Gold price prediction today: Where is gold rate headed amidst easing Iran-Israel tensions? Here's the outlook
Gold price prediction today: Gold rates have been declining amidst easing Iran-Israel tensions and lower demand for safe haven assets. Maneesh Sharma, AVP - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers shares his views and recommendations for gold investors:
Weakening bias may persist after a volatile week as prices cools off in line with easing geopolitical tensions
Last week global central banks showed caution with mixed policy moves, the US Fed continued to pause, signalling slower cuts on stagflation concerns, Swiss and Norwegian banks did cut, while BoE and the BoJ held steady.
Economic data highlighted strains across regions amid escalating geopolitical risks. Global equities mostly closed lower on Middle East tensions, while US Treasuries rallied, the dollar edged up, and oil advanced.
In the current week gold started with a modest upside on escalating middle east geopolitics but gave up gains on Tuesday as the US President Donald Trump announced that both nations had agreed to a complete ceasefire, adding that Iran will begin the truce immediately, followed by Israel.
The yellow metal also hit an all-time high last week on MCX after Israel launched military operations targeting Iran's nuclear power plant sites.
Investors now turn their attention to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is set to testify before US Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, for any signals on the future path of interest rates.
After setting a record just over $3,500 an ounce in April in spot markets, gold had consolidated in a roller coaster ride, while bearish sentiment has now started to seep into the market despite geopolitical tensions.
This is due to the fact that gold prices have now discounted major fundamentals while a wave of corrective moves looks likely in July month.
On the fundamental side, prices could look ahead to Fed Chair testimony for further clues on monetary policy outlook amid a data heavy week ahead.
Gold Weekly View: Sideways to Downside (1 - 2 weeks)
Gold Strategy: Sell on Rise
MCX Gold looks to test downside support at around Rs. 95,200 - 94,800 per 10 gm levels on Aug. futures contract (CMP Rs. 97,240) in the weeks ahead.
In International spot markets (CMP $3320/oz), a close below $ 3270 on daily basis is required for further downside up to $3225-3220 per oz in spot.
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