
FMCG quarterly outlook: Weather and input costs hit topline in Q1; GCPL, Dabur, Marico flag mixed margin performance
While sequential demand recovery was visible — particularly in urban markets — earnings remained under pressure across the board.
Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (GCPL) said it expects to post high-single-digit value growth led by volumes, but added that margins from its India business will likely stay below the normative range in Q1FY26. 'Standalone EBITDA margin in Q1FY26 is likely to be below our normative range but is expected to improve,' the company said, quoted PTI.
Marico flagged inflation in key inputs such as copra, worsened by erratic weather. 'Gross margin is expected to be under incremental pressure, on a particularly high base and partly due to the pricing-led high denominator effect,' the company said, while projecting a modest operating profit for the quarter.
Dabur India Ltd said its consolidated revenue is expected to grow in low-single digits, weighed down by its beverages business, which took a hit due to a short summer and unseasonal rainfall.
Its consolidated operating profit growth is also expected to 'marginally lag' revenue growth.
However, Dabur noted strong performances in its home and personal care (HPC) segment, led by brands like Dabur Red Toothpaste, Odonil, Odomos and Gulabari. 'Key brands… are expected to post strong growth coupled with market share gains. Within healthcare, our brands such as Dabur Honey, Hajmola, Honitus and Health Juices are expected to post robust double-digit growth,' it said.
On broader sectoral trends, Marico noted 'consistent demand patterns' with signs of rural recovery and steady urban consumption. 'We expect gradual improvement in the quarters ahead, supported by easing inflation, a favourable monsoon season and policy stimulus,' it said.
Organised trade channels such as e-commerce, modern trade and quick commerce maintained their growth momentum through the quarter, both Marico and Dabur observed.
On the international front, Marico reported high-teen constant currency growth driven by broad-based expansion across most markets. Dabur expects to post 'double-digit constant currency growth' from its global operations.
However, GCPL's international performance was mixed. Its Indonesia business, the company's second-largest market after India, faced intense competitive pricing, likely resulting in flattish volumes. On the other hand, its GAUM (Godrej Africa, USA, Middle East) business is projected to deliver 'strong double-digit value growth and UVG for the second consecutive quarter.'
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