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How Will Altria Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
How Will Altria Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

Forbes

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Forbes

How Will Altria Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

CHONGQING, CHINA - JULY 28: In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the ... More logo of Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO), one of the largest tobacco and nicotine product manufacturers in the United States, with a colorful mosaic background featuring the company's brand identity, on July 28, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by) Altria (NYSE:MO) is set to announce its earnings on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. For traders focused on events, gaining insight into historical stock performance during earnings periods can offer a significant advantage, although the actual outcomes versus consensus estimates will primarily influence market reactions. In the past five years, Altria's stock has delivered a positive one-day return in 53% of the cases following earnings announcements. When the returns were positive, the median one-day increase was 1.9%, with the highest one-day increase reaching 7.8%. Two key strategies to consider include: Analysts project that Altria will report earnings of $1.38 per share on revenues of $5.19 billion. This is in comparison to the same quarter last year, during which Altria reported earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $5.28 billion. From a fundamental standpoint, Altria has a current market capitalization of $101 billion. In the past twelve months, the company generated $20 billion in revenue, with $12 billion in operating profits and a net income of $10 billion, indicating robust operational profitability. Nonetheless, if you are looking for growth with less volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative—it has outperformed the S&P 500 and produced returns greater than 91% since its launch. Also, check out – Time To Buy Centene Stock? See earnings reaction history of all stocks Altria's Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return Here are some insights on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional information regarding observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is included along with the statistics in the table below. MO 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns A relatively less risky approach (although it may not be beneficial if the correlation is weak) is to grasp the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings, identify the pair with the highest correlation, and execute the suitable trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D demonstrate the highest correlation, a trader can adopt a "long" position for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is favorable. Below is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. MO Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings? Occasionally, the performance of peers can impact post-earnings stock reactions. In fact, the pricing might start prior to the earnings announcement. Below is some historical data comparing the past post-earnings performance of Altria stock with the performance of peers that reported earnings just before Altria. For a fair comparison, peer stock returns also reflect post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. MO Correlation With Peer Earnings Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), producing strong returns for its investors. Additionally, if you're looking for growth with a less turbulent experience than investing in a single stock like Altria, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and yielded >91% returns since its inception.

Fact Check: Pak journalist in this viral video isn't dead. He told us the real story
Fact Check: Pak journalist in this viral video isn't dead. He told us the real story

India Today

time21-07-2025

  • General
  • India Today

Fact Check: Pak journalist in this viral video isn't dead. He told us the real story

It is not unusual for a reporter to walk a few steps into the overflowing waters to show the magnitude and the force of floods. However, what about a scenario in which the reporter, showing the fury of floods live, suddenly loses control and is swept away forever? A video from Pakistan, supposedly showing exactly this, is widely viral in India. Several people online and media organisations, including NDTV and India Today's 'MO', reported that the Pakistani reporter died while covering the floods. Many publications just said that the reporter was 'swept away,' leaving it open to interpretation. advertisementHowever, India Today Fact Check tracked down the reporter, Ali Musa Raza of Pakistan, and spoke to him. He was not even swept away. MO deleted the video when pointed out the mistake. More than 170 people have already died in Pakistan since June 25, as massive floods have destroyed hundreds of houses in the Punjab province of the reporter's video went viral, it generated a range of reactions on social media. While some rued his 'tragic death', others applauded his journalistic spirit. Some discarded it as AI-generated, and still others thought it was staged. WHERE DID THE VIDEO COME FROM?Scanning through the news reports from Pakistan and India, we found that the source of this video is Rohi TV, a local media outlet based in the Punjab province of Pakistan. This original report was published on July 14. The man in the video is Ali Musa Raza, a Pakistani journalist who also goes by the name of Amir. According to the news published on the Facebook Page of Rohi TV on July 14, Musa and his cameraman shot the video at Koh Sulaiman, near Sakhi Sarwar in southern DID MUSA SAY?We spoke to Ali Musa Raza and asked him how the rumour about his death got viral. Musa said that it might have to do with how the viral video ends abruptly. Musa told India Today Fact Check that while he was neither swept away nor fell into the current. All that happened was that when he took a step back, his cable mic got disconnected, following which his cameraman paused the recording. Soon after his video went viral, and many Indian publications declared him dead, he started getting calls and messages from his friends and family. Musa was so fed up with these messages that he recorded a follow-up video on July 20, accusing Indian media of bias and spreading fake news. We asked Musa if he was swept away at the time, since he was almost entirely submerged in the flood waters. He claimed that he is an expert in shooting dramatic flood videos and has done it multiple times earlier as well. He boasted that this is not the first time that his videos have become viral in India. He shared with us his earlier adventures as a daredevil flood reporter.- Ends Want to send us something for verification? Please share it on our at 73 7000 7000 You can also send us an email at factcheck@

