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Most Markets Rise, Euro Boosted After EU Strikes US Trade Deal

Most Markets Rise, Euro Boosted After EU Strikes US Trade Deal

Most stock markets rose with the euro Monday after the European Union and United States hammered out the "biggest-ever" deal to avert a potentially damaging trade war.
News of the deal, announced by Donald Trump and European Commission head Ursula von der Leyen on Sunday, followed US agreements last week, including with Japan, and comes ahead of a new round of China-US talks.
Investors were also gearing up for a busy week of data, central bank decisions and earnings from some of the world's biggest companies.
Trump and von der Leyen announced at his golf resort in Scotland that a baseline tariff of 15 percent would be levied on EU exports to the United States.
"We've reached a deal. It's a good deal for everybody. This is probably the biggest deal ever reached in any capacity," Trump said, adding that the levies would apply across the board, including for Europe's crucial automobile sector, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors.
Brussels also agreed to purchase "$750 billion worth of energy" from the United States, as well as make $600 billion in additional investments.
"It's a good deal," von der Leyen said. "It will bring stability. It will bring predictability. That's very important for our businesses on both sides of the Atlantic."
The news boosted the euro, which jumped to $1.1779 from Friday's close of $1.1749.
And equities built on their recent rally, fanned by relief that countries were reaching deals with Washington.
Hong Kong led winners, jumping around one percent, with Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Taipei and Jakarta also up, along with European and US futures.
Tokyo fell for a second day, having soared about five percent on Wednesday and Thursday in reaction to Japan's US deal. Singapore and Seoul were also lower.
The broad gains came after another record day for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wall Street.
"The news flow from both the extension with China and the agreement with the EU is clearly market-friendly, and should put further upside potential into the euro... and should also put renewed upside into EU equities," said Chris Weston at Pepperstone.
Traders are gearing up for a packed week, with a delegation including US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent holding fresh trade talks with a Chinese team headed by Vice Premier He Lifeng in Stockholm.
While both countries in April imposed tariffs on each other's products that reached triple-digit levels, US duties this year have temporarily been lowered to 30 percent and China's countermeasures slashed to 10 percent.
The 90-day truce, instituted after talks in Geneva in May, is set to expire on August 12.
Also on the agenda are earnings from tech titans Amazon, Apple, Meta Microsoft, as well as data on US economic growth and jobs.
The Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting is expected to conclude with officials standing pat on interest rates, though investors are keen to see what their views are on the outlook for the rest of the year in light of Trump's tariffs and recent trade deals.
The Bank of Japan is also forecast to hold off on any big moves on borrowing costs.
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 41,148.07 (break)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 1.0 percent at 25,631.28
Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.3 percent at 3,602.97
Dollar/yen: UP at 147.74 yen from 147.68 yen on Friday
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1755 from $1.1738
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3436 from $1.3431
Euro/pound: UP at 87.48 pence from 87.40 pence
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.5 percent at $65.48 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.5 percent at $68.80 per barrel
New York - Dow: UP 0.5 percent at 44,901.92 (close)
London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 9,120.31 (close)
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Small Firms, Big Trouble: The Quiet Losers of The EU–US Trade Deal
Small Firms, Big Trouble: The Quiet Losers of The EU–US Trade Deal

Int'l Business Times

time29 minutes ago

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Small Firms, Big Trouble: The Quiet Losers of The EU–US Trade Deal

