
Surge in conflicts fuels extreme poverty: World Bank
WASHINGTON: Conflicts and related fatalities have more than tripled since the early 2000s, fueling extreme poverty, the World Bank said Friday.Economies in fragile and conflict-affected regions have become 'the epicenter of global poverty and food insecurity, a situation increasingly shaped by the frequency and intensity of conflict,' the bank added in a new study.This year, 421 million people get by on less than $3 a day in places hit by conflict or instability — a situation of extreme poverty — and the number is poised to hit 435 million by 2030.Global attention has been focused on conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East for the past three years, said World Bank Group chief economist Indermit Gill.But 'half of the countries facing conflict or instability today have been in such conditions for 15 years or more,' he added.Currently, 39 economies are classified as facing such conditions, and 21 of them are in active conflict, the Washington-based development lender said.The list includes Ukraine, Somalia, South Sudan and the West Bank and Gaza.It also includes Iraq although not Iran.The report flagged that moves to prevent conflict can bring high returns, with timely interventions being 'far more cost-effective than responding after violence erupts.'It also said that some of these economies have advantages that could be used to reignite growth, noting that places like Zimbabwe, Mozambique and the Democratic Republic of Congo are rich in minerals key to clean tech like electric vehicles and solar panels.'Economic stagnation — rather than growth — has been the norm in economies hit by conflict and instability over the past decade and a half,' said Ayhan Kose, World Bank Group deputy chief economist.The bank's report noted that high-intensity conflicts, which kill more than 150 per million people, are typically followed by a cumulative fall of around 20 percent in GDP per capita after five years.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Arab News
3 hours ago
- Arab News
War-torn nations face growing poverty and hunger crisis
WASHINGTON: The world's most desperate countries are falling further and further behind, their plight worsened by conflicts that are growing deadlier and more frequent. That is the sobering conclusion of the World Bank's first comprehensive study of how 39 countries contending with 'fragile and conflict-affected situations'' have fared since the COVID-19 pandemic struck in 2020. 'Economic stagnation — rather than growth — has been the norm in economies hit by conflict and instability,' said Ayhan Kose, the World Bank's deputy chief economist. Since 2020, the 39 countries, which range from the Marshall Islands in the Pacific to Mozambique in sub-Saharan Africa, have seen their economic output per person fall by an average 1.8 percent a year. In other developing countries, by contrast, it grew by an average of 2.9 percent a year over the same period. The World Bank finds that countries involved in high-intensity conflict — which result in more than 150 deaths per million people — experience a cumulative drop of 20% in their gross domestic product, or the output of goods and services, after five years. More than 420 million people in the fragile economies are living on less than $3 a day — the bank's definition of extreme poverty. That is more than the combined total of everywhere else, even though the 39 countries account for less than 15 percent of the world's population. Many of these countries have long-standing problems with crumbling infrastructure, weak governance, and low educational standards. People in the 39 countries get an average of just six years of schooling, three years fewer than those in other low- and middle-income countries. Life expectancy is five years shorter, and infant mortality is twice as high. Increasing conflicts have made things worse. In the 2000s, the world saw an annual average of just over 6,000 conflicts — in which organized groups used armed force against other groups or civilians and caused at least one death. Now the yearly average exceeds 20,000. The conflicts are more lethal, too: In the 2000s, they took an average of fewer than 42,000 lives a year. From 2000 through 2024, the number averaged almost 194,000. Of the 39 countries, 21 are involved in active conflicts, including Ukraine, Sudan, Ethiopia, and Gaza. The World Bank finds that countries involved in high-intensity conflict — which result in more than 150 deaths per million people — experience a cumulative drop of 20 percent in their gross domestic product, or the output of goods and services, after five years. More conflict also means more hunger: The World Bank estimated that 18 percent — around 200 million — of the people in the 39 countries are 'experiencing acute food insecurity'' compared with just 1 percent in other low and middle-income countries. Some countries have managed to escape the cycle of conflict and economic fragility. Kose cites Nepal; Bosnia and Herzegovina; Rwanda; and Sri Lanka as relative success stories. And the World Bank report notes that the 39 countries do enjoy strengths, including natural resources such as oil and natural gas, and a lot of young, working-age people at a time when many economies are aging. 'Some of them are very rich when it comes to their tourism potential,'' Kose said. 'But you need to have security established. You and I are not going to go and visit these places unless they are safe, even though they might be the most beautiful places in the world.''


