Trump Says China Trip "Not Too Distant" As Trade Tensions Ease
President Donald Trump on Tuesday said a trip to China might be "not too distant," raising prospects that the leaders of the world's two largest economies may meet soon to help reset relations after moving to climb down from a trade war.
Trump made the remarks while hosting Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. at the White House, where he praised the "fantastic military relationship" with Manila as the U.S. looks to counter China's influence in the Indo-Pacific region.
Yet, Trump still said the U.S. is "getting along with China very well. We have a very good relationship." He added that Beijing has resumed shipping to the U.S. "record numbers" of much-needed rare earth magnets, which are used in iPhones and other high-tech products like electric vehicles.
Widely speculated about since Trump returned to the White House, a summit between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping would be expected to stabilize — even for a short while — a difficult relationship defined by mistrust and competition.
Beijing believes a leader-level summit is necessary to steady U.S.-China relations and that Trump must be wooed because he has the final say on America's policy toward China, despite more hawkish voices in his Cabinet, observers say.
The question, however, is when.
Danny Russel, a distinguished fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute, said Trump has consistently shown his hunger for a visit to China and that Beijing has used that to bolster leverage.
"As soon as the leadership in Beijing is satisfied that Trump will be on his best behavior and will accept terms for a deal that they think are favorable, they will give a green light to the visit," Russel said.
Sun Yun, director of the China program at the Washington-based think tank Stimson Center, said a visit "is in the making" with two sides likely to strike a trade deal.
What Trump said might mean the visit would not be in September but "potentially November, but still depends on whether they play ball on trade and other things we want," Sun said.
Trump's campaign to impose tariffs on other countries kicked off a high-stake trade war with Beijing. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% in response to Trump's hiking the tax on Chinese goods to 145%.
Both sides also imposed on each other harsh trade restrictions on critical products: China on rare earths, and the U.S. on computing chips and jet engine technology.
Trade tensions, however, eased following two rounds of high-level talks in Geneva and London, when the two sides agreed to lower tariffs — pending a more permanent deal by mid-August — and pull back on trade restrictions.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tuesday on Fox Business' "Mornings with Maria" that he will be meeting with his Chinese counterparts in Stockholm next week to work on "what is likely an extension" of the Aug. 12 deadline.
"I think trade is in a very good place with China," Bessent told host Maria Bartiromo. "Hopefully, we can see the Chinese pull back on some of this glut of manufacturing that they're doing and concentrate on building a consumer economy."
He said he also expects to bring up China's purchases of Russian and Iranian oil and Beijing's role in aiding Moscow in its war against Ukraine.
Beijing has not announced any travel plans for Vice Premier He Lifeng, who led trade negotiations in both Geneva and London on behalf of the Chinese government, but it is not unusual for China to make such announcements closer to a travel date.
In a possible friendly gesture, Beijing on Tuesday said it suspended an antitrust investigation into chemical maker DuPont's operations in China. China's State Administration for Market Regulation made the announcement in a one-line statement but gave no explanation for the decision.
DuPont said in a statement that it is "pleased" with China's action.
Chinese regulators launched the investigation in April against DuPont China Group, a subsidiary of the chemical giant, as part of Beijing's broad, retaliatory response to Trump's sky-high tariffs.
Beijing also has agreed to approve export permits for rare earth elements and rare earth magnets that U.S. manufacturers need to build cars, robots, wind turbines and other high-tech products. The U.S. has eased restrictions on some advanced chips and other technologies.
