Tropical wave detected in Atlantic — weeks before hurricane season really begins
Currently moving just west of Africa, large-scale low-pressure systems similar to this may lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone.
'The axis of a tropical wave is near 26W, to the south of 15N, moving west at around 11 mph. Nearby convection is noted in the monsoon trough and Intertropical Convergence Zone section,' forecasters at the National Hurricane Center said in their Tuesday update. Convection is a critical part of storm formation that sends warm air and moisture into the atmosphere.
This one, however, is not expected to threaten the U.S. or develop any further. That's due to a dry and dusty air mass in its path, WFTV 9 said.
Other areas of the Atlantic closer to the U.S. are quiet just 11 days before the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.
In fact, it may even be eerily quiet, according to Philip Klotzbach, a Colorado State University meteorologist specializing in Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts.
"Five other years since 1950 have had zero Northern Hemisphere named storms through May 15: 1973, 1983, 1984, 1998, and 2024," he wrote in a post on the social media platform X.
'The latest first named storm in the Northern Hemisphere since 1950 was in 1973. Ava formed in the eastern North Pacific on June 2 that year,' he noted.
Since 2003, there have been 15 tropical cyclones that have formed before June 1, according to the Pensacola News Journal. Of those, 11 formed in May.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from the beginning of June through November 30.
This season may be less active than last year, which saw the destructive Hurricane Helene and Milton. June's Hurricane Beryl was the earliest Category 5 storm on record in the Atlantic.
The first named storm of the 2025 season will be Andrea.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will release its forecast for the season on Thursday. Forecasters at AccuWeather say the first storm could happen before the official start of the season.
"We're starting to get into that season where we need to kind of keep an eye out [in the Caribbean]," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Newsweek
2 hours ago
- Newsweek
Wildfire Threat Hits Hawaii as Pacific Hurricane Season Takes Off
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Meteorologists warned of an increased wildfire threat across Hawaii on Friday as strong winds begin to blow across the state, much of which is battling drought. Why It Matters Hawaii entered a period of heightened wildfire risk on Friday as the National Weather Service (NWS) issued a red flag warning for all leeward areas and interior sections of the islands. The warning signaled the potential for extreme fire behavior driven by strong winds and low humidity and comes in the middle of the Pacific hurricane season, which has already seen an active start. Wildfires pose a serious threat to Hawaii's communities, native ecosystems, drinking water, infrastructure, and cultural resources, as evidenced by the destructive Maui fires in 2023, which were fueled by strong winds. What To Know The NWS in Honolulu announced a red flag warning for all Hawaiian Islands, effective through 6 p.m. local time on Friday, due to a combination of dry conditions, strong easterly trade winds, and low relative humidity. The warning covered leeward portions of all islands and interior sections on the Big Island, listing expected wind speeds of 15 to 30 miles per hour with gusts up to 40 mph on Oahu and Kauai, and gusts as high as 50 mph in Maui County and the Big Island. Relative humidity levels were expected to drop as low as 35 to 45 percent in the afternoon, meaning the landscape would be increasingly susceptible to ignition. Residents were urged to avoid outdoor burning, refrain from parking vehicles on dry grass, and delay spark-producing activities until calmer conditions returned. The NWS's red flag warning comes as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) monitors four disturbances, including two tropical storms, Iona and Gil. Iona passed well south of Hawaii earlier this week, and although some of the winds in Hawaii were driven by the tropical systems passing south of Hawaii, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek an area of high pressure north of the islands is the primary driver behind the winds, similar to what happened in 2023. "These tropical systems that have gone by, like helped a little bit with some of the winds, but it's a similar two years ago when they had the wildfires in Maui," DaSilva said. "Everybody was really jumping on Hurricane while [Dora] played some role, [the winds] were caused by high pressure north of the island. Unusually strong trade winds really picked up around that high pressure, and that's what led to that event two years ago." DaSilva added that Hawaii is facing a similar setup now, although the trade winds won't be as strong. "We have a similar situation with these storms coming underneath Hawaii and strong high pressure to the north, but it's not nearly as strong as what happened two years ago," he said. "But winds are going to be strong enough through the weekend where there definitely can be some wildfire risk because it's so dry." Wildfires burn over the town of Lahaina as seen in the neighboring Kaanapali Alii resort, on August 08, 2023, in Maui. Wildfires burn over the town of Lahaina as seen in the neighboring Kaanapali Alii resort, on August 08, 2023, in Maui. Gonzalo Marroquin/Getty What People Are Saying NWS Honolulu in a red flag warning: "A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels can contribute to extreme fire behavior. Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. A Red Flag Warning does not predict new fire starts." It added: "Heat from vehicle exhaust systems can ignite dry grass. Park cars on areas that are paved or where vegetation is trimmed and cleared. High winds contribute to wildfire hazard. Delay activities that could throw off sparks until the wind dies down." What Happens Next? Officials and emergency agencies urged Hawaii's residents and visitors to remain vigilant, continue monitoring official weather updates, and take preventive measures seriously. DaSilva said strong winds will persist in Hawaii through the weekend before they start to die down early next week.
Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Yahoo
A surprising tropical cyclone 'outbreak' closes out July in the Pacific
The typically unremarkable central Pacific hurricane basin saw a surprising uptick in storms in late July as both major Hurricane Iona and Tropical Storm Keli spun harmlessly far from land. "The central Pacific Ocean is in the midst of an unusual tropical cyclone 'outbreak,' recording two concurrent named storms for the first time since 2015 and its first major (Category 3 or stronger) hurricane since Dora in August 2023," said WPLG-TV hurricane expert Michael Lowry in an e-mail on July 29. Fortunately, Hurricane Iona has now (as of July 31) weakened to a tropical storm and Keli has dissipated. "Tropical Storm Iona, and the remnants of Keli, continue to track to the west, far south of the main Hawaiian Islands," the National Weather Service in Honolulu said July 31. A third system, Tropical Storm Gil, is now spinning in the eastern Pacific basin. It poses no immediate threat to any land areas. While the twin storms in the central Pacific is "unusual," it's still a far cry from the all-time records set in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins: According to the National Hurricane Center, there have been as many as five active Atlantic tropical cyclones at once, which occurred Sept. 10-12, 1971. In the eastern Pacific, on Aug. 26, 1974, there were five simultaneous named storms of at least tropical storm strength, Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University, told What does the activity in the Pacific mean for the US? While eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes can affect the west coast of Mexico and their remnants occasionally affect the Southwest U.S. with drenching rain, central Pacific storms usually miss all land areas, though they can sometimes affect Hawaii. Tropical cyclones in the Pacific and Atlantic, while similar storms, have slightly different "seasons," with the eastern Pacific season starting two weeks earlier. Additionally, the large-scale climate factors that go into a given season's level of activity are different: For example, if forecasters predict an active Atlantic season due to La Niña, the opposite prediction is usually made for the eastern Pacific, which tends to be more active during El Niño years. As well, individual storms in each basin seldom interact directly since Central America acts as a barrier between the two basins. And while some storms can cross over between basins, usually their low-level circulation dissipates before making a complete crossover, the hurricane center said. Furthermore, hurricanes very rarely cross over from the Pacific Ocean to the Atlantic basin, AccuWeather reports: most of the hurricanes that have crossed over, records show, have taken a path from the Atlantic basin to the Pacific basin. In addition, both the central and eastern Pacific basins are separate from the Atlantic basin, which is the basin that we're most familiar with. All the basins have separate lists of names. Iona was a major hurricane The Central Pacific Hurricane Center said in a July 29 advisory that Hurricane Iona had strengthened into a major hurricane several hundred miles south of the Hawaiian Islands. At its peak, the storm had maximum sustained winds near 125 mph with higher gusts, making Iona a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. However, by July 31, Iona had weakened to a 50-mph tropical storm and continued to move west into the open Pacific Ocean, far from land. "There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect," the Central Pacific Hurricane Center said. Where is the central Pacific hurricane basin? The central Pacific basin encompasses all storms and hurricanes that form between 140° West Longitude and the International Date Line. It's distinct from the more familiar eastern Pacific basin, with the dividing line being an invisible line in midst of the ocean (140°W). Additionally, the National Hurricane Center handles naming for storms in the eastern Pacific, while the Central Pacific Hurricane Center handles naming for storms in the central Pacific. More: Hurricane Iona has strengthened into a Category 3 storm: See path Central Pacific basin is usually rather quiet The central Pacific basin can see a wide range of activity depending on the year, according to Lowry. Generally, he said the basin observes its most active hurricane seasons during El Niño years like 2015, 2009, and 1997 when it recorded 16, 7, and 9 tropical cyclones respectively. On average, the central Pacific sees only 4 to 5 tropical cyclones (tropical depression, storms, or hurricanes) each season and around three named storms (tropical storm or hurricanes), Lowry said. NOAA predicted a less active central Pacific hurricane season in 2025, with a range of 1-4 tropical cyclones across the basin. (This story has been updated with new information.) This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Hurricane forecasters eye 'outbreak' of tropical cyclones in Pacific Solve the daily Crossword
Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center tracking 4 tropical waves. August brings increased risk for hurricanes
The tropics remain quiet in the Atlantic basin, but forecasters are warning activity is expected to pick up this month. "August arrives with a whiff of impending calamity," said Dr. Ryan Truchelut, chief meteorologist with WeatherTiger, who also described August as "the worst month of the year." Truchelut is a Florida meteorologist who works with the USA TODAY Network. Water temperatures from the coast of Africa to the Gulf and southwestern Atlantic are at or above 80 degrees, which supports tropical development, according to AccuWeather. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location While the National Hurricane Center anticipates no tropical activity over the next seven days, AccuWeather forecasters are keeping an eye on an area showing potential for development off the U.S. east coast in early August. "Historically, there have been about 30 August U.S. major hurricane landfalls in the last 175 years, with a clear preference for these most powerful storms to strike the western Gulf," Truchelut said. Most storms develop between mid-August and mid-October, and forecasters said several signs are out there indicating activity will be picking up. The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter. The fourth named storm in the Atlantic basin typically arrives Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. Forecasters warn now is the time to prepare for a hurricane, and you can save on hurricane supplies starting today. A permanent ban on sales taxes for certain hurricane supplies began Friday, Aug. 1. ➤ Track active storms In the Pacific, forecasters are watching five tropical systems, including Tropical Storms Gil and Iona. Gil is expected to strengthen into a hurricane later today. ➤ Pacific hurricane season up to 9 named storms. What about Atlantic? Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m. Aug. 1: What is the National Hurricane Center tracking in the tropics? The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, including two in the Caribbean. Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 55W, and moving west around 17 mph. Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave is in the eastern Caribbean with axis near 66W south of 20N, moving west at 11 to 17 mph. Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean with axis near 81W south of 20N, moving west at 6 to 11 mph. Is there a hurricane coming toward Florida? No tropical development is expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center. "In the coming days, we will be watching the zone from northeast of Florida to just off the Carolina coast for tropical development," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. ➤ Enjoy