Al Arabiya
5 hours ago
- Al Arabiya
The Senate is putting Trump's big bill back on track but hurdles remain
Senate Republicans appeared Friday to push President Donald Trump's big bill back on track after a flurry of last-minute revisions, including deep cuts to food stamps, but there's still a long way to go ahead of expected weekend votes. Trump himself gave Congress some breathing room as senators race to meet his Fourth of July deadline. 'It's not the end all,' Trump declared during a press conference at the White House. As the party in majority power, Republicans are grinding through a punch-list of still-unsettled issues as they try to push the package to passage over unified Democratic opposition. Republicans are relying on steep cuts to health care, food stamps, and green energy investments to help pay for $3.8 trillion in tax breaks–their top priority. Any one of the roadblocks could doom the sprawling package. The proposed Medicaid cuts, in particular, have raised stark concerns among some GOP senators worried that millions in their states will lose access to the health care program. At the same time, a tentative deal between the White House and House GOP lawmakers from New York and other high-tax districts over the size of a state and local tax deduction, called SALT, needs broader agreement. House Speaker Mike Johnson, who sent his lawmakers home for the weekend with plans to be on call to return swiftly to Washington, said they are 'very close to finishing up.' 'We would still like to meet that July 4th self-imposed deadline,' said Johnson, R-La. Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune have stayed close to the White House throughout the process of drafting the big package, which they stress is needed to avoid a massive tax hike at the end of the year when current tax rates expire. The GOP leadership is relying on Trump to pressure holdout lawmakers to push it to passage. The speaker made the walk across the Capitol to join Senate Republicans for lunch where they were also expected to meet with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent over the emerging SALT deal. 'Perfect cannot be the enemy of good,' Bessent said in remarks at the Faith and Freedom Conference in Washington. 'Getting this passed is the single most important thing we can do this year.' The White House and House Republicans have narrowed in on a plan to keep the SALT provision on the House-passed terms of a $40,000 cap on deductions–but for five years instead of ten. The SALT deduction has been a key holdup as lawmakers from New York and other high-tax states negotiate. They want to quadruple what's now a $10,000 cap. Senate Republicans argued that it's too generous, costing hundreds of billions of dollars for the benefit of a few lawmakers' home regions. With their narrow majorities in the House and Senate, they need almost every lawmaker on board with the package to ensure passage. One GOP holdout, Rep. Nick LaLota of New York, says he can't support the compromise. But other provisions were being shored up after a series of setbacks when the Senate parliamentarian advised they would not pass the chamber's strict Byrd Rule, that largely bars policy matters from inclusion in budget bills unless they can pass the sixty-vote threshold that GOP leaders want to avoid. The Republican proposal to shift the costs of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, known as SNAP, has been accepted by the Senate parliamentarian. Sen. John Boozman of Arkansas, the chairman of the Senate Agriculture Committee, said provisions to make certain immigrants ineligible for food aid were also accepted. 'This paves the way for important reforms that improve efficiency and management of SNAP,' he said. But the panel's top Democrat, Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, said her party will keep fighting these proposals that 'raise grocery costs and take food away from millions of people, including seniors, children and veterans.' The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has said some 10.9 million more people will go without health care and at least 3 million fewer would qualify for food aid under the House-passed bill. CBO has not yet publicly assessed the Senate draft, which has proposed steeper reductions. The top income earners would see about a $12,000 tax cut under the House-passed bill while the poorest Americans would see a $1,600 tax hike, the CBO said. The parliamentarian also accepted a revised proposal from the Senate Banking Committee to cut, rather than gut, the funding structure for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. The entity was set up in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, but Trump has downsized the bureau and its staff. Still, a range of GOP provisions have been found to be out of compliance with Senate rules–including shielding gun silencers from taxes and creating a national school voucher program.


Arab News
5 hours ago
- Arab News
Surge in conflicts fuels extreme poverty: World Bank
WASHINGTON: Conflicts and related fatalities have more than tripled since the early 2000s, fueling extreme poverty, the World Bank said in fragile and conflict-affected regions have become 'the epicenter of global poverty and food insecurity, a situation increasingly shaped by the frequency and intensity of conflict,' the bank added in a new year, 421 million people get by on less than $3 a day in places hit by conflict or instability — a situation of extreme poverty — and the number is poised to hit 435 million by attention has been focused on conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East for the past three years, said World Bank Group chief economist Indermit 'half of the countries facing conflict or instability today have been in such conditions for 15 years or more,' he 39 economies are classified as facing such conditions, and 21 of them are in active conflict, the Washington-based development lender list includes Ukraine, Somalia, South Sudan and the West Bank and also includes Iraq although not report flagged that moves to prevent conflict can bring high returns, with timely interventions being 'far more cost-effective than responding after violence erupts.'It also said that some of these economies have advantages that could be used to reignite growth, noting that places like Zimbabwe, Mozambique and the Democratic Republic of Congo are rich in minerals key to clean tech like electric vehicles and solar panels.'Economic stagnation — rather than growth — has been the norm in economies hit by conflict and instability over the past decade and a half,' said Ayhan Kose, World Bank Group deputy chief bank's report noted that high-intensity conflicts, which kill more than 150 per million people, are typically followed by a cumulative fall of around 20 percent in GDP per capita after five years.