
♋ Cancer Daily Horoscope for June 25, 2025
The New Moon in Cancer energizes your heart space, encouraging both reflection and emotional honesty. Share your feelings today—whether with a partner or close friend—as your vulnerability strengthens bonds. Being open brings trust and deeper emotional connection.
Career & Ambitions
You're in a prime position to set fresh goals. Thanks to the Cancer–Mars sextile, intuition and practical action align in your favor. If you've been mulling a work project or big professional shift, today gives you the clarity to plan it out and make steady progress.
Finance & Money
March with emotional insight is smart. A gut feeling about budgeting or investing could guide you right. The New Moon in your sign gives you a fresh financial lens—review old patterns and outline what you want next from your money .
Health & Well‑being
'Rest is not a weakness' is your mantra for the day. If you feel depleted, take it in stride. You gain strength from quiet self-care: a soothing bath, a nature walk, or quality downtime. This supports emotional resilience.
Extra Insight
This one-time New Moon is a reset point. It's your annual chance to plant intentions around home, family, and personal growth. Use calm reflection now, and the steps you take today will shape your year.
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Zawya
39 minutes ago
- Zawya
Gold and its miners may enjoy a 'critical mineral' upgrade: Russell
(The views expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.) LAUNCESTON, Australia - Is gold the next metal to be added to the list of "critical minerals"? Gold is not a vital component of advanced manufacturing like other critical minerals such as rare earths, lithium and copper. But the precious metal appears to be undergoing a subtle shift in how it is viewed by governments and investors. Since countries moved away from the gold standard by the early 1970s, gold has largely been viewed as a relatively niche part of investment portfolios and government reserves. Gold was something that was added to portfolios as an inflation hedge or during times of heightened geopolitical tensions. In some ways, the role of gold in both central bank and investment portfolios was overtaken by bonds, with U.S. Treasuries becoming the most important of these assets. But the return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency is leading to a global reassessment of the relative safety of U.S. assets, the independence of the Federal Reserve and the likely worsening of the U.S. fiscal position. Add in Trump's attacks on the rule of law in the United States and the likely hit to both the U.S. and global economies from his trade policies, and the stage is set for a reevaluation of the role of gold. The precious metal has gained 32.3% from a low of $2,536.71 an ounce hit on November 14 in the days after Trump's victory over his Democratic Party rival, former Vice President Kamala Harris. It reached a record high of $3,500.05 an ounce on April 22, and has since retreated slightly to close at $3,357.08 on Wednesday. While gold's day-to-day moves are still largely driven by the news cycle, the overall backdrop looks supportive. The World Gold Council released a report last month in which it surveyed 73 central banks, and 95% of them expected the official sector to increase holdings in the coming 12 months. "This is a record high since it was first tracked in the 2019 survey and represents a 17% increase from the 2024 findings," the council said. Central banks are also moving to repatriate more of their holdings back to their home countries and away from the United States, a further sign that there is a loss of confidence in U.S. assets and the policies of the Trump administration. Gold is also well-placed as one of the few viable alternatives if more governments, fund managers and private investors outside the United States form the view that the era of U.S. exceptionalism is over and that U.S. Treasuries are now a riskier asset as the country's fiscal position deteriorates. MINING COMPANIES Another factor that is showing the positive story for gold is the performance of gold mining equities. Major gold producers have seen their share prices rise at a far faster pace than the actual metal. There are several reasons why this could be the case, including the expectation that shareholders will receive higher dividend payouts in the future and that companies are being rewarded for showing capital discipline in prior years. But it also may be that investors are starting to re-rate gold mining companies in the expectation that gold becomes a more vital and larger part of portfolios, both public and private. For example, shares in Newmont, the world's largest listed gold miner, have risen 63% from their most recent low on December 30 to close at $60.06 on Wednesday. Canada's Barrick Mining has seen its shares gain 40.6% in U.S. dollar terms from its recent low on December 19 to the close on Wednesday. Anglogold Ashanti shares in New York have surged 108% from the low on December 30 to the close of $46.66 on Wednesday, while Gold Fields has seen a gain of 88% in U.S. dollar terms from its November 14 low to the close on Wednesday. If gold does become a more central part of investment strategies, the listed miners are likely to become more attractive, given the difficulty of finding and developing new projects and the long time between exploration and production. Enjoying this column? Check out Reuters Open Interest (ROI), your essential new source for global financial commentary. ROI delivers thought-provoking, data-driven analysis of everything from swap rates to soybeans. Markets are moving faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. The views expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters. (Editing by Jamie Freed)


