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'Shadow' Fed chief would not influence policy debate, Goolsbee tells CNBC

'Shadow' Fed chief would not influence policy debate, Goolsbee tells CNBC

Reuters26-06-2025
WASHINGTON, June 26 (Reuters) - Any move by U.S. President Donald Trump to name a replacement for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell would have no influence on monetary policy while the nominee awaited confirmation, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said on Thursday.
"That would have no effect," Goolsbee told CNBC's "Squawk Box" program, referring to the possibility Trump may name an early nominee to replace the current U.S. central bank chief when his term ends in 11 months in hopes of influencing interest rates in the meantime. "We have a chair of the (Federal Open Market Committee) ... That's Jay Powell. What somebody who is not the chair thinks about monetary policy - they can have whatever opinion they want. We have to go every six weeks and have votes."
Trump has become increasingly pointed in calling for the Fed to cut rates, even as most of its policymakers feel the central bank is sidelined until the administration makes final decisions on what level of tariffs it plans to impose, and they can study the impact of those rising import taxes on inflation.
In hearings before Congress this week, Powell reiterated that the Fed is prepared to cut rates if the tariffs have no effect on inflation, but that economists broadly anticipate the steep levies imposed so far and still in the offing will raise prices over the course of the year.
The effect on inflation "could be large or small. It is just something you want to approach carefully. If we make a mistake people will pay the cost for a long time," Powell said.
Since the Fed held rates steady at its meeting last week, several central bank officials have said they agree it is best to wait on rate cuts; Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman and Fed Governor Christopher Waller, both Trump appointees, have said rates could be cut as soon as the July 29-30 meeting, given recent moderate inflation readings.
Waller was mentioned in a recent Wall Street Journal article as a possible replacement for Powell, with the added benefit to Trump that he already has a vote on policy and relationships among his colleagues built since joining the Fed's Board of Governors in January 2020.
Other possible nominees mentioned by the media include former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, who has close ties to the Trump organization and was almost named central bank chief in the president's first term in the White House, as well as Kevin Hassett, who is the director of the White House's National Economic Council, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
The debate is playing out amid both ambiguous data and increased political focus on Powell.
Recent inflation readings have been better than expected, but many companies insist prices will rise. The unemployment rate remains low. But data released on Thursday showed the overall economy shrank more than initially estimated in the first quarter after consumer spending was revised lower, weakening a key economic prop cited by policymakers who feel there is little risk in delaying rate cuts.
Meanwhile, the dollar has dropped amid talk of the "shadow" Fed chief idea and the possible implications for U.S. central bank independence.
"Trump's desire to 'shadow' the Fed using a designated replacement for Chair Jay Powell isn't a good way to promote the perceptions of integrity and autonomy in U.S. policymaking and, by extension, that of the reserve currency status of the USD (U.S. dollar)," said Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie Group. "Some of this narrative is seeping into perceptions of the USD and contributing to its sell-off this week."
Trump recently said he would name Powell's replacement "soon." Speaking at a NATO summit in Europe on Wednesday, the president said his list of possible nominees was down to "three or four."
Those comments have renewed speculation Trump might name a successor early and hope that a chair-in-waiting, or "shadow" Fed chief, could have an immediate impact on rates. Absent an unforeseen resignation and except for Waller, a sitting governor, Trump's nominee could not join the Fed's board until early next year when there is an expected vacancy.
Powell's term as Fed chief does not end until next May, and a recent Supreme Court decision appeared to insulate him from being fired over a policy dispute - a fact that could limit Trump's ability to reshape the central bank before his second and final term ends in January 2029.
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Deep Dive: Stripe vs. Adyen – Comparing Product Stacks and Pricing: By Sam Boboev
Deep Dive: Stripe vs. Adyen – Comparing Product Stacks and Pricing: By Sam Boboev

Finextra

time25 minutes ago

  • Finextra

Deep Dive: Stripe vs. Adyen – Comparing Product Stacks and Pricing: By Sam Boboev

