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Trump administration to look at replacing Fed chair Jerome Powell this fall, Bessent says

Trump administration to look at replacing Fed chair Jerome Powell this fall, Bessent says

Globe and Mail18 hours ago
The Trump administration will focus on finding a replacement for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell this fall, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC on Thursday, adding that officials had 'a lot of good candidates.'
Bessent said it was up to the Fed to decide interest rates, although he added that if the U.S. central bank did not cut interest rates soon, any potential rate cut in September could be higher.
With the unemployment rate low and inflation above their 2-per-cent target, Fed officials have been reluctant to cut interest rates from the current range of 4.25 per cent to 4.5 per cent until it is clear that the Trump administration's tariff plans won't drive up prices. U.S. President Donald Trump has railed against Powell, a fellow Republican whom he appointed during his first time in office, and again urged him to resign. The president cannot fire Powell over a policy dispute.
Powell refuses to change course as Trump ramps up attacks on the Federal Reserve
Trump sends Powell a list of global interest rates, says Fed should lower rate to 1%
Trump administration officials argue that a tax bill nearing passage in Congress will boost private-sector investment and strengthen the U.S. economy, insisting that while tariff increases could result in a one-time bump in prices, they should not drive up inflation over the longer term.
'If they want to make a mistake here and not cut, that's fine,' Bessent told CNBC, insisting that tariffs imposed by Trump since taking office in January had not fuelled inflation 'thus far.'
'What we've seen so far is that tariff, tariffs haven't hurt. The dog that didn't bark was that tariffs are going to hurt the economy, they're going to hurt markets,' Bessent said, citing a rapid market recovery after a 15-per-cent decline in April. The selloff came after Trump announced higher-than-expected tariffs against most U.S. trading partners on April 2.
Based on previous Fed models, he said, the central bank would have already cut interest rates that are 'very high real rates.' Holding off raised the chance that the Fed would need to cut interest rates by more later, said Bessent, who has been named a contender for the Fed chair role.
Asked if one could head both Treasury and the Fed at the same time, Bessent said that hadn't been done since the 1930s, but did not explicitly rule out such a solution. Bessent said he was happy in his current job.
The Federal Reserve Act explicitly says 'The members of the Board shall devote their entire time to the business of the Board,' which appears to rule out the possibility of Bessent doing two jobs at once.
Trump recently named Secretary of State Marco Rubio to serve as his national security adviser, making him the first person to hold both roles since Henry Kissinger in the 1970s.
Bessent said the administration will work on nominating a Fed chair to succeed Powell in the fall.
'We've been busy. The president's been doing peace deals, trade deals, tax deals, and we are landing the plane on all of those. So we're going to have more bandwidth after Labour Day,' he said.
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Global markets' 90-day tariff pause rollercoaster nears an uncertain end
Global markets' 90-day tariff pause rollercoaster nears an uncertain end