When the U.S. and European Union (EU) announced a major trade deal Sunday, headlines focused on the geopolitical implications, tariff ceilings and diplomatic coordination. But behind the official smiles and celebratory press releases, a quieter story is unfolding—one that involves the small and medium-sized businesses that make up the economic backbone of the EU. These firms, which account for 99 percent of EU non-financial companies and around two-thirds of employment across the bloc, were largely absent from the negotiating table. And now, they are poised to absorb a disproportionate share of the costs from the new agreement. A Flat Tariff, a Heavy Price The deal imposes a flat 15 percent tariff on nearly all EU goods entering the U.S., with few exceptions. As reported by Reuters, high-profile sectors such as aerospace, rare earths and defense manufacturing received carve-outs or zero-duty terms. But most everyday exports—ranging from specialty foods to consumer products—now face a sudden cost increase. According to AP News, both European and American businesses are bracing for price hikes. For large corporations, that cost may be absorbed or passed on. But small firms with limited pricing power and razor-thin margins are far more vulnerable. The View from the Ground: Soap, Cheese and Lost Orders Take, for instance, a small cosmetics exporter in Provence, or a cheesemaker in Normandy. These are the kinds of businesses that rely on modest volumes, strong customer loyalty, and niche positioning. A 15 percent tariff on goods that were previously exported tariff-free is not just a challenge—it can be a market killer. Sophie Leclerc, owner of a mid-sized skin care company, told reporters that the deal leaves her few options. "We can either raise prices and risk losing our American distributors, or we pull out of the U.S. altogether," she said in an interview cited by France 24. "Either way, we lose." Regulatory Complexity Adds to the Burden The new agreement also introduces expanded compliance requirements. Rules of origin provisions, stricter labeling regulations, and dual documentation standards are expected to add significant administrative costs. These burdens are magnified for smaller businesses that lack in-house legal or logistics departments. A recent policy study from the European Parliament warned that non-tariff barriers—not tariffs themselves—represent the greatest obstacle to international expansion for SMEs. The current deal, critics argue, does little to simplify that environment. Asymmetry in Adaptability Large companies with diversified supply chains may be able to adjust production or distribution to reduce exposure to tariffs. For example, a multinational carmaker can shift assembly lines to the United States or route parts through zero-tariff jurisdictions. But small businesses do not have this kind of flexibility. Many operate from a single facility and export directly to clients abroad. According to Euractiv, some small producers are already cutting shipments to the United States and reconsidering their investment in transatlantic partnerships. What Could Have Been Done Differently Economists and SME advocates say the EU missed an opportunity to secure more targeted relief. Proposals that were discussed but ultimately excluded from the final deal included phased tariffs for small-scale exporters, simplified customs procedures for low-volume shipments, and transitional assistance funding for vulnerable sectors. Politico Europe reported that the urgency of reaching a macro-level political accord likely sidelined more granular negotiations. "The politics of diplomacy eclipsed the practicalities of real-world trade," one unnamed EU official told the outlet. Numbers Tell the Story According to Eurostat, small and medium-sized enterprises: Represent 99 percent of EU businesses Employ more than 100 million people Account for roughly 40 percent of EU exports to the United States Before the agreement, the average tariff on EU consumer goods imported to the U.S. was between 1.3 and 2.1 percent. That figure has now jumped to a flat 15 percent across most categories, based on terms outlined by The Guardian. The EU–US trade deal was designed to bring stability and predictability to transatlantic commerce after years of tariff threats and retaliatory measures. But for Europe's small exporters, it brings neither. The agreement may offer political wins and stock market reassurance, but it does so at the expense of thousands of businesses that had no seat at the table—and now face a steeper climb to survive.

North Korea: Kim Jong Un's sister rejects South's overtures – DW – 07/28/2025
North Korea: Kim Jong Un's sister rejects South's overtures – DW – 07/28/2025

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North Korea: Kim Jong Un's sister rejects South's overtures – DW – 07/28/2025

North Korea is not interested in talks with South Korea, Kim Jong Un's powerful younger sister says. Kim Yo Jong says there is "nothing to discuss," despite conciliatory moves from Seoul's new president. Kim Yo Jong, the sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, on Monday dismissed the idea of a reset in relations with Seoul, despite dovish overtures from new South Korean President Lee Jae Myung. In the North's first official comments on Lee's administration, Kim criticized what she described as Seoul's "blind trust" in its alliance with Washington. Since coming to power in June, South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has broken with the hawkish approach of his predecessor to North Korea, ending loudspeaker propaganda broadcasts along the border. Seoul had started playing out loud political messages in response to North Korea flying trash-filled balloons across the frontier. The balloons were said to carry with them waste ranging from household garbage and cigarette butts to fertilizer, batteries, and parasite-contaminated soil. North Korea responded with its own cross-border broadcasts of unpleasant noises, such as sirens and scraping metal, into the South. President Lee has said he would seek talks with the North without preconditions after relations plummeted to their worst level in years under his conservative predecessor. In a message in English carried by the North's official Korean Central News Agency on Monday, Kim said the South should not expect any thawing of relations. "If the ROK [Republic of Korea]... expects to reverse all the consequences of (its actions) with a few sentimental words, there could be no greater miscalculation than that," she said, using the official name for South Korea. "We clarify once again the official stand that no matter what policy is adopted and whatever proposal is made in Seoul, we have no interest in it and there is neither [any] reason to meet nor [any] issue to be discussed with the ROK," she added. As well as stopping the loudspeaker broadcasts, the South has tried to ban civilian activists from flying balloons with propaganda leaflets across the border. It has also repatriated six North Koreans who had drifted south in wooden fishing boats months earlier. The individuals had expressed a wish to return to the North. While Kim Yo Jong called such steps "sincere efforts" by Lee's government, she added that it would not ultimately by different from its predecessors. She cited the South's "blind trust" in its military alliance with the US and its attempt to "stand in confrontation" with North Korea. To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video Kim also mentioned upcoming South Korea-US military exercises, which Pyongyang views as a rehearsal for invasion. Kim Yo Jong is seen as her brother's closest confidante and has played a key role in shaping his public image and in policy decisions. North Korea has continued rejecting dialogue with South Korea and the US, focusing instead on strengthening its nuclear weapons program since Kim Jong Un's diplomacy with Donald Trump collapsed in 2019 over sanctions disputes during the US president's first term in office. In response to Pyongyang's rejection of Lee's efforts, Seoul said it "reaffirms the high level of mistrust between the two due to years of hostile policies." "We take this as a sign that the North is closely monitoring the Lee administration's North Korea policy," South Korean Unification Ministry spokesman Koo Byung-sam told a press briefing. Trump, who began his second term in January, has frequently highlighted his personal rapport with Kim and said he is open to resuming negotiations. So far, North Korea has not responded publicly. Kim notably ordered the removal of peaceful unification as a constitutional goal in early 2024, labeling South Korea an "invariable principal enemy." The move was viewed as a historic break from past leaders' long-held aim of a unified Korea — albeit on the North's terms. The two Koreas technically remain at war, as the 1950–53 Korean War ended with an armistice rather than a peace treaty.

