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ABC News
6 hours ago
- ABC News
Did Donald Trump just give China a major advantage on AI?
Last month, the Trump administration quietly reversed one of its own policies by lifting a ban on US tech giant Nvidia's H20 microchip exports to China. For anyone who has followed Donald Trump's erratic record on trade, another U-turn might not sound like a notable development. But this time, the stakes are much higher because these microchips are critical to powering the next generation of artificial intelligence. Whichever country dominates microchip production will likely lead the global AI race, with massive implications for military strategy and economic output. For nearly three years, the US has tried to keep these powerful chips out of China's hands. Now, by reopening the door, has Mr Trump handed Beijing a major advantage on AI? We spoke to three experts to explain how we got here. Back in April, the Trump administration banned H20 microchip exports to China, toughening restrictions put in place by the Biden administration. It has since reversed that decision. According to Jason Van Der Schyff, a fellow at Australian Strategic Policy Institute's technology and security program, this backflip may be in response to the booming black market demand for high-powered US chips in China. "Over a billion dollars worth of restricted chips were smuggled into China in just a few months," he said. "The reversal may be a pivot by the administration, recognising if you don't offer a legal channel for the slightly degraded chips, buyers will simply go around you." Professor Shahriar Akter, who specialises in the study of advanced analytics and AI at the University of Wollongong said this move seems to follow "a philosophy in Silicon Valley that if you sell more" it will pour more back into "your research and development". Associate Professor in Information Systems at Curtin University, Mohammad Hossain, suggested the Trump administration is trying to kill two birds with one stone. The US is trying to maintain leverage in a broader geopolitical trade-off involving China's critical exports, rare earth elements, while "keeping China dependent on US technology", he said. Nvidia is the tech giant behind these highly sought after microchips and it is led by CEO Jensen Huang who is the ninth-richest man in the world. The H20 is a step-down from Nvidia's top-tier chips (H100 and B200) and was specifically designed to comply with US export restrictions while catering to the Chinese market. "Basically, [H100 and B200 chips] can do things much faster than the H20," Mr Van Der Schyff said. "If we consider how quickly AI is moving any impediment that could be brought to time more than anything is going to maintain that US strategic advantage." While the H20 is less powerful, Mr Van Der Schyff warns that "these aren't toys … even slightly downgraded chips still enable model training at scale". "If you're concerned about national security, letting an adversary access chips that are only one rung down the ladder still poses a strategic risk." While the US hopes to stall China's progress in artificial intelligence, experts warn this strategy may have the opposite effect. China's push to dominate AI is already underway and restricting exports to only H20 chips incentivises them to accelerate domestic developments. "At present in the world, 50 per cent of AI researchers are being produced by China alone," Dr Akter said. Chinese tech giants like Huawei and Biren Technology have been ramping up their own AI accelerators. "Huawei's chips are already being deployed in major training clusters," Mr Van Der Schyff said. Still, China's domestic developments trail behind industry leaders like Taiwan's TSMC and South Korea's Samsung when it comes to cutting-edge manufacturing. "There isn't necessarily a danger that China catches up overnight but these restrictions do however give Beijing a clear incentive to sort of go all in on industrial policy for their own semiconductors to accelerate domestic progress," Mr Van Der Schyff said. "We've seen this play out previously with 5G and also with aviation." All three experts cautioned that it's difficult to gauge China's true AI capabilities. "Given the closed nature of China's systems and their propensity to not always tell us the truth", it's unclear how much China's artificial intelligence has developed, Mr Van Der Schyff said. Dr Akter used an analogy to explain the uncertainty: "There are two types of AI technologies", one is called glass box and the other is called black box. "Glass box technology is basically explainable AI, which is open source and we can explain where data is coming from and how it is being used to develop AI models and what would be the outcome." Whereas, black box technology is the opposite, we cannot trace back to the source of the data and we cannot tell what models have been used. That opacity makes it difficult for the rest of the world to assess whether Beijing is playing catch-up or quietly pulling ahead. The country that has the upper hand in microchip production will likely lead the global AI race and that has significant repercussions, experts said. "The country that dominates compute will dominate AI, and AI will shape everything from military planning to economic productivity."