Two fintech heavyweights are vying for dominance in global payments: Stripe and Adyen. Both power a substantial share of online commerce, yet they've taken different paths to the top. Stripe, the Silicon Valley darling, built its name with developers and startups; Adyen, the Dutch powerhouse, quietly became the backbone for many large global retailers. Product managers and fintech founders on both sides of the Atlantic (especially in the US and EU) often face a strategic choice between these platforms. This deep dive examines how Stripe and Adyen stack up – from their product offerings to pricing models – and why it matters. Spoiler: Both companies have overlapping product categories (payments, fraud prevention, in-person solutions, and more), but their strengths and weaknesses can make each a better fit for different customer profiles. Let's dig in. The Payments Giants at a Glance It helps to frame the comparison with scale and performance. In 2024, Stripe processed about $1.4 trillion in total payment volume (TPV), growing 38% year-over-year, while Adyen was close behind with €1.29 trillion (+33% YoY). These figures underscore that both companies handle enormous transaction flows (roughly on par with ~1–1.5% of global GDP each). Adyen has long been profitable – it sustained an impressive ~50% EBITDA margin in 2024 – whereas Stripe historically reinvested for growth but finally achieved full-year profitability in 2024. In other words, Adyen is the rare fintech operating at bank-like profit levels, while Stripe proved its business model can scale financially. Both are now plowing resources into R&D and expansion, setting the stage for an intense rivalry. Stripe launched in 2010, targeting developers and small online businesses with easy-to-use APIs. Its strategy was bottom-up: win the hearts of startups and SMBs, then gradually move upmarket. Adyen, founded in 2006, took almost the opposite approach – a top-down focus on large enterprises and global retailers. Adyen built a single unified platform for 'unified commerce' (online, in-app, and in-store payments all in one), directly connecting to card networks and local payment methods. This made Adyen the go-to for many big multichannel merchants (think Uber, Spotify, Microsoft, McDonald's, H&M and the like), while Stripe became synonymous with the startup economy and SaaS world. Today, however, their offerings overlap significantly. Stripe now serves 50% of the Fortune 100 companies in some capacity, and Adyen is expanding its reach to mid-sized clients and platforms. Both are truly global – Stripe is used in 195+ countries with support for 135+ currencies, and Adyen similarly supports transactions worldwide (150+ currencies and dozens of local methods). A quick external perspective sums it up well: 'Adyen is better for midsize or large companies with multiple sales channels, whereas Stripe is good for small, online businesses.' In practice, Stripe's flat-rate pricing and plug-and-play simplicity make it popular among SMBs and tech startups. Adyen's custom approach and interchange-plus pricing appeal to high-volume, omnichannel businesses that can integrate a more complex solution. But these lines are blurring. Stripe has been aggressively courting larger enterprises (even Amazon inked a deal in 2023 to have Stripe process a significant portion of its payments across the US, Europe, and Canada). Meanwhile, Adyen is indirectly serving many SMBs via platform partnerships (for example, when Etsy or eBay use Adyen as their payments engine, thousands of small sellers are on Adyen's rails). The competitive arena is set: both companies offer a broad payments platform, but how do their product stacks and pricing compare in detail? Core Payments Infrastructure At their heart, both Stripe and Adyen are payments processors – they enable businesses to accept a wide range of payment methods and get paid online (and offline). Let's compare their core payments capabilities: Stripe and Adyen each support an extensive array of payment methods: global credit/debit cards (Visa, Mastercard, Amex, etc.), digital wallets (Apple Pay, Google Pay, etc.), bank transfers, and region-specific options (from **SEPA Direct Debit in Europe to ACH in the US, Alipay and WeChat Pay in Asia, Klarna/Affirm for BNPL, and many more). Stripe advertises access to 100+ payment methods out-of-the-box with a single integration. Adyen similarly prides itself on being a one-stop solution to 'offer your customers all their preferred payment methods with a single integration'. For example, a merchant using either platform can easily offer local favorites like iDEAL in the Netherlands or Boleto in Brazil alongside global cards. One difference is how these methods are integrated. Adyen built direct connections to many local payment schemes and card networks through its own licenses. This 'single platform' approach can improve authorization rates and reduce hops in the transaction process. Indeed, Adyen highlights its direct acquiring connections to Visa/Mastercard and even domestic networks, claiming it can optimize approval rates via intelligent routing (their RevenueAccelerate tools). Stripe, on the other hand, initially partnered with banks for acquiring in various regions, but over time it also obtained regulatory licenses and built out global infrastructure (Stripe has regulatory licenses in multiple jurisdictions and data centers worldwide, ensuring transactions are processed locally where possible for speed and better success rates). Both companies now can offer very high uptime (Stripe boasts 99.999% historical uptime, and Adyen is known for reliability as well) and the ability to settle funds in a currency of the merchant's choosing. Adyen explicitly lets merchants 'choose when and in which currency' to receive payouts, a flexibility important for international businesses. Stripe is almost universally lauded for its developer-friendly APIs and documentation. It provides client libraries in every popular programming language and famously simple code snippets. For a small business or product team, Stripe's developer tools can shorten integration time dramatically. (As an example, Stripe's drop-in checkout or pre-built UI components – Stripe Elements and Checkout – let you start accepting cards with minimal coding.) Adyen's platform is also robust, but the common refrain is that Adyen is not as 'plug-and-play' for small merchants. Adyen often requires a bit more initial setup and understanding of payment flows. That said, Adyen offers comprehensive APIs and SDKs too, along with client-side components (its Drop-in UI and Components for web/mobile) to handle payment method selection and encryption. The gap in ease has narrowed over time, but Stripe's polish in developer experience and documentation remains a strong differentiator. For a startup with a lean engineering team, Stripe's 'it just works' approach can be very attractive – everything from the initial integration to handling webhooks for events is well-supported. Adyen tends to shine for merchants that need fine-grained control and are willing to invest in a more bespoke integration. Transaction Performance: Both Stripe and Adyen invest heavily in optimizing payment success rates. Adyen's advantage of direct network connections means it can sometimes get slightly better authorization rates, especially in regions where local processing matters (for instance, processing European cards with a European acquiring license to avoid cross-border inefficiencies). Stripe has countered by developing its own smart routing and 'adaptive acceptance' algorithms, and by working with card issuers. Stripe even formed an Enhanced Issuer Network program to share data with card issuers, reportedly reducing fraud and boosting authorizations by 1–2% on eligible volume. In practice, both processors are top-tier in transaction quality; large merchants often run A/B tests between providers and find both Stripe and Adyen to be high performers, with differences depending on specific geographies or banks. It's not unusual for an enterprise to use multiple PSPs in active-active mode and route traffic between Stripe, Adyen, and others to optimize costs and uptime. Both companies understand this and continually roll out improvements (for example, Stripe has machine learning to retry failed payments at optimal times and auto-update saved card details, while Adyen recently introduced an AI-powered tool called Adyen Uplift to improve payment conversion by an average 6%). On core payment processing capabilities, both Stripe and Adyen offer a full-spectrum, global solution. Stripe wins praise for ease and developer tooling; Adyen wins praise for technical robustness and global unified infrastructure. For most standard online payments use cases (accepting card payments on a website or app), either will get the job done with high standards. The differences emerge more clearly when we expand into other aspects: in-person payments, platform payments, and value-added services. Source: Stripe vs. Adyen 2024 performance and strategy highlights NerdWallet on ideal customer profiles for Adyen vs Stripe Stripe Newsroom: Amazon expanding use of Stripe (enterprise win) Stripe Enterprise documentation (custom pricing options) Adyen official pricing page (interchange++ transparency) Codelevate 2025 PSP comparison (product features & pricing details) Fintech Wrap Up deep dive (TPV and product developments in 2024) Adyen website ('One platform' omnichannel messaging) Codelevate on strengths/drawbacks of each platform FXCintel analysis on Adyen's 2023 results (North America focus) Disclaimer: Fintech Wrap Up aggregates publicly available information for informational purposes only. Portions of the content may be reproduced verbatim from the original source, and full credit is provided with a "Source: [Name]" attribution. All copyrights and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. Fintech Wrap Up does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the aggregated content; these are the responsibility of the original source providers. Links to the original sources may not always be included. For questions or concerns, please contact us at

