Liberty vs. Sun prediction: WNBA odds, picks, best bets for Sunday
The defending champion Liberty are mired in a midseason slump without any reason to believe they will turn things around, let alone cover a double-digit point spread.
The Liberty are 12.5-point road favorites against the Connecticut Sun on Sunday with a total of 169.5 points.
The Liberty just lost outright with the exact same matchup on Friday, as the Sun won for just the fifth time in 26 games this season.
The Liberty are still without injured star Breanna Stewart and her absence has overlapped with four straight losses.
Simply, this team just lacks the necessary firepower to be laying double digits. Plus, their defense ranks fourth worst in the league over their past four games.
Meanwhile, Connecticut has the league's worst record and is by no means a good team.
Nevertheless, its 5-21 mark is a bit misleading. Marina Mabrey, arguably their best player, missed nine games (1-8 record) so I will ignore that stretch.
Plus, Connecticut's young players have evolved throughout the season and are playing much better than they did to begin the year. Specifically, rookies Aneesah Morrow and Saniya Rivers both started on Friday and played key roles.
Breanna Stewart, the Liberty's injured star, won't play against the Sun on Aug. 3, 2025.
NBAE via Getty Images
The Sun have a quality coach, that is one main reason they are 13-13 ATS despite such a bad overall record.
The Liberty will be motivated to bounce back from an embarrassing loss but this still feels like too high of a spread.
I have a 58-48-1 ATS record in this Post sports section and my next play is the Sun +12.5 points.
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Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
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