Zawya
an hour ago
- Zawya
Why are bond vigilantes holding back their fire?: Panizza and Gulati
(The opinions expressed here are those of the authors, professors at the Geneva Institute and the University of Virginia.) A core tenet of sovereign debt investment is that strong institutions keep down a country's borrowing costs and vice versa. So then why has the bond market's response to U.S. President Donald Trump's institutional norm-busting been so tame? Sovereign borrowers are hard to sue and harder still to enforce claims against. And because they are sovereign, they can do things that private companies can't, like pass laws and inflate their currencies. Investors, and particularly foreign investors, therefore, should naturally be wary of lending to sovereigns. And yet, in many cases, they do. For example, roughly a third of U.S. Treasuries were held in foreign hands as of March. Why take the risk? The answer given by academic theory is that investors typically lend to sovereign borrowers when the country has institutions in place to protect against the threat of expropriation. Conversely, if a country's institutions are weak, or weakening, creditors will significantly increase the sovereign's borrowing costs to compensate for the rising risk. The classic academic article on this topic was written by Douglas North and Barry Weingast in 1989. It considered the issue by examining constitutional arrangements in 17th century England. The country was able to borrow significantly more, they argued, after putting in place effective institutions intended to assure investors that parliament could, and would, check the monarch's temptation to expropriate. And that, in turn, helped England become a global superpower, North and Weingast said. A large literature has subsequently been built on this paper. Scholars have hypothesized - and shown - that having institutions that can constrain an overreaching sovereign, such as a strong and independent judiciary, central bank and press, do indeed help keep down borrowing costs. That is why the countries that carry the biggest risk premia in debt markets, such as Belarus, Lebanon, and Sudan, are far from models of institutional stability. TRUMP PREMIUM? So what about the United States? Since January, Donald Trump's administration has challenged many domestic institutional norms long considered key constraining mechanisms on the executive. This has included confrontations with judges, legislators, the central bank, bureaucrats, academics, protesters, law firms and even provisions of the U.S. Constitution itself. And then there are the numerous international agreements the administration has backed out of or undermined, including the Paris Agreement on climate change and the World Health Organization. Moreover, the announcement of broad-based 'reciprocal tariffs' challenges the foundation of the modern trade system as regulated by the World Trade Organization. Put all of the foregoing together, and we would have expected to see a significant move upward in U.S. Treasury yields. But that hasn't happened. There have certainly been some signs of discontent among bond investors, including after Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement and following his musings that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's termination 'cannot come fast enough.' In both cases, the bond market moves were notable but not earth-shattering. They did appear to have the desired effect, as the administration responded by either softening its language or postponing controversial policies, and these pivots led to market recoveries. But given the stakes, jumps of less than 75 basis points in the 10-year Treasury yield seem rather contained. It's also true that the term premium on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note – a measure of compensation investors demand for holding longer-dated U.S. government debt – hit a 10-year high in May, though that's far from elevated by historical standards. BOND VIGILANTES? Why are the infamous bond vigilantes holding back? There are several possible explanations. First, the theory about the link between institutional strength and borrowing costs could be wrong. Things like the rule of law and central bank independence are nice to have, but, ultimately, bondholders care about one thing: getting paid. And the risk of a U.S. default remains low. While investors have been getting antsy about the potential for Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill to add around $3.3 trillion to the deficit over the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office, the dollar remains the world's reserve currency, so the U.S. has more room for fiscal profligacy than most. Indeed, U.S. Treasuries' long-held role as the global risk-free asset may be why yield spikes have been contained. The $28 trillion U.S. Treasury