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NBC Sports
3 days ago
- Sport
- NBC Sports
2025 MLB NL CY Young Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, including Paul Skenes vs Zack Wheeler
With the All-Star game taking place Tuesday night, it's the perfect time to break down the NL CY Young race between the 23-year-old Paul Skenes versus 35-year-old Zack Wheeler and why one player is the better bet than the other. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. NL CY Young: Paul Skenes (-105) vs Zack Wheeler (-125) Wheeler's calling card to voters is simple — he's never won a CY Young. At age 35, this could be Wheeler's final shot at the elusive award, but is what he's done enough or more impressive than Skenes? understand the logic of betting Wheeler, but if you've watched the two pitch this season, I think Skenes is the better of the two and arguably the best in all of baseball (Tarik Skubal says hi). However, if you look at basic stats and their consistency, you would say Wheeler has the slight edge, right? Pre All-Star Break Stats and NL Ranks Paul Skenes Zach Wheeler 2.01 ERA (1st) 2.36 ERA (6th) 122.0 innings pitched (T-3rd) .189 opponent batting average (T-3rd) .181 opponent batting average (1st) 0.93 WHIP (5th) 0.86 WHIP (2nd) 131 strikeouts (8th) 154 strikeouts (2nd) 12 starts with 0 or 1 ER allowed 11 starts with 0 or 1 ER allowed 3 games of 3 ER or more 4 games of 3 ER or more 4 wins (T-104th) 9 wins (T-8th) 8 losses (tied-20th most) 3 losses (T-4th best) If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! There isn't much that differentiates the two besides the wins, losses, and strikeouts, which all favor Wheeler. Skenes does have 26 more ground-balls than Wheeler and seven fewer homers allowed (13 to 6), which may bother some. Skenes clearly isn't trying to be that high-rate strikeout guy like early in his rookie season, but get more efficient outs and pitch longer into games — which he's done exceptionally well. However, while wins and losses historically are a common driving factor for voters, it's becoming not as detrimental since the offense is out of the pitchers control, more so than ever with the universal DH — meaning Skenes could have the upper hand. If you haven't seen or heard about that stat by now here it is — If the Pirates would have scored four runs in each of Skenes' 42 career starts, his win-loss record would be 28-1 rather than 15-10. Insanity at its finest! While four runs is a lot for any pitcher to get, that stat is supposed to provide clarity on how poor the Pirates offense and bullpen is and why that shouldn't hold Skenes back in CY Young voting. In his career wins, Skenes has a 1.19 ERA compared to a 2.39 ERA in losses or non-decisions, so either way, he hasn't been the Buccos' problem since he arrived. This year alone, Skenes has allowed 27 runs over 20 starts and the Pirates have lost 11 of those 20 games! Pittsburgh's offense has scored the fewest runs in not just the NL, but all of baseball — even the Rockies and White Sox. For more context, the Phillies have scored 112 more runs than the Pirates in one less game. Both Skenes and Wheeler will be dominant in the second-half, I have no doubts, but Skenes could post a sub 2.00 ERA this season (was doing so through 19 starts), sub .200 OBA, and still have a losing record, which on surface level makes no sense. Despite how it looks or sounds, I think what Skenes is doing weighs more impressive, challenging, and deserving than what Wheeler is doing. Pitching under the pressure of allowing two earned runs and being almost guaranteed a loss is not common and that's what Skenes goes through every start. I played and tweeted Skenes out at +115 to win NL CY Young and would go out to -115 odds prior to his first start for the second half of the year. I already played him at +300 on Opening Day to win CY Young, so I am double-dipping. Pick: Paul Skenes to win NL CY Young (1u) Vaughn Dalzell's MLB Futures Card 2 units: Aaron Judge to lead MLB in home runs (+130) 2 units: Cam Smith to win AL Rookie of the Year (+150) 2 units: Jacob Misiorowski to win NL Rookie of the Year (-110) 1 unit: Shohei Ohtani to win NL MVP (-110) 1 unit: Bobby Witt to win AL MVP (+450) 1 unit: Elly De La Cruz to win NL MVP (+2000) 1 unit: Garrett Crochet to win AL CY Young (+450) 1 unit: Paul Skenes to win NL CY Young (+115) 1 unit: Paul Skenes to win NL CY Young (+300) 1 unit: Jacob Misiorowski to win NL Rookie of the Year (+100) 1 unit: Byron Buxton to win AL Comeback Player of the Year (+430) 1 unit: New York Yankees to win AL East (-115) 0.5 unit: Dodgers to win 117-plus games (+650) 0.5 unit: Paul Skenes to lead MLB in wins (+1400) 0.5 unit: Garrett Crochet to lead MLB in wins (+2200) 0.5 unit: Juan Soto to lead the MLB in homers (+2800) 0.5 unit: Yordan Alvarez to lead the MLB in homers (+2000) 0.5 unit: Roman Anthony to win AL Rookie of the Year (+1200) 0.5 unit: Jacob Misiorowski to win NL Rookie of the Year (+1100) 0.25 unit: Drew Pomeranz to win NL Reliever of the Year (+1500) 0.25 unit: Aaron Judge to bat .400 by the All-Star break (+800) 0.25 unit: Aaron Judge to bat .400 for the season (+5500) 0.25 unit: Oneil Cruz to lead MLB in stolen bases (+15000) Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