News.com.au
14 hours ago
- News.com.au
‘Pure evil': Epstein survivors and their families horrified as co-conspirator Ghislaine Maxwell suddenly framed as a ‘victim'
Multiple victims of Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell have expressed their disgust at suggestions she could receive 'preferential treatment' from the government, or perhaps even a presidential pardon. They are increasingly, palpably worried that Maxwell's monstrous crimes, particularly those committed against underage girls, are being forgotten. Maxwell, who has never admitted to her role in Epstein's sex trafficking scheme, was the person chiefly responsible for procuring minors for him to abuse. She enticed them into his orbit, groomed them, and used various methods to keep them trapped. The victims have long alleged that Maxwell also participated in the sexual abuse. Last month, as the Trump administration struggled to neutralise a public backlash against its handling of the Epstein files, the man Donald Trump had appointed Deputy Attorney-General – his own former defence lawyer, Todd Blanche – went to visit Maxwell. Mr Blanche spoke to Epstein's partner and chief co-conspirator for two days. Lawyers representing Maxwell, who are currently trying to get the Supreme Court to throw out her convictions on child sex trafficking charges, later said she had discussed about a hundred people connected to the Epstein case. Obvious fears arose among Maxwell's victims. Did the government intend to seek a shortening of her 20-year prison sentence in exchange for her co-operation? Was President Trump open to pardoning her, which would set her free immediately? And how would the obvious conflicts of interest be navigated? Mr Trump, who was friends with Epstein and Maxwell for about 15 years and whose name reportedly appears 'multiple times' in the Epstein files, wants to be absolved of any suggestion he was involved in their crimes (and, we should note, there is at the moment no evidence he was). Maxwell, obviously, wants to get out of jail, something she almost certainly cannot achieve without Mr Trump's grace. Every incentive compels her to be, ahem, helpful to the President. And this is someone with a long record of lying, including while under oath. Perhaps nothing is amiss, but the ingredients for a potentially corrupt quid pro quo are there. You can understand why Epstein's survivors are suspicious. Two other elements have fed into their building unease. First, on the fringes of America's right-wing media, some bloviaters have started to speak of Maxwell as a 'victim'. 'I think this is great,' Newsmax anchor Greg Kelly said last week, for example, referring to the government's overtures towards her. 'I do have a feeling that she just might be a victim. She just might be. There was a rush to judgment, there was a lot of chaos there for a while. 'Granted, she hung out with Jeffrey Epstein, and I know that's apparently not good.' Apparently! (Oh, and Maxwell did much more than merely 'hang out' with Epstein, as we shall explore in a moment. Apparently some folks need to be reminded.) Second, today we learned that the government had quietly moved Maxwell from her jail in Florida to a lower security one in Texas, which houses several female celebrity inmates. The fraudster Elizabeth Holmes is there, for example. Why move Maxwell? That has not been explained. Hence an angry statement released today, co-signed by Annie and Maria Farmer, both of whom were victims of Epstein and Maxwell, plus the family of Virginia Giuffre, who did so much to expose the pair's crimes before taking her own life earlier this year. 'It is with horror and outrage that we object to the preferential treatment convicted sex trafficker Ghislaine Maxwell has received,' the statement reads. 