
Thousands of Americans Told To Avoid Outdoor Exercise
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Air quality alerts have been issued in several U.S. states as smoke from wildfires flows into the U.S. from Canada.
Why It Matters
Smoke blowing across the northern and eastern U.S. from Canada over the last week has resulted in a hazy skies and poor air quality.
High levels of smoke and pollution present a health hazard, especially for vulnerable populations such as children, seniors, and individuals with existing medical conditions.
What To Know
New York, Maine, Minnesota, and Vermont all have Air Quality Alerts from the National Weather Service in place on Sunday.
The Maine Department of Environmental Protection's (DEP) Bureau of Air Quality has warned of particle pollution until 11 p.m. ET Sunday evening.
The DEP advises those affected to consider reducing strenuous outdoor activity or exercise to lower the risk of health issues from elevated pollution levels, especially young children, the elderly, people with asthma or other respiratory conditions, individuals with heart disease, and anyone engaged in physically demanding outdoor work.
If you experience symptoms like coughing, shortness of breath, throat irritation, or chest discomfort, it's recommended to limit both the intensity and duration of your time outside.
Man running along FDR Drive on the east side of the New York City borough of Manhattan.
Man running along FDR Drive on the east side of the New York City borough of Manhattan.
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In Vermont, a currently active warning for the entire state expires at midnight ET, while in Minnesota, the warning expires at 11 p.m. CT.
In New York, several warnings are active, which do not currently have an expiration time or date.
In the spring and summer of 2023, massive wildfires in Quebec and Ontario sent heavy smoke across the northeastern U.S. On several occasions, New York City experienced thick, hazardous air conditions due to the smoke.
What People Are Saying
Jeff Masters, meteorologist, writing for Yale Climate Connections: "With fire danger at very high levels throughout much of Canada, we can anticipate that these major smoke-emitting fires will continue to burn for an extended period.
"Furthermore, the long-range fire forecast calls for above-average fire risk over much of the forested areas of western Canada and the western U.S. this summer, and we should anticipate frequent bouts of poor air quality from wildfire smoke across much of North America."
AccuWeather's Brett Anderson said that while some fires have been put out, "some of the big ones in remote areas are likely going to continue, unfortunately, through the summer into the fall."
What Happens Next
Canada's wildfire season runs from March to October, throughout the spring and summer months and into the fall. According to the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Center, there were 217 active fires across the country as of Saturday, June 7, with 94 of them considered "out of control." Most fires are located in British Columbia, 72, while there are 52 burning to the east in Alberta.

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Washington Post
40 minutes ago
- Washington Post
Flood deaths are rising in the U.S., fueled by heavier rainfall
The deluge that swept through Texas Hill County over the weekend, killing at least 100 people, showcased the growing national threat of record-setting floods fueled in part by climate change. The number of flood deaths has ticked up in recent years, according to National Weather Service data. Across the country, 145 flood-related deaths were reported in 2024 — well above the 25-year average of 85 flooding-related deaths per year. Many of these fatal floods were associated with tropical cyclones, which studies show have become stronger and wetter amid rising global temperatures. More than half of last year's flood deaths — 95 total — came during Hurricane Helene, which struck southeastern states in September and was the deadliest hurricane to hit the mainland U.S. since Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Though warmer oceans fuel stronger storms and rising sea levels enable greater storm surge, it is rainfall that has become the deadliest hurricane-related hazard in recent years. A Washington Post analysis of data from the National Hurricane Center found that freshwater flooding — the kind that occurs during heavy rainfall and swollen rivers — was responsible for 54 percent of all direct deaths from tropical cyclones in the United States between 2013 and 2024. In the 50 years before that, storm surge — which occurs when high winds push seawater onto the shore — accounted for roughly half of hurricane deaths, while only 27 percent of deaths were linked to freshwater flooding. Experts told The Post that this shifting hazard profile is probably partly due to improvements in storm surge warnings and evacuation procedures that save lives in coastal areas. But it is likely also a product of the warming oceans and atmosphere, which have allowed storms to deliver more rainfall to areas like the Texas Hill Country, hundreds of miles from the sea. The July 4 floods were part of the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry, which sparked a slow-moving thunderstorm cluster, drawing in copious amounts of tropical moisture from thousands of miles away. Around Kerr County, Texas, where most people died, four months of rain came down in just four hours. Jared Rennie, a research meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Centers for Environmental Information, said there's not enough data to know whether climate change has affected the frequency of flash floods — a subset of freshwater floods characterized by sudden, localized torrents that rip through landscapes. But the intense rainfall events that can lead to flash flooding have become more common, he added. 