getting too deep into the gambling math, these bets take place in a low-hold market. 'Hold' refers to the rake rate the sportsbook makes on a given bet. Awards markets, for example, often have three times the hold of a season win-total market. The same betting angle can often be approached in multiple ways, so finding the lowest-hold option can maximize your edge. Second, there's the availability of 'outs.' The season win-total market is usually reopened weekly with updated odds. This allows bettors to double down, hedge, open a middle or time schedule wrinkles into their strategy. It creates more flexibility within the bet type throughout the season. Finally, these futures tend to pay out the fastest. For instance, if you bet a team over 8.5 wins and a team reaches nine wins by Week 12, the bet is graded, the funds are returned and your balance is freed up to jump on another actionable angle. After scouring the market for NFL win totals, evaluating where different books have priced their lines, where initial movement has occurred and how each team's schedule looks, three bets clearly stood out to me. Here are my three favorite NFL over/unders to bet right now (as always, shop around for the best price): New England Patriots over 8.5 wins (-115 at BetMGM) This was my first NFL futures bet placed this season. The Patriots have the second-easiest schedule in the league based on the combined projected win totals of their opponents. Using the lookahead lines available now, they are currently favored in 11 games. The Patriots bring in head coach Mike Vrabel, who has gone over his win total in four of six seasons as an NFL head coach and who previously helmed a Ryan Tannehill-led team to the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC. Vrabel is a culture-setter, and his teams play physical, high-IQ football and often exceed expectations. Some sportsbooks initially opened this line at 7.5 (-140 to the over, +120 to the under), but it was quickly bet up to 8.5. Since one win is worth approximately 45 cents of vig, the current line at some sportsbooks of 8.5 at +105 is very similar in value and still worth betting. The only truly difficult stretch in the Patriots' schedule begins in Week 12, when three of four games come against the Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens. Set a reminder for Nov. 14 to start evaluating your outs between their Week 11 matchup against the Jets and Week 12 against the Bengals, right before the tough part of the schedule kicks in. New Orleans Saints under 5.5 wins (-145) I think the Saints may be the worst team in the NFL this season and are a full fade. First-year head coach Kellen Moore takes over a team stuck in salary cap hell. The Saints will carry nearly $50 million in 'dead cap' money (funds they cannot use to improve the roster). That's the highest figure in the NFL this season and is typically a strong indicator of an impending rough year. Simply put, this team is bereft of talent and effectively operating with about 20% less spending power than most others. At quarterback, their options are either second-round rookie Tyler Shough or second-year fifth-round pick Spencer Rattler following Derek Carr's abrupt retirement this offseason. The division around them is also getting stronger: Atlanta should improve with Michael Penix Jr., Carolina appears more competent with Bryce Young entering Year 2, and Tampa Bay has proven to be a consistently competitive team. The betting market has already reacted, knocking this win total down a full game from 6.5 to 5.5, but the under is still worth playing for 1 unit. Los Angeles Chargers over 9.5 wins (-110) The Chargers have everything I look for when backing an NFL team on their preseason win total: a great coach and proven winner in Jim Harbaugh, a top-tier quarterback in Justin Herbert — whom film scouts still rank near the top five despite modest stats — and a strong offensive line paired with a reliable running game. The reason Herbert's numbers don't jump off the page is largely because the team has emphasized balance. The Chargers added Najee Harris this offseason, and he's never rushed for fewer than 1,000 yards in a season. He's durable and will now run behind the best offensive line of his career. On top of that, the division is due to regress. The Chiefs survived last season by winning an unsustainable number of one-score games, including both of their matchups against the Chargers. The Chiefs have beaten the Chargers seven straight times, and six of those have been one-score games. Now, looking at the Chargers' schedule, there's a slight wrinkle in the timing of when to bet this line. They open the season at home against Kansas City, where they're already 2.5-point underdogs. Their next three games are at the Raiders, vs. the Broncos, and at the Giants — all games where they'll be favored. I recommend placing a half-unit bet now, then revisiting after Week 1 regardless of the outcome. If the Chargers lose, the win total should remain at 9.5, possibly with plus-money odds. If they win, the number may move to 10.5 or become a heavily juiced over 9.5, both of which I'd still feel comfortable playing.
