Where do trade talks stand in the rush to avert higher U.S. tariffs?
By Beiyi SEOW and Julien GIRAULT
U.S. President Donald Trump has said he will send letters to select trade partners facing tariff hikes as early as Monday, piling pressure on countries to strike a deal with Washington before a new August 1 deadline.
The White House announced sharp levies on dozens of economies in April, citing a lack of "reciprocity" in trade relations, which were set to kick in on Wednesday, July 9.
Trump announced on Friday the levies' imposition would be pushed to August 1 to allow time for talks to wrap up, but said he signed 12 letters to inform some countries of rate hikes, which will likely be sent on Monday.
With Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent saying the administration was "close to several deals," where do things stand for economies from Taiwan to the European Union?
Japan: Rice, autos at stake
Despite being a close U.S. ally and major source of foreign investment, Japan might not escape Trump's tariff hike.
Tokyo's trade envoy Ryosei Akazawa has made numerous trips to Washington through the end of June.
But Trump recently criticized what he described as Japan's reluctance to open up further to U.S. rice and auto exports.
"I'm not sure we're going to make a deal," Trump said, adding that the country could pay a tariff of "30 percent, 35 percent, or whatever the number is that we determine."
EU: 'Ready' for deal
The European Union said it is "ready for a deal" with Washington, with the bloc's trade chief meeting his U.S. counterparts Thursday.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the EU was targeting an "agreement in principle" when it came to the initial July 9 cutoff.
Bessent said the European Union is "making very good progress" after a slow start.
With no deal, the U.S. tariff on EU goods doubles from the "baseline" of 10 percent to 20 percent -- with Trump previously threatening a 50 percent level.
Vietnam: A pact with uncertainties
Washington and Hanoi unveiled a trade pact Wednesday with much fanfare and few details, but it allowed Vietnam to avoid Trump's initial 46 percent tariff.
Under the agreement, Vietnamese goods face a minimum 20 percent tariff while products made elsewhere face a 40 percent levy -- a clause to restrict "transshipping" by Chinese groups.
But there remain questions on how the higher levy would apply to products using foreign parts.
There is also a risk that Beijing will adopt retaliatory measures, analysts warned.
India: A good position
Indian manufacturers and exporters want to believe they can avoid a 26 percent tariff.
Negotiations between both countries have been going well for weeks, and Trump himself suggested at the end of June that a "very big" agreement was imminent.
Ajay Sahai, director general of the Federation of Indian Export Organizations, said the feedback he received "suggests positive developments." But he maintained that the situation was fluid.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has stressed that agriculture and dairy products remain "very big red lines."
South Korea: Muted optimism
Seoul, which is already reeling from U.S. tariffs on steel and autos, wants to avert a sweeping 25 percent levy on its other exports.
Cooperation in shipbuilding could be a bargaining chip, but "at this stage, both sides still haven't clearly defined what exactly they want," said new President Lee Jae Myung on Thursday.
"I can't say with confidence that we'll be able to wrap everything up by July 8," he added.
Indonesia, Thailand, Taiwan in the wings
Other Asian economies including Indonesia, Thailand and Cambodia, which faces a 49 percent tariff, wait with bated breath.
Indonesia has indicated willingness to boost energy, agriculture and merchandise imports from the United States.
Bangladesh is proposing to buy Boeing planes and step up imports of U.S. agriculture products.
Taiwan, for whom Washington is a vital security partner, faces a 32 percent duty without a pact.
Although both sides have faced bumps along the way, Taiwanese Vice President Hsiao Bi-khim said "negotiators from both sides are working diligently" to find a path forward.
Switzerland: Hope for delay
Switzerland's government said Washington has acknowledged it was acting in good faith, and assumes its tariff level will remain at 10 percent on July 9 while negotiations continue.
But without a decision by the president as of the end of June, Switzerland did not rule out that levies could still rise to a promised 31 percent.
© 2025 AFP
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Kyodo News
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- Kyodo News
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