'A warmer atmosphere has the ability to hold more moisture,' Rennie said. 'So more events like Texas and Helene could happen.' Floods are the second-most common cause of U.S. weather-related deaths, behind extreme heat, according to the National Weather Service. Over half of flood-related deaths occur when someone drives a vehicle into floodwaters. Last week's flood was the deadliest camping-related flash flood in over 25 years, claiming many victims at summer camps along the banks of the Guadalupe River. A Post analysis found that 46 people have died in flooding at campsites since 2000. In 2010, 20 people died in flash floods at an Arkansas campsite on the Little Missouri River. The Post analysis also found that last week's flood was particularly deadly to children — officials say at least 28 children, most of them at a summer camp for girls, died in Texas. On average, 15 people under 20 years old die in flooding each year. Flooding-related deaths reached a record high in 2015, with 176 reported. Over a fourth of these 2015 deaths were in Texas, which had two separate instances of historic flash flooding — in south-central Texas in May and in central-eastern Texas in October, triggered by Hurricane Patricia. The National Weather Service distinguishes between deaths caused by flooding and those related to wind. Greg Pierce, co-director of the Luskin Center for Innovation, Water and Transportation Initiative at UCLA, said he expects flood deaths to increase in coming years due to heightened environmental risks from climate change and a lack of investment in warning systems that are key to preventing flooding fatalities. It's important to 'make sure people get information through channels that they trust and see,' Pierce said. 'We should invest in that, and we're not right now.'


E&E News
an hour ago
- E&E News
Flood predictions could worsen when Trump's cuts take hold
The White House is rejecting assertions from Democrats and former NOAA officials that its cuts to weather and disaster spending contributed to the Texas flooding that killed more than 100 people. But that stance sidesteps a looming reality: The vast majority of President Donald Trump's rollbacks to the agencies' funding, staffing and science have yet to land. Scientists and weather prediction experts warned that once he fulfills his agenda, areas around the country could face new risks as federal programs are degraded — from disaster warning systems and satellite observations to funding for flood projects and disaster aid. The Trump White House has proposed cutting $163 billion from the federal budget in the next fiscal year — making it the smallest in recent history. Advertisement 'Lives are going to be lost, property is going to be damaged,' said Rick Spinrad, who served as NOAA administrator under former President Joe Biden. On Monday, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt described Democrats who had pointed to Trump's cuts at the National Weather Service in the aftermath of the floods as 'depraved and despicable' and said the offices in the affected area were fully staffed. In fact, both offices had vacancies in key positions, according to NOAA's own records. A spokesperson for the White House budget office rejected the idea that Trump's policy ideas could affect the outcome of disasters. 'It is sad that while recovery efforts are ongoing, people are opportunistically trying to score political points by faulting unrelated budget cuts like the Green New Scam,' said Rachel Cauley. It's true that weather forecasts and warnings were accurate ahead of the disaster despite widespread cuts at the National Weather Service, which is part of NOAA. But weather predictions and forecast accuracy stand to change as Trump cements his agenda, according to a former top NOAA official and climate scientists. Hundreds of NWS officials have already lost their jobs, leaving vacancies in top meteorological roles that warn communities of looming weather extremes. The agency's basic functionality is already suffering. Billions more in federal budget cuts to agencies involved in weather and climate prediction and planning is slated for elimination. That includes cutting entire divisions of atmospheric research at NOAA, half of NASA's science division, labs that study extreme weather, weather-monitoring spacecraft now in orbit and thousands of additional scientists. The proposed Trump administration cuts are so steep to weather prediction and science that the forecast in Texas could be far more accurate than future predictions, Spinrad said. 'If you have a problem with the quality of that forecast, then you want to have a real problem with eliminating the National Severe Storms Laboratory,' Spinrad said, referring to one of the NOAA labs — an extreme weather research facility that Trump has slated for elimination. 