Tropical Storm Barry forms near Mexico. See the strength, rains and expected landfall
Tropical Storm Barry formed early Sunday as the disturbance is expected to soon make landfall in Mexico.
Here's the 11 a.m. National Hurricane Center update on Barry, which is in the western Gulf of Mexico.
Where it is and where it's going: The storm is about 90 miles east southweast of Tuxpan, Mexico and 165 miles southeast of Tampico, Mexico. it's moving northwest at 6 mph.
'This motion is expected to continue today,' the hurricane center said. 'On the forecast track, the storm is expected to make landfall and then move inland over eastern Mexico later today or tonight.'
Size and strength: Maximum sustained winds are at 40 mph and tropical storm force winds extend 35 miles from the center of the storm.
'A little more intensification is forecast before the system reaches the coast of eastern Mexico,' the hurricane center said. 'Rapid weakening is expected after the system moves inland.'
Watches and warnings: There's a tropical storm warning for Mexico's gulf coast from Boca de Catan down to Tecolutla. They should be feeling tropical storm conditions by Sunday afternoon.
Effects: Veracruz, San Luis Potosi and Tamaulipas could get 10 inches of rain. Elsewhere, Barry's expected to drop 3 to 6 inches of precipitation.
'This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain,' the hurricane center said.
Next update: An intermediate advisory will be issued at 2 p.m., Eastern time. A full advisory will be issued at 5 p.m., Eastern time.
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Here's the forecast around Florida for the holiday weekend: Pensacola, western Panhandle: July 4th: High 94; rain chances 20% Saturday: High 93; rain chances 40% Sunday: High 91; rain chances 60% Tallahassee, central Panhandle: July 4th: High 93; rain chances 60% Saturday: High 91; rain chances 60% Sunday: High 90; rain chances 60% Jacksonville, North Florida: July 4th: High 90; rain chances 70% Saturday: High 90; rain chances 60% Sunday: High 90; rain chances 70% Daytona Beach to Stuart, east-central Florida: July 4th: High 87; rain chances 70% Saturday: High 85; rain chances 60% Sunday: High 87; rain chances 70% West Palm Beach to Naples, South Florida: July 4th: High 85; rain chances 70% Saturday: High 83; rain chances 70% Sunday: High 84; rain chances 60% Sarasota to Fort Myers, Southwest Florida: July 4th: High 85; rain chances 70% Saturday: High 86; rain chances 70% Sunday: High 86; rain chances 70% "We can expect an increase in the possibility of showers and thunderstorms due to a low-pressure system in the upper levels of the atmosphere, which will enhance instability in the area between Tuesday and Thursday," according to the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network. Pensacola, western Panhandle: Tuesday: High 86; rain chances 90% Wednesday: High 90; rain chances 60% Thursday: High 93; rain chances 30% Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Tuesday: High 85; Rain chances 100% Wednesday: High 87; Rain chances 90% Thursday: High 91; Rain chances 60% Jacksonville, North Florida: Tuesday: High 91; Rain chances 80% Wednesday: High 90; Rain chances 90% Thursday: High 88; Rain chances 80% Daytona Beach to Stuart, east-central Florida: Tuesday: High 88; Rain chances 60% Wednesday: High 88; Rain chances 70% Thursday: High 86; Rain chances 70% West Palm Beach to Naples, South Florida: Tuesday: High 84; Rain chances 70% Wednesday: High 85; Rain chances 60% Thursday: High 85; Rain chances 70% Sarasota to Fort Myers, Southwest Florida: Tuesday: High 89; Rain chances 50% Wednesday: High 86; Rain chances 70% Thursday: High 85; Rain chances 70% The average date for the third named storm in the Atlantic basin is Aug. 3, DaSilva said. Andrea, the first named storm of the season formed a little later than average, on June 24, four days past the average date of June 20 for the first named storm of the season. Barry formed June 29, well ahead of the historical average of July 17. Water temperatures in the Gulf would support tropical development, but wind shear and some dry air from Saharan dust would work against tropical development, DaSilva said. "We don't anticipate this blowing up into a hurricane. If it develops, it's likely to be a tropical depression or a tropical storm, which could enhance the rainfall across Florida." "Most of the time, 'homegrown' storms tend to be on the weaker side in terms of wind speed, but a lot of times they tend to be big rainmakers," DaSilva said. "They also give people less time to react because they form closer to the coast. You don't have the luxury of watching it come across the entirety of the Atlantic. We're urging people to follow the forecast updates closely over the next couple of days. "It's possible that nothing develops at all and it just happens to be a wetter weekend. But there is also the possibility that we might end up with a tropical depression or a tropical storm, and it can really enhance the rainfall, and we could have some flooding issues. "There isn't enough time. If anything develops, it would only be over the water for a day or two before pushing inland if it develops in the eastern Gulf." National Weather Service Mobile on X, formerly known as Twitter National Weather Service Tallahassee on X, formerly known as Twitter National Weather Service Jacksonville on X, formerly known as Twitter National Weather Service Melbourne on X, formerly known as Twitter National Weather Service Miami on X, formerly known as Twitter National Weather Service Tampa Bay on X, formerly known as Twitter We will continue to update our weather coverage as conditions warrant. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Naples Daily News: Fourth of July Florida weather forecast: Tropical storm ahead?