Globe and Mail

time34 minutes ago

  • Globe and Mail

Global markets' 90-day tariff pause rollercoaster nears an uncertain end

The deadline U.S. President Donald Trump set for major trading partners to strike deals with Washington or face hefty tariffs expires next week, bringing to a close 90 days of volatility but leaving global investors in the dark over what will happen next. Mr. Trump's propensity to issue a threat, or impose a new tariff, only to reverse course shortly afterwards has led to turmoil over the past three months. Investors, however, have now become somewhat inured to this sort of policymaking on the fly. And, as a result, there is little evidence at this point that many are preparing for fireworks on July 9. Instead, most expect some kind of delay, pause or compromise. What that will look like, however, is anyone's guess. Here is a snapshot of where major markets are now, relative to where they were when Mr. Trump dropped his initial tariffs bombshell on April 2: Global stock markets have staged a strong recovery following the intense volatility triggered by Mr. Trump's tariff announcement. The MSCI World index, which fell 10 per cent between April 2 and April 9, the day Mr. Trump paused the tariffs, has hit successive record highs and gained over 11 per cent since the original 'Liberation Day' announcement. Global equities got another boost in May, when the U.S. and China reached a temporary truce, pausing many tariffs for another 90 days. Geopolitical tensions, including Israel's recent strikes on Iran and Washington's subsequent bombing of Iranian nuclear sites, briefly reined in sentiment but have not derailed the broader rally. The S&P 500, which had lagged other major equity markets earlier in the year, has closed those gaps, gaining over 10 per cent since April 2, and is neck and neck with the MSCI all-country index, which excludes the United States . There's an important caveat, however. The S&P has only hit record highs in dollar terms. The weakness in the U.S. currency has eroded the returns for overseas investors. In euro or Swiss franc terms, for example, the index is still about 10 per cent below February's record high, while in pounds, it's 7 per cent below the sterling-denominated peak. The U.S. dollar, widely regarded as the world's most powerful and stable currency, has suffered a knock to its reputation from Mr. Trump's tariffs and the subsequent 90-day pause. The dollar index, which reflects the U.S. currency's performance against a basket of six others including the euro and the Japanese yen, suffered its worst first half of the year since 1973, declining by approximately 11 per cent. It has fallen by 6.6 per cent since April 2 alone. Against the currencies of some of the United States' biggest trading partners, the decline has been even more marked. It has lost some 8 per cent against the euro and the Mexican peso since then and 5 per cent against the Canadian dollar. 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Since April 2, gold's ascent has gathered pace, fuelled by purchases from central banks, fund managers and even individuals. A survey by UBS Asset Management this week showed 39 per cent of respondents said they planned to increase their gold holdings, compared with 15% last year. The independence of the Federal Reserve - whose chair, Jerome Powell, Mr. Trump has berated repeatedly for not cutting interest rates fast enough - is one of the key concerns cited in the survey. Be smart with your money. Get the latest investing insights delivered right to your inbox three times a week, with the Globe Investor newsletter. Sign up today.

Edmonton to consider mandating envelopes, warnings for graphic flyers
Edmonton to consider mandating envelopes, warnings for graphic flyers