'Our ability to improve the forecast, the understanding and the guidance with respect to responding to events like this is only going to degrade, not improve, and this is after decades and decades of improvement in all of these forecasts.' That includes tools for flood prediction and recovery — setting the country up for potentially worse outcomes when extreme rainfall strikes. Compromised flood predictions Chief among the proposed cuts is the elimination of NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, which coordinates scientific studies on everything from extreme weather to marine ecosystems. Its facilities 'provide indispensable scientific research and analysis for meteorologists across the country,' said Tom Fahy, legislative director at the union that represents NWS employees. OAR houses a network of NOAA laboratories and 16 science consortiums involving dozens of research institutes across 33 states. Many of them study extreme weather, from hurricane research in Miami to severe thunderstorm research in Norman, Oklahoma. They also help build weather models that scientists use to forecast events like the Texas floods. Trump's proposed cuts would also hamstring one of the main tools for observing weather in real time: Our eyes in space. The proposed NASA budget would severely cut funding for spacecraft that are used for weather prediction and modeling future conditions. A number of targeted satellites are already in orbit. NASA's $7 billion science division is slated to be cut in half, with the budget ax centering on climate research. That means predicting future floods — and the development of new tools for forecasting intense rainfall events — would be compromised. The next generation of Landsat satellites is a key example. For about 50 years, the satellites have been an essential tool for monitoring and mapping floods. Their data is important 'for assessing risk, mapping the extent of damage, and planning post-disaster recovery,' according to NASA. Trump is working to eliminate its funding. A few weeks ago, Trump administration officials archived the Landsat account on X and deleted information related to the planning for Landsat Next, the tenth version of the satellite, from its webpage. Weather forecasts gradually improve as scientists add more data. But they'll likely plateau — or even degrade — as NOAA's research and observation functions vanish, many scientists warn. OAR's research 'has been amazing at developing computer models to help in the forecasting of these types of events,' said John Sokich, NWS's former director of congressional affairs, referring to the Texas floods. But if the office isn't reinstated by Congress for 2026, he said, 'that's going to stop.' Some of the agency's most valuable models for flood prediction might be in jeopardy sooner rather than later. The government's accurate forecasts of the deadly floods were made possible by a suite of high-resolution NOAA weather models designed to predict thunderstorms, Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA, said in a live YouTube talk Monday. Having multiple models in the system helps scientists evaluate a range of possible outcomes when severe weather is on the horizon. NOAA tried to consolidate the collection of models into a single forecasting system a few years ago. But meteorologists expressed concern that it might not perform as well, and the change was delayed. Trump plans to revive the plan. 'There's benefit in having multiple models,' Swain said. 'How expensive is it really to maintain that, as opposed to the cost of them missing a catastrophic flood?' 'A disconnect' Meanwhile, staffing cuts at NWS offices across the country are likely to take a toll over time, experts say. NWS offices were adequately staffed during the Texas floods, in part because agency officials called 'all hands on deck' to deal with the disaster, according to Fahy. But the offices still have vacancies in key roles, including a permanent meteorologist-in-charge in San Angelo and a warning coordination meteorologist in San Antonio. Other offices across the country face similar shortages, and experts have raised alarms about the potential for burnout — which can lead to forecasting errors — among exhausted staff working overtime during disasters. At the same time, Trump has cut funding for activities that help meteorologists engage with local authorities. Warning coordination meteorologists — a top position at NWS offices — serve as liaisons with emergency managers and other officials, attending meetings, conferences and tabletop exercises aimed at planning for extreme weather events. Trump has suspended travel funding for these activities, according to Fahy, which could lead to long-term breakdowns in communication and collaboration between forecasters and their communities. 'They need to be able to do this,' Fahy said. 'That is the core function of their duties, which is the outreach of their message.' According to Fahy, vacancies at the NWS offices in Texas didn't cause problems during the deadly floods. But some experts are worried that they contributed to a gap between the severity of the weather forecasts and the way local authorities communicated the dangers to the public. 'Clearly there was a disconnect — the message didn't get to the people who need it when they needed it or they didn't understand it,' said Swain. He added that the science was spot on during the floods. In this case, forecasters were still able to do their jobs. But if Trump's proposed cuts become reality? 'That will 100 percent be responsible for costing lives,' Swain said. Reporter Daniel Cusick contributed.