NBC Sports
08-07-2025
- Sport
- NBC Sports
Rockies at Red Sox Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 8
It's Tuesday, July 8 and the Rockies (21-70) are in Boston to take on the Red Sox (47-45). Kyle Freeland is slated to take the mound for Colorado against Brayan Bello for Boston. The Red Sox dominated game 1 of the series, 9-3, behind three homers, including the first at Fenway Park via No. 1 prospect Roman Anthony. Boston has scored at least four runs in seven straight games and six or more in four connecting contests. The Red Sox won four straight games and six of the past seven, while Colorado is 1-3 and 2-5 in that same span. Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Rockies at Red Sox Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025 Time: 7:10PM EST Site: Fenway Park City: Boston, MA Network/Streaming: COLR, NESN Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Rockies at the Red Sox The latest odds as of Tuesday: Moneyline: Rockies (+196), Red Sox (-239) Spread: Red Sox -1.5 Total: 9.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Rockies at Red Sox Pitching matchup for July 8, 2025: Kyle Freeland vs. Brayan Bello Rockies: Kyle Freeland, (1-9, 5.49 ERA) Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 2 StrikeoutsRed Sox: Brayan Bello, (4-3, 3.42 ERA) Last outing: 5.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 1 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 3 Strikeouts Rockies: Kyle Freeland, (1-9, 5.49 ERA) Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts Red Sox: Brayan Bello, (4-3, 3.42 ERA) Last outing: 5.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 1 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 3 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Rockies and the Red Sox Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Rockies and the Red Sox: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Colorado Rockies at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 9.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC. Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Rockies at Red Sox Boston is 7-7 this season when Bello pitches Colorado is 3-13 this season when Freeland pitches Colorado is 0-3 this season when coming off a win where Freeland was pitching The Red Sox are on a 4-game win ML and ATS streak 4 of the Rockies' last 5 road games stayed under the Total If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
NBC Sports
01-07-2025
- Sport
- NBC Sports
Yankees at Blue Jays Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 1
It's Tuesday, July 1 and the Yankees (48-36) are in Toronto to take on the Blue Jays (46-38). Max Fried is slated to take the mound for New York against Kevin Gausman for Toronto. Toronto took the opening game of the series, 5-4, behind a four-run sixth inning. The Blue Jays have won two straight and four of the previous five games. After going on a season-long six-game losing streak, the Yankees have posted a 6-5 record with two two-game winning streaks. Both Gausman and Fried combined for 1 earned run, 1 walk, 13 strikeouts, and 9 hits over 15.0 combined innings in their last starts, so we could see a pitchers duel between the two. Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Yankees at Blue Jays Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 Time: 3:07PM EST Site: Rogers Centre City: Toronto, ON Network/Streaming: YES, Sportsnet, MLBN Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Yankees at the Blue Jays The latest odds as of Tuesday: Moneyline: Yankees (-166), Blue Jays (+139) Spread: Yankees -1.5 Total: 8.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Yankees at Blue Jays Pitching matchup for July 1, 2025: Max Fried vs. Kevin Gausman Yankees: Max Fried, (10-2, 1.92 ERA) Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 7 StrikeoutsBlue Jays: Kevin Gausman, (6-6, 4.21 ERA) Last outing: 8.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 6 Strikeouts Yankees: Max Fried, (10-2, 1.92 ERA) Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 7 Strikeouts Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman, (6-6, 4.21 ERA) Last outing: 8.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 6 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Yankees on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC. Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Yankees at Blue Jays The Yankees have won 20 of their last 34 games following a defeat The over has cashed in 17 of the Blue Jays' last 20 home games with Kevin Gausman on the mound The Blue Jays are up 1.31 units on the -1.5 run line with Kevin Gausman starting at Rogers Centre in 2025 Toronto is 9-7 on the ML when Kevin Gausman starts New York is 13-4 on the ML when Max Fried starts If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
