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Migrant deal will be seen as failure if numbers don't fall

Migrant deal will be seen as failure if numbers don't fall

BBC News7 days ago
Senior government figures believe they are on the cusp of achieving a breakthrough with Emmanuel Macron on a deal that would see France take back at least some of those who have crossed the English Channel on small boats.In return, the UK would take asylum claimants from France who wish to come to the UK and are believed to have a legitimate reason to do so.It's being called a "one-in-one" out deal, although the numbers will be greater than that.But the key word to watch out for, when the deal is announced later, is "deterrent".Sir Keir Starmer has said both he and the French president agree on the need for "a new deterrent to break the business model of the gangs".The big question is the extent to which what is agreed to amounts to that, particularly in the short term.Will it put people off getting in a small boat?The pilot scheme is expected to involve around 50 migrants a week being returned to France, in return for the UK taking the same number of asylum seekers in France who are deemed to have a legitimate case to move to the UK.Critics, including the Conservatives, say this would amount to about 5% of those who are attempting crossing currently, and so would be an inadequate deterrent. The Tories point to the deterrent they planned but never got started - the idea of sending migrants to Rwanda. This scheme was scrapped when Labour won the election.But it is true to say this agreement, albeit limited in scale initially, marks a new moment in Franco British diplomacy on this issue - the willingness of France to take back some of those who embark on the cross Channel journey.The test, in the months and years ahead, can it be scaled up sufficiently to make a noticeable impact on the numbers?Or, to put it more bluntly, do the numbers attempting a crossing start to fall, or not? Because unless they do, the scheme, on this side of the Channel at least, is likely to be seen as a failure.
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Will Nigel Farage's attempt to copy and paste Trump's policies work in the UK?
Will Nigel Farage's attempt to copy and paste Trump's policies work in the UK?

The Guardian

time19 minutes ago

  • The Guardian

Will Nigel Farage's attempt to copy and paste Trump's policies work in the UK?

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Tory ex-ministers defend record as pressure mounts after Afghan data leak
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The Independent

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  • The Independent

Tory ex-ministers defend record as pressure mounts after Afghan data leak

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For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Email * SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our Privacy notice Rachel Reeves will pitch the UK as a 'beacon of stability' when she meets fellow finance ministers in South Africa. The Chancellor is set to meet her counterparts at the G20 in Durban on Thursday and Friday as the Government continues to push for economic growth. As well as talks with finance ministers, the Treasury said Ms Reeves is expected to meet representatives from major South African businesses in Johannesburg, setting out Britain's stall as pro-growth and open to 'elite global talent'. Ahead of the trip, she said: 'In a changing world, I am determined Britain leads by example as a beacon of stability. 'Our plan for change is delivering the strong foundations needed to drive prosperity for working people at home, while we build a more resilient economy that works in our national interest abroad.' The G20 meeting comes at a rocky time for the Chancellor. After growing 0.7% in the first three months of 2025, the economy has since shrunk in the face of global and domestic challenges while inflation hit an 18-month high in June. Meanwhile, global uncertainty persists with the threat of US tariffs and the ongoing impact of the war in Ukraine. Seeking to improve economic ties with the G20, Ms Reeves is expected to talk up the Government's new trade and industrial strategies, along with investment in infrastructure and plans set out on Tuesday to cut regulation for financial services. She said: 'By doubling down on our global strengths in financial services, infrastructure and trade, we're creating the conditions for growth that creates the well-paid jobs and puts more money in people's pockets – even in the face of global headwinds.' Ms Reeves is also expected to express her support for multilateral institutions such as the G20 as the best way of meeting global challenges.

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