'Ghislaine Maxwell is a sexual predator who physically assaulted minor children on multiple occasions, and she should never be shown any leniency. 'Yet, without any notification to the Maxwell victims, the government overnight has moved Maxwell to a minimum security prison. This is the justice system failing victims right before our eyes. 'The American public should be enraged by the preferential treatment being given to a pedophile and a criminally charged child sex offender. 'The Trump administration should not credit a word Maxwell says, as the government itself sought charges against her for being a serial liar. 'This move smacks of a cover-up. The victims deserve better.' Some other remarks worth mentioning, here. 'My little sister is one of her victims, and so am I,' Maria Farmer told MSNBC, slamming politicians who 'want to entertain Ghislaine Maxwell' and 'act like we victims should not be heard from'. Her sister Annie told The Daily Mail any deal between the government and Maxwell would 'be devastating' and 'feel like a slap in the face'. 'It doesn't sit well that this is all happening without any involvement from the people they asked to testify in her case, or other victims,' she said. 'It's hard not to be anxious.' Theresa Helm said any leniency shown towards Maxwell 'would mean the complete crumbling of this justice system'. 'We all deserve a pathway to justice. We don't deserve to have it, yet again, robbed from us,' she told MSNBC. 'It truly does seem like an upside down world.' During an interview about Maxwell's case in 2021, which feels relevant in this discussion, Sarah Ransome described Maxwell as 'the chief orchestrator' who had 'forced' her into the room where Epstein raped her. 'It actually makes me sick that she is claiming to be a victim, or have any form of innocence' said Ms Ransome. 'This is the same woman that grabbed my arm and forced me into a room to be raped by Jeffrey. It was brutal. 'And I remember limping from Jeffrey's bedroom. I remember looking at Ghislaine, and she had this evil smirk on her face. She knew I was there to be raped, and she enjoyed it.' Speaking to CNN this week Ms Giuffre's brother, Sky Roberts, said Maxwell 'deserves to rot in prison, where she belongs'. 'Because of what she's done to my sister, and so many other women. It's absolutely a pure sense of evil,' Mr Roberts said. 'She wasn't stolen. She was preyed upon,' he added, alluding to Mr Trump's complaint this week that Epstein 'stole' staff from his Mar-a-Lago resort, including Ms Giuffre. '(Maxwell) wasn't just a recruiter. She participated, and viciously participated, with these girls, abusing them.' He said his sister described Maxwell as a 'monster' from 'a nightmare'. Journalist Tara Palmeri, who has reported extensively on the Epstein case and knows multiple victims, described recent events as 'infuriating'. 'Because I know so much about her. I know the damage she did to these girls,' Ms Palmeri said on her YouTube channel. 'So many of them are more angry with her, for the abuse, than Epstein. She was the one that violated them. She was the one that called Annie Farmer's mother and said, 'Don't worry, I'll take care of her, you can let her go to the ranch.' That was where Ghislaine Maxwell was the first one to touch Annie, and then Epstein jumped in. 'She was involved in the actual molestation of these girls. She didn't just bring them to Jeffrey Epstein.' All these comments are worth remembering, going forward. Ghislaine Maxwell was not Epstein's sidekick, she was his partner, and is no less culpable. She wasn't pulled into the web of his sex trafficking scheme – if anything, she was chiefly responsible for weaving it. She should not be pitied. Or trusted.