Employee benefit linked to financial stress takes aim at traditional 401(K)s as US debt skyrockets
Employee benefit linked to financial stress takes aim at traditional 401(K)s as US debt skyrockets

Daily Mail​

timean hour ago

  • Daily Mail​

Employee benefit linked to financial stress takes aim at traditional 401(K)s as US debt skyrockets

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Inside Barron Trump's outrageously lavish childhood as president's son bags his first girlfriend
Inside Barron Trump's outrageously lavish childhood as president's son bags his first girlfriend

Daily Mail​

timean hour ago

  • Daily Mail​

Inside Barron Trump's outrageously lavish childhood as president's son bags his first girlfriend

Barron Trump was spoiled with expensive tuition and lived in a home fit for a king during his lavish childhood. The 19-year-old student, who is the only child of President Donald Trump and his wife Melania Trump, was born on March 20, 2006, and has remained largely out of the spotlight. But as reports emerge that the teen has bagged himself his first ever girlfriend, Femail delves into Barron's luxurious upbringing, taking a particularly close look at the hundreds of thousands spent on his education. Barron was born and raised in New York City and spent much of his childhood living at his dad's extravagant penthouse apartment, Trump Tower, in Manhattan. The sprawling home, worth an estimated $65 million, boasts of breathtaking views of Central Park and the Manhattan skyline. According to reports, Barron has a floor of his own in the lavish residence, with the home located on the top three floors of Trump Tower. Barron attended school in New York City until 2017, when his dad took office for his first term in the White House. He then attended middle and high schools in different locations across the country. For his primary education, Barron went to Manhattan's prestigious Columbia Grammar and Preparatory School. Tuition at the elite school is billed at $64,340 per year and increases by about $1,000 once you enter high school. Trump started his first term as president halfway through the school year in January 2017, so Barron remained with Melania in New York to finish up his time at Columbia. In September 2017, he started sixth grade at St. Andrew's Episcopal in Potomac, Maryland - just about a 45-minute car drive from Washington, D.C. The yearly middle school tuition at St. Andrew's cost $52,290. Once Trump's first term was up in 2020, Barron moved to Palm Beach, Florida and finished school there, at Oxbridge Academy in West Palm Beach. He graduated from Oxbridge Academy in Palm Beach, Florida, last May. Barron is currently a student at NYU and has just completed his freshman year. Melania and Baron attend the annual playground party with New York families to support Central Park's playgrounds on May 30, 2007 He has returned to live at Trump Tower while he completes his college education. President Trump revealed last month his 'formula for good parenting.' 'I always said the same thing. I said: no drugs, no alcohol, no cigarettes. I also would say don't get tattoos, but I don't say it too strongly, because a lot of people have gotten tattoos, and that's what they choose to do,' he told The New York Post in a podcast interview. Many of the president's supporters at rallies sport tattoos as do some members of Trump's Cabinet, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. The president has made a point of not drinking, as his older brother, Fred Trump Jr., suffered from alcoholism and died young, at age 42. He boasted that his five children - Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka, Eric, Tiffany and Barron - were 'born smart.' 'Barron is great. He is very tall and good,' he added.

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