Yahoo
02-04-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
MLB futures betting 2025: Odds, expert picks, predictions including Aaron Judge AL MVP and home run leader
After dropping a handful of best bets for the futures market ahead of Opening Day, here is another player prop in the futures market worth adding to your bet slip. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Advertisement Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Aaron Judge to lead the MLB in home runs (+130) One of my earliest blunders was thinking Aaron Judge wouldn't win the MVP. Oh, how wrong I'll probably be! The only thing standing between Judge and another MVP trophy is, quite simply, his health. A freak injury could throw a wrench into what promises to be an incredible season. But with odds sitting at -110 to -130, that ship has pretty much sailed on betting Judge for MVP. The value is gone. Instead, let's get a little creative. Forget MVP, let's talk about Judge leading the league in home runs. After all, the man's a monster. Last season, he crushed 58 bombs, and in 2022, he set a career-high with 62. And guess what? That record could fall this season. Advertisement Judge has been absolutely on fire to start the year, launching 4 homers and racking up 11 RBIs in just 3 games. He's not just hot, he's scorching. As the Yankees make headlines with their offensive fireworks, don't be surprised if other teams start following suit. New York just laid a smackdown on the Brewers, sweeping them in a 3-game series with a jaw-dropping 36-14 scoreline. Sure, Judge is wielding last season's bat, but let's be real—it's mostly him, not the bat. Now, I'm not going all-in on Judge at +130. I've got a little taste of the action on Juan Soto (+2800) and Yordan Alvarez (+2000) to lead the league in homers. But with Judge's scorching start, I'd be crazy not to get involved before the odds shift from +130 to -130. Get in now, folks. Pick: Aaron Judge to lead the MLB in home runs (2u) Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Yahoo
01-04-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
MLB Futures Betting 2025: Odds, expert picks, predictions including Oneil Cruz stolen base leader
After dropping a handful of best bets for the futures market ahead of Opening Day, here is another player prop in the futures market worth adding to your bet slip. Last season, we cashed Elly De La Cruz at +950 and +150 to lead the league in stolen bases before it became a runaway, but there is another name worth locking in this season. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Advertisement Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Stolen Base Leader: Oneil Cruz (+3000) I boldly tweeted that Oneil Cruz could lead the MLB in stolen bases at a crazy +15000 (150-to-1) odds, and well, wouldn't you know it—Cruz went out and swiped two more bags, immediately jumping to the top of the leaderboard. Just like that, the 26-year-old centerfielder is now leading the league with four steals in four games, and his odds have already dropped to +3000 (30-to-1). Sure, it's early, but Cruz is showing serious promise. While he's had some growing pains defensively as he transitions from shortstop to the outfield for the Pirates, his bat? Oh, it's on fire. In just four games, Cruz has already drawn six walks and only 15 at-bats. And let's not forget the 115 MPH monster home run he crushed against Miami. The man's got power, and all he needs is a little more patience at the plate. Advertisement Cruz's potential to lead the league in stolen bases is no longer just a maybe—it's looking more likely by the day. With 146 games under his belt last season, if he can stay healthy and match or even exceed that number, this isn't just wishful thinking. The Pirates may be struggling at 1-4, but that's partly why they've been aggressive on the bases — leading the league with 17 steals compared to the next closest team at 10. Cruz's power will be essential to this offense—and let's be honest, he's one of the only legitimate threats in this lineup. He's going to be used heavily this season, and with his blazing speed, I'm expecting him to at least double his 22 stolen bases from last year. If he can do that, and with his offensive growth, Cruz leading the league in steals won't just be a dream, it'll be a reality. Buckle up, Bucco! Pick: Oneil Cruz to lead the MLB in stolen bases (0.25u) Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