market remains a key pillar of the global financial architecture, and there is no ready substitute with the same size, liquidity and depth. So it's understandable why investors are loath to flee. No one wants to pull the alarm if there is a significant risk that doing so will cause a part of the building to fall on one's head. But 'too big to fail' is a short-run story. If the current global risk-free asset isn't living up to its name, substitutes will emerge. In fact, there is already talk of increased debt issuance in Europe offering investors a risk-free alternative. Moreover, today's bond market indifference may encourage the Trump administration to continue pursuing policies that challenge U.S. institutions and, in turn, undermine long-run growth and weaken the global rules-based economic system it once led. And if that occurs, North and Weingast's theory could yet play out, and the cost of U.S. borrowing could rise meaningfully. As economist Rudiger Dornbush famously said, 'In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and they happen faster than you think they could.' (The views expressed here are those of Ugo Panizza and Mitu Gulati, professors at the Geneva Institute (International Economics) and the University of Virginia (Law). These are their views and not those of their institutions). Enjoying this column? Check out Reuters Open Interest (ROI), your essential new source for global financial commentary. ROI delivers thought-provoking, data-driven analysis of everything from swap rates to soybeans. Markets are moving faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. (Writing by Ugo Panizza and Mitu Gulati; Editing by Anna Szymanski and Christian Schmollinger)


Zawya
2 hours ago
- Zawya
House Republicans say they expect to vote tonight on Trump's tax-cut bill
WASHINGTON: Republicans in the House of Representatives on Wednesday struggled to pass President Donald Trump's massive tax-cut and spending bill as a handful of hardliners withheld their support over concerns about its cost. As lawmakers shuttled in and out of closed-door meetings, House Speaker Mike Johnson said he was trying to convince the holdouts to back Trump's signature bill, telling reporters, "We're planning on a vote today." With a narrow 220-212 majority, Johnson can afford no more than three defections from his ranks, and skeptics from the party's right flank said they had more than enough votes to block the bill. 'He knows I'm a 'no.' He knows that I don't believe there are the votes to pass this rule the way it is,' Republican Representative Andy Harris of Maryland, leader of the hardline Freedom Caucus, told reporters. Trump, who is pressing lawmakers to get him the bill to sign into law by the July 4 Independence Day holiday, met with some of the dissenters at the White House. But with the outcome uncertain, Republican leaders delayed a procedural vote for hours as they worked to shore up support. The Senate passed the legislation, which nonpartisan analysts say will add $3.4 trillion to the nation's $36.2 trillion in debt over the next decade, by the narrowest possible margin on Tuesday after intense debate on the bill's hefty price tag and $900 million in cuts to the Medicaid healthcare program for low-income Americans. Representative Lisa McClain, who chairs the House Republican Conference, told Reuters she expected her colleagues to work through procedural votes and bring the bill to a vote before the full House on Wednesday night. 'I think we'll put it on the floor tonight. It may be 10 or 11 o'clock," McClain said. Democrats are united in opposition to the bill, saying that its tax breaks disproportionately benefit the wealthy while cutting services that lower- and middle-income Americans rely on. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that almost 12 million people could lose health insurance as a result of the bill. "This bill is catastrophic. It is not policy, it is punishment," Democratic Representative Jim McGovern said in debate on the House floor. TRUMP EFFECT Republicans in Congress have struggled to stay united in recent years, but they also have not defied Trump since he returned to the White House in January. Representative Chip Roy of Texas was leading three holdouts who have raised concerns about increasing the deficit and high levels of spending. Asked why he expects the bill to pass, Republican Representative Derrick Van Orden told reporters: 'Because 77 million Americans voted for Donald Trump, not Chip Roy. That's why.' Any changes made by the House would require another Senate vote, which would make it all but impossible to meet the July 4 deadline. The legislation contains most of Trump's top domestic priorities, from tax cuts to immigration enforcement. The bill would extend Trump's 2017 tax cuts, cut health and food safety net programs, fund Trump's immigration crackdown, and zero out many green-energy incentives. It also includes a $5 trillion increase in the nation's debt ceiling, which lawmakers must address in the coming months or risk a devastating default. The Medicaid cuts have also raised concerns among some Republicans, prompting the Senate to set aside more money for rural hospitals. (Reporting by Bo Erickson, Richard Cowan, David Morgan; Writing by Andy Sullivan; Editing by Scott Malone, Cynthia Osterman, Mark Porter and Chizu Nomiyama)