Geek Vibes Nation
15-05-2025
- Entertainment
- Geek Vibes Nation
How Betting On The Super Bowl Became A Fandom Tradition
Every February, the U.S. comes together for the Super Bowl — a cultural event that goes far beyond football. Whether fans tune in for the game, halftime show, or commercials, the day has become a national tradition. Alongside the food and festivities, betting on the big game has surged in popularity. What began as casual wagers among friends is now a mainstream ritual, fueled by legal sportsbooks and mobile platforms. For millions, placing a bet is as routine as ordering game-day pizza. The Rise of Casual and Competitive Betting In the past, betting on the Superbowl meant choosing between the spread or the over/under total. Today, fans can choose from hundreds of different options, from player props and alternate lines to creative novelty bets — like which color Gatorade will be poured on the winning coach. The accessibility of betting platforms has completely changed the experience. With mobile apps and online tools now widely available, fans no longer need to visit a sportsbook in person. Everything from pregame odds to live in-game betting can be done from a smartphone in real time. This shift has brought in a new audience: casual viewers who want to engage more deeply with the event, and seasoned fans who appreciate the added challenge of making strategic wagers based on team performance, stats, and NFL betting insights. Prop Bets: Where Fandom Meets Fun One of the most unique aspects of Super Bowl betting is the rise of prop bets — or proposition wagers. These allow fans to bet on specific outcomes that often go beyond the final score. Popular Super Bowl props include: First player to score a touchdown, Total passing yards for each quarterback, Length of the national anthem, Outcome of the opening coin toss. These bets are perfect for fans who enjoy the event as entertainment. They combine humor, luck, and strategy — and give everyone a reason to stay tuned until the very end. Prop bets have also become a major part of Super Bowl content across media outlets. From morning shows to YouTube analysts, people are sharing picks and NFL betting predictions in the weeks leading up to kickoff. It's become part of the fun. How Technology Made It a National Trend The rapid growth of mobile sportsbooks has made it easier than ever for fans to participate in Super Bowl betting. No longer limited to seasoned gamblers, today's platforms cater to casual users with simple interfaces, guided bet slips, and clear explanations. Features like: Live odds tracking, Instant bet confirmation, Secure payments and withdrawals, Player-specific markets and parlay builders, have helped normalize betting for mainstream audiences. This level of access has turned the Super Bowl into a true 'betting holiday' — a time when millions of Americans place at least one wager, even if it's just for fun. The Media's Role in Normalizing the Bet As the popularity of sports betting has grown, so has its presence in sports media. Today, it's common to see point spreads and betting analysis discussed during pregame coverage, podcasts, and digital shows. During Super Bowl week, NFL betting news is everywhere. Major networks dedicate entire segments to: Line movement updates, Public betting trends, Injury-related odds changes, Best-value prop bets. This kind of coverage creates excitement and reinforces the idea that betting is part of the broader fan experience. It also invites more participation, even from those who may not follow football year-round. The language of betting is becoming part of the sports conversation. And the Super Bowl is where it all comes together. Community and Competition Go Hand in Hand Another reason Super Bowl betting has become a tradition is the social aspect. Friends, families, and coworkers all get involved — often setting up informal pools, squares contests, or fantasy-style challenges. These games provide a low-stakes way to participate and compete, often with nothing more than bragging rights or small prizes at stake. But the effect is powerful: everyone has a reason to care about the game, even if their favorite team isn't playing. At scale, this sense of community becomes part of the national ritual. Whether it's office banter on Monday morning or group texts during the second quarter, betting adds a shared layer of excitement that brings fans together. It turns every play into a talking point and every game into a group experience. Strategic Wagering Is on the Rise While fun bets are still a big part of Super Bowl day, a growing number of fans are turning to more strategic plays. Using tools like advanced stats, player metrics, and NFL betting predictions, fans can identify value in lesser-known markets. Smart bettors might: Compare passing yard props against defensive rankings, Use weather reports to adjust total score expectations, Look at public money to fade overhyped teams or narratives. This kind of strategic thinking adds another dimension to Super Bowl Sunday. For some, the thrill isn't just about watching — it's about outsmarting the lines. A Tradition That Reflects the Modern Fan The Super Bowl has always been more than just a game. It's a shared experience that brings together sports, entertainment, food, family, and fandom. Adding betting into the mix simply reflects the way fans consume sports today — interactively, socially, and on their own terms. Whether it's a $5 bet on the opening drive or a carefully researched parlay, the act of wagering connects fans more deeply to the event. And that's why betting on the Super Bowl has become a tradition: not because of the outcome, but because of the way it brings people into the moment.