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GST is far from the good and simple tax it was supposed to be," says former Finance Minister (FM) Yashwant Sinha. "When I was FM, I rationalised the multiple central excise rates down to three. GST has a rate multiplicity problem. It's creating classification, implementation, and filing issues. The slabs must be reduced— ideally to one."The digitalisation of the Indian economy has revealed another vital limitation in the implementation of GST. App-based services, digital payments, and e-commerce platforms have created a whole new category of tax disputes that the system wasn't designed to Karnataka, vendors are protesting after having received GST notices for UPI-based transactions exceeding ₹40 lakh a year. They are currently demanding that the state revoke such notices, and that enforcement of such rules be relaxed for small-scale consider fintech entrepreneurs whose lending platforms are embroiled in disputes over whether algorithmic credit scoring should be taxed as a software solution or a financial service, a distinction that could mean the difference between 0% and 18% tax rates. Software as a Service (SaaS) companies are unclear and thus unable to determine whether they're selling goods or services. There's confusion over e-commerce platforms' marketplace versus inventory models, and skill-based online gaming companies are still contending with the massive retrospective demands rising from the hike from 18% to 28%, on par with chance-based activities such as gambling and there's the 'luxury' classification. As Aarin Capital Chairman and former Infosys executive Mohandas Pai puts it:"Air conditioners and TVs larger than 32 inches are taxed at 28%, but these aren't luxury items. They're mass goods today. Two-wheelers and sedans are also not considered luxury goods in 2025. Cement, which is critical for building India, also falls in the 28% bracket. The number of slabs should be reduced, and classifications revised."A concern on GST's complexity is the volume of disputes it has generated. There were significant judgments pertaining to GST in 2024, rendered by High Courts across the nation. And 2025 is even busier, as evidenced by recent multinational corporations across sectors have taken the international arbitration route to seek relief from retrospective tax claims. Several disputes are ongoing. Two, online real money gaming platforms are challenging retrospective GST notices amounting to ₹1.12 lakh crore, which exceed the industry's turnover of approximately ₹20,000 crore. The Supreme Court heard their arguments on July 15 and has scheduled its final hearing for July 25. Three, food delivery aggregators are wondering whether delivery charges attract 5% or 18% GST, which could further dent make or break their razor-thin margins. Four, airlines and shipping companies were mired in compliance issues around 'place of supply rules' that confused rather than clarified. Lastly, life and health insurance companies contended with 18% GST, a move that was passed on to already-burdened cases highlight that retrospective tax actions, especially those related to indirect taxes like GST, may impact not only compliance but also business overall "pay first, argue later" approach is also a hurdle for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), which have minimal resources, including cash flows, to sustain specialised tax compliance teams. And the paperwork doesn't help. This includes mandatory multi-factor authentication for GST portal access and restrictions on E-Way Bill (EWB) generation to curb fraudulent practices, which have added yet another layer of complexity to daily operations. As Rajesh Sodhi, the entrepreneur from Ludhiana, says:'Tax refund delays are my biggest problem. I'm spending most of my time on GST-related tasks. I became a businessman to sell hosiery and other textiles, not to become a tax expert. But that's what this system has forced me to become."Although India's foreign direct investment (FDI) performance has shown resilience, recent data indicates moderation in investment momentum. In FY25, net FDI inflows dropped to a record 96.5%, as reported by The Economic Times. This has everything to do with investors exiting lucrative IPOs here and Indian firms ramping up overseas investments. But here's something to consider: the retrospective application of tax laws also undermines the principle of legal certainty, which is critical for investor confidence. Such enforcement imposes additional due diligence requirements and risk assessment protocols on foreign investors, particularly in sectors with complex supply chains and cross-border Financial Times reported that disputed tax demands, totalling around ₹13.4 lakh crore (as of March 2024), may have contributed to the decrease in net FDI inflows. Automaker Volkswagen is contesting a tax demand of approximately ₹12,000 crore related to import duties stemming from a 12-year investigation. Similarly, Maruti Suzuki (~₹20,000 crore) and Hyundai (~₹4,000 crore) are also among the top companies. Such prolonged battles and uncertainty surrounding tax obligations could raise concerns among investors about the predictability of India's tax are signs that policymakers are finally acknowledging pain points. Owing to Budget 2025, enterprises can expect some GST rate rationalisation in the 56th GST Council meeting, to be held later this month. Two major measures reportedly being considered are the elimination of the 12% slab and the abolition of GST altogether for term for businesses like Sodhi's, the question isn't whether reforms will come. It's whether they'll arrive soon enough. After eight years of promises and patches, India's entrepreneurs are running out of patience with the great tax answer, it seems, is written in the stars… or perhaps in the next GST Council meeting.