What we know so far about the EU-US trade deal
What we know so far about the EU-US trade deal

Local Germany

time2 hours ago

  • Local Germany

What we know so far about the EU-US trade deal

The stakes were high with a looming August 1st deadline and $1.9 trillion transatlantic trading relationship on the line. Many European businesses will breathe a sigh of relief after the leaders agreed the 27-country bloc will face a baseline levy of 15 percent instead of a threatened 30 percent -- but the deal will not satisfy everyone. Here is what we know so far: What did the EU-US agree? Both sides confirmed there will be a 15-percent across-the-board rate on a majority of EU goods -- the same level secured by Japan this month -- with bilateral tariff exemptions on some products. The deal will bring relief for the bloc's auto sector, employing around 13 million people -- and hit by Trump with 25-percent tariffs, on top of a pre-existing 2.5 percent. "Obviously, it is good news for the car industry. So Germany will be happy. And all the EU members with auto supply chains, they go from 27.5 to 15 percent," said Jacob Funk Kirkegaard of the Peterson Institute For International Economics. A 15-percent levy will remain "costly" for German automakers, "but it is manageable", said trade geopolitics expert Elvire Fabry at the Jacques Delors Institute. While 15 percent is much higher than pre-existing US tariffs on European goods -- averaging 4.8 percent -- it mirrors the status quo, with companies currently facing an additional flat rate of 10 percent imposed by Trump since April. Advertisement The EU also committed to buy $750 billion of liquefied natural gas, oil and nuclear fuels from the United States -- split equally over three years -- to replace Russian energy sources. And it will pour $600 billion more in additional investments in the United States. Trump said EU countries -- which recently pledged to ramp up their defence spending within NATO -- would be purchasing "hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of military equipment". Are there exemptions? Von der Leyen said the 15-percent rate applied across most sectors, including semiconductors and pharmaceuticals -- a critical export for Ireland, which the bloc has sought to protect. Trump in April launched probes that could lead to significantly steeper tariffs on the two key sectors, warning this month he could slap 200-percent levies on drugs. Brussels and Washington agreed a bilateral tariff exemption for key goods including aircraft, certain chemicals, semiconductor equipment, certain agricultural products and critical raw materials, von der Leyen said. The EU currently faces 50-percent tariffs on its steel exports to the United States, but von der Leyen said a compromise on the metal had been reached with Trump. Advertisement "Between us, tariffs will be cut and a quota system will be put in place," she said. It is understood that European steel would be hit with 50-percent levies only after a certain amount of the metal arrived in the United States, but no details were initially provided on the mechanism. What happens next? The deal needs to be approved by EU member states, whose ambassadors will meet first thing Monday morning for a debrief from the European Commission. And there are still technical talks to come, since the agreement needs to be fully fleshed out. Von der Leyen described the deal as a "framework" agreement. "Details have to be sorted out, and that will happen over the next weeks," she said. In particular, she said there has yet to be a final decision on alcohol, critical since France and The Netherlands have been pushing for carve-outs for wine and beer respectively. "This is something which has to be sorted out in the next days," von der Leyen said.

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