CBC

time39 minutes ago

  • CBC

Edmonton to consider mandating envelopes, warnings for graphic flyers

Edmonton's city council will consider adding restrictions aimed at preventing people from unwittingly seeing flyers with graphic imagery. Ward Dene Coun. Aaron Paquette introduced a motion during Wednesday's city council meeting that administration prepare changes to the community standards bylaw to require all unsolicited print material containing graphic images to be contained in a sealed opaque envelope with a content warning and senders' names and addresses. Paquette said he regularly receives complaints from residents coming across flyers in their mailboxes with pictures of aborted fetuses. He said such images have traumatized his constituents for a variety of reasons. "It's often children who bring in the mail and they're confronted with imagery that they are not emotionally or developmentally prepared to process in a healthy way," he told CBC News on Thursday. Paquette's motion, which passed unanimously, proposed a minimum fine of $500 for violating the rules. The motion did not mention abortion and the city councillor said he thinks the rules should also extend to other types of graphic imagery. Ward Anirniq Coun. Erin Rutherford said at the meeting that her office has also received complaints about this topic. Ward Sspomitapi Coun. Jo-Anne Wright said she hasn't been hearing the same complaints but she's willing to explore restrictions to address concerns. "I think I'm going to take the guidance from our legal department as to what they define as being graphic," she said in an interview Thursday. Edmonton follows other cities Calgary's city council approved a change to its community standards bylaw in 2023. The regulations apply to graphic images of fetuses and violations carry fines of $1,000. The City of Edmonton's legal team told councillors Edmonton's bylaw requirements could be modelled after Calgary's. Cities in other provinces have also passed similar bylaws, but several have faced legal challenges. The City of St. Catharines, in Ontario, repealed its graphic images bylaw last year after the Association of Reformed Political Action, a Christian political advocacy organization, launched a legal challenge against it. The ARPA filed a notice of application last month challenging the constitutionality of a similar bylaw in London, Ont. Who's distributing flyers? Blaise Alleyne, the eastern strategic initiatives director for the Canadian Centre for Bio-Ethical Reform, said the organization distributes abortion-related images across the country. He said volunteers with a partner organization, Edmonton Against Abortion, deliver postcards in Edmonton year-round and an internship team from Calgary visited the city for a week of outreach in June. Both groups use the same flyers, he said. CBC News has not confirmed which flyers have prompted complaints to city councillors' offices. Alleyne said there are a few versions of the group's most up-to-date flyer and the organization rotates photos every few years, with slight variations since 2017. Alleyne said the CCBR believes bylaws like Calgary's won't survive constitutional court challenges. "City councillors would be better off to recognize that victim photography is a part of discourse in a democracy, even on contentious issues," he said. Gerard Kennedy, an assistant professor of law at the University of Alberta, said there can be limits to expression but the duty is on the government to prove that any are reasonable and proportionate. "Freedom of expression is supposed to be content-neutral with very rare expression limits, which means that you by all means regulate the time, place and manner in which expression is done, and by all means protect vulnerable persons, but you shouldn't be stopping a message being sent out simply because you disagree with the message," he said. Richard Dur, executive director with Prolife Alberta, said Albertans won't reject abortion until they see the reality of it. "When something is so horrifying we can't bear to look at it, perhaps we shouldn't be accepting it," he told CBC News in an emailed statement. Dur said Prolife Alberta launched a province-wide advertising campaign, in part "to bypass unjust municipal censorship." The Abortion Rights Coalition of Canada says on its website that graphic images of aborted fetuses are harmful and encourages people to complain to municipalities and ask for regulations. Alleyne said he has not heard of any cases of people being fined under graphic images bylaws. He said the CCBR complies with municipal bylaws, usually by not delivering in communities with them since doing so is much more expensive and time-consuming. "We've not faced fines, but it's impacted our ability to share our message with the public," he said. Councillors on Edmonton's community and public services committee are set to discuss possible bylaw amendments early next year.

Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Synopsys (SNPS) and Intel (INTC)
Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Synopsys (SNPS) and Intel (INTC)

Globe and Mail

timean hour ago

  • Globe and Mail

Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Synopsys (SNPS) and Intel (INTC)

Analysts fell to the sidelines weighing in on Synopsys (SNPS – Research Report) and Intel (INTC – Research Report) with neutral ratings, indicating that the experts are neither bullish nor bearish on the stocks. Don't Miss TipRanks' Half-Year Sale Take advantage of TipRanks Premium at 50% off! Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence. Make smarter investment decisions with TipRanks' Smart Investor Picks, delivered to your inbox every week. Synopsys (SNPS) In a report released today, Joseph Quatrochi from Wells Fargo maintained a Hold rating on Synopsys, with a price target of $520.00. The company's shares closed last Wednesday at $523.11. According to Quatrochi is a 5-star analyst with an average return of 19.7% and a 66.7% success rate. Quatrochi covers the Technology sector, focusing on stocks such as ARM Holdings PLC ADR, Allegro MicroSystems, and NXP Semiconductors. ;'> Currently, the analyst consensus on Synopsys is a Strong Buy with an average price target of $598.58. Intel (INTC) In a report released yesterday, Aaron Rakers from Wells Fargo reiterated a Hold rating on Intel, with a price target of $22.00. The company's shares closed last Wednesday at $21.88, close to its 52-week low of $18.51. According to Rakers is a top 100 analyst with an average return of 23.2% and a 67.1% success rate. Rakers covers the Technology sector, focusing on stocks such as Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Advanced Micro Devices, and Keysight Technologies. ;'> The word on The Street in general, suggests a Hold analyst consensus rating for Intel with a $21.35 average price target, representing a -5.2% downside. In a report issued on June 23, Truist Financial also maintained a Hold rating on the stock.

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