SBS Australia
21 hours ago
- SBS Australia
Dozens of countries hit in Trump tariff blitz
Listen to Australian and world news, and follow trending topics with SBS News Podcasts . The U-S President has announced steep tariffs for 92 nations, including Canada at 35 per cent, and India at 25 per cent. President Donald Trump says the hikes target nations that failed to engage with U-S economic and security interests. But Australian goods will stay at the 10 per cent baseline. Trade Minister Don Farrell says Australian goods are now more competitive in the U-S market, after Donald Trump's latest tariffs announcement. Australia has been spared from an increase in tariffs and the rate remains at the lowest level of 10 per cent. Mr Farrell says that outcome is good for Australia. "What this decision means in conjunction with all the other changes to other countries is that Australian products are now more competitive into the American market. This means products like wine, like beef, like lamb, like wheat, are cheaper into the United States." New Zealand faces a 15 per cent rate, and Canada up to 35 per cent on items outside the US-Mexico-Canada agreement. The White House cited non-tariff barriers and fentanyl trafficking, though Canada accounts for just one per cent of US fentanyl imports. Ottawa says it's boosting border security and fighting transnational crime. Canberra's recent easing of restrictions on American beef is denied as being linked to the decision. Switzerland faces the highest tariff increase, up to 39 per cent. Jean-Philippe Kohl from Swissmem says tens of thousands of tech jobs are now at risk. 'It is really, it was a shock for us, and it is a shock for our export industry and the whole country. We are really stunned. And the tariffs are not based on any rational basis and are arbitrary, and it is impossible to explain what it means and why this decision is made so. So, there is no rationality.' Swiss pharmaceutical giants Roche and Novartis were spared, but broader economic impacts are expected to be severe. The Swiss government is reviewing its response. Meanwhile, Bangladesh has won a key concession, with U-S tariffs on its garment exports cut to 20 per cent, down from a proposed 37 per cent. The decision is a relief for the country's $60 billion [[US$40 billion]] apparel industry, the world's second largest. Factory owner and former trade official Mohiuddin Rubel says the move helps level the playing field. 'Initially when it (Trump's tariff) was imposed, few of our competitors were having lesser tariff than us. So, we were in little bit of a shaky position to fight with them and how to cope up with them in the competition. So, when now it has been revised, all of our competitors almost are in equal stage.' Meanwhile in Taiwan, a 20 per cent tariff has left industries such as machinery and plastics on edge, as companies weigh whether to shift operations. One executive, Mr Wang, warns the impact could ripple across multiple sectors. 'It all depends on the final tariff rate. If it remains 20 percent, it will be a big blow for machine tools manufacturing, machinery and textile industries. And the impact may affect other industries on different levels. As a result, it all depends on the final tariffs rate, what markets Taiwan needs to open for the U.S., what we need to invest in U.S. We won't know the impact until then.' In Malaysia, most pharmaceutical and semiconductor products will be exempt despite a new 19 per cent tariff on other exports. Trade Minister Tengku Zafrul Aziz says the decision followed high-level talks. "In the end, at 5am we finished the discussion in the morning and Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim briefed us that President Trump has agreed with the tariffs for Malaysia, which is 19 per cent, announced along with other countries. This will be followed by a joint statement by the Malaysia and US side, including the Malaysia Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) and the US Trade Representatives (USTR) either on Saturday or Sunday." South Africa is also bracing for the fallout. Dynamic Fluid Control, a major valve manufacturer, fears the 30 per cent levy on steel could force it out of the U-S market. C-E-O Tumi Tsehlo was blunt. "You know the longer the tariffs stay in place, the longer the situation will continue to disable us." South Africans voiced concern over the potential impact of a 30 per cent tariff imposed by President Trump, warning of job losses and economic uncertainty as the measure takes effect. Kalomo Musokotwane is a marketing and events manager. "Thirty per cent is drastic. So a lot of people are going to lose jobs. And already the government is struggling to create more jobs as it is, and I don't see them creating any more jobs again. So it's going to probably be up to the entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurs are going to have to somehow find a way to bring back the economy. But then at the end of the day, a lot of people are going to lose.' Serbia has been hit with a proposed 35 per cent tariff. Bojan Stanic from the Serbian Chamber of Commerce described the move as excessive. "Serbia is among the most affected countries in the world with tariffs, if they really happen - we will have to wait for the official announcement of the officials in Serbia as well. The tariffs are even higher than those applied for Chinese goods coming to America. On the other hand, in Europe only Switzerland is higher with 39%. We can freely say that this is indeed an irrational decision, bearing in mind that in the last ten years, the economic exchange between America and Serbia has significantly increased." In France, perfume maker Corania is reeling from a 15 per cent tariff on its U-S exports. CEO Laurent Cohen says the sudden change has forced the 90-year-old company to rethink its business strategy. 'So this is new, it's forced on us, it's sudden. And so, we, who have been working in this market for many years, we had to turn around, we had to reinvent ourselves. We already had to be cautious because since January, we have no idea what's coming next.'