Military Digest: Another Kargil Vijay Diwas, another reminder of some uneasy questions that should not be wished away
Military Digest: Another Kargil Vijay Diwas, another reminder of some uneasy questions that should not be wished away

Indian Express

time20-07-2025

  • Politics
  • Indian Express

Military Digest: Another Kargil Vijay Diwas, another reminder of some uneasy questions that should not be wished away

In just a few days, the country will celebrate the 26th Kargil Vijay Diwas, marking the successful eviction of the Pakistan Army from the icy heights it had intruded upon in 1999. However, there are still many unanswered questions regarding the failures that allowed Pakistani troops to occupy Indian territory without detection. Celebrated annually on July 26, Kargil Vijay Diwas honours India's victory over Pakistan in the Kargil War of 1999. And while the bravery of the young officers and troops who snatched victory from the enemy's hands in the most treacherous terrains must be commemorated, it is equally important not to forget that there are many questions which remain unanswered till today. There have been numerous public accounts in recent years where senior officers have revealed that there were tell-tale signs indicating something was amiss weeks or months before the intrusions were actually discovered. Officers who were part of the higher echelons at the time have claimed over the years that it was known to Military Operations (MO) Directorate and Military Intelligence (MI) that Pakistan Army was replacing regular infantry battalions along the Line of Control (LoC) with Northern Light Infantry (NLI) units, the ones which eventually intruded into Indian territory. They claimed that the intelligence agencies and Army leadership made insufficient efforts to determine the reasons for this move, as well as where they were being utilised and for what purposes. The unrealistic frontage of 121 (Independent) Infantry Brigade headquartered in Kargil was 227 km, and it had about eight to nine battalions, including a BSF battalion under its Order of Battle (ORBAT). There was one battalion each in Dras, Kaksar, Chhani Gund, one in the central sector and one in Batalik. The brigade had 26 Maratha LI in Mushkoh and 9 Mahar in the gaps created by the withdrawal of the 28th Infantry Division, which had moved to the valley for counterinsurgency operations. This move has also been adversely commented upon in retrospect. The then Brigade Commander, Brigadier Surinder Singh, who was later moved out in the midst of operations and has since challenged his subsequent dismissal from service in the Armed Forces Tribunal (AFT), has claimed over the years that he sounded sufficient warnings. In a conversation with this correspondent some years ago, Brig Surinder Singh mentioned that he had conducted a reconnaissance as soon as he was posted as Brigade Commander. He said that he found some defences had to be prepared, and he made a detailed report, requesting defence stores and identifying possible points of intrusion. The higher formation headquarters is alleged to have refused this request, as well as the demand for mines to be laid on LoC. He also said that he briefed higher headquarters on the sand model in the operations room and war-gamed it in August or September 1998. In Mushkoh, posts were vacated in the winter for six months and in Batalik for four to five months. The then brigade commander claimed that he advised against removing the battalions from these places, but they were still removed, which resulted in gaps being created on the LoC that the enemy exploited. According to Lt Gen K H Singh, who commanded the 27 Rajput Battalion during the Kargil conflict, a significant information gap existed at the end of 1998. By March 1999, there were reasonable inputs about the intrusions by Pakistanis. The General also said that tell-tale signs of the intrusions were revealed much earlier than when they were actually discovered in May 1999, and he gave examples of having seen signs of intruders while on a helicopter sortie with the GOC of the Division. In this context, a former officer of the 5th Battalion of the Parachute Regiment (5 Para), ex-Major Manish Bhatnagar, has also raised several questions regarding the discovery of the intrusions and how these were subsequently handled during the conduct of operations. Bhatnagar was court-martialled in 2001 and dismissed from service. He had been found guilty of 'acts prejudicial to good order and military discipline' and handed out what seemed to be an excessive punishment disproportionate to the offence. The more serious charge against him pertained to disobeying a command to attack a position reportedly occupied by the Pakistan army. However, this charge could not be proven during his court-martial, and Bhatnagar was found not guilty. Bhatnagar contended during his trial that he had reported Pakistani intrusions well before they were discovered in May 1999 but that the Army top brass had disregarded his warnings. Bhatnagar's contention is that in January-February 1999, he observed and reported enemy activity at Point 5770, the northernmost and highest peak later reclaimed from Pakistani army regulars as part of Operation Vijay on June 29, 1999, by the 27th battalion of the Rajput Regiment. Bhatnagar said that he repeatedly reported enemy activities and exchange of fire while he was in an eyeball-to-eyeball situation close to Point 5770 and that he even spotted an enemy bunker and reported as above, in regular written situation reports, message log books and conversations up the chain of command to his then commanding officer, Col A K Srivastava. These reports were sent up the chain of command to Brigadier P C Katoch, then commander of the 102 Infantry Brigade and Major General V S Budhwar, then general officer commanding of the 3 Infantry Division. These claims and statements cannot be wished away, and till a definite answer is found to them, they will continue to resonate on every Kargil war anniversary.

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