Forbes
an hour ago
- Forbes
Heat Wave Hits Europe, Hot Weather Warnings Issued Nationwide
Extreme heat in Europe has been blamed for hundreds of deaths, a national monument has been shuttered in Greece and millions of Americans are under heat warnings from the National Weather Service as a scorching July gets underway around the world. A woman holds a fan during a heat wave in New York City, on June 22, 2025. AFP via Getty Images Parts of 18 states across the country are under heat advisories Tuesday, including extreme heat warnings in California, Arizona and Nevada, where temperatures could hit 120 degrees. A heat advisory along the East Coast has been issued in 11 states, including Virginia, North Carolina, Massachusetts, New Jersey and New York, and a heat index of up to 100 degrees is expected in New York City. Red flag warnings, which warn of dry, hot and windy weather perfect for wildfire combustion, accompany heat warnings in parts of Washington, Oregon, Idaho and Nevada. The NWS's Climate Prediction Center has said above-normal temperatures are expected across the entire contiguous United States for July, August and September. Parts of Europe are experiencing yet another heat wave this week that has forced the temporary closure of the Acropolis in Athens, Greece, where temperatures were predicted to hit 107 degrees Tuesday, and led to a health alert issued for some areas of England as the U.K. prepares for temperatures topping 90 degrees. In South Korea, an early end to monsoon season led to heat wave warnings issued across most of the country this week. Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: We're launching text message alerts so you'll always know the biggest stories shaping the day's headlines. Text 'Alerts' to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here : The World Meteorological Association has said global mean near-surface temperatures are expected to remain at, or near, record levels for the next five years. A May report says there is an 80% chance at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will be warmer than 2024, currently the hottest year on record, and that Arctic warming over the next five winters is predicted to be more than three-and-a-half-times the global average. Parts of Europe were debilitated by a heat wave last week that has been blamed for hundreds of deaths and shuttered popular tourist attractions. A powerful heat dome combined with a marine heat wave in the Mediterranean Sea, causing temperatures up to 9 degrees above average to soar across the continent. Temperatures broke records in Spain (which reached 114.8 degrees) and Portugal, which recorded its hottest temperature ever (115.8 degrees). Portugal's directorate-general for health said the country recorded 284 excess deaths during the heat wave, a majority of which were people older than 85. Italy and France each reported two deaths and hundreds of hospitalizations in the heat wave, and four people died in Spain. In France, the Eiffel Tower summit was closed to tourists for several days and the Beznau Nuclear Power Plant in Switzerland was forced to close one of its reactors due to high river-water temperatures. Wildfires blazed and forced evacuations on the Greek island of Crete, in Portugal and Spain and in five districts in Turkey, where 50,000 residents were temporarily displaced and dozens of people were injured. Key Background Since the industrial revolution introduced skyrocketing use of fossil fuels and other climate-harming behaviors in the mid-1800s, Earth has been warming at an unprecedented rate. Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean and biosphere have occurred since, and NASA says the current warming rate hasn't been seen in the last 10,000 years. In 2023, a sweeping climate report declared Europe the world's fastest-warming continent, with a temperature 2.3 degrees Celsius hotter than it was in pre-industrial times. Globally, 2024 was the hottest year on record. Temperatures in 2024 were 2.3 degrees Fahrenheit above NASA's 20th-century baseline and the breaking of the record came after 15 consecutive months of monthly temperature records (from June 2023 through August 2024). The hottest day ever recorded was on July 22, 2024, when global surface air temperatures reached an average of 62.87 degrees Fahrenheit. Further Reading Forbes First Heat Wave: Here's What To Know As 170 Million People Could Be Affected Across U.S. By Antonio Pequeño IV Forbes Europe Warming Faster Than Any Other Continent, Report Suggests By Mary Whitfill Roeloffs Forbes 3 Policy Approaches To Tackle Extreme Heat By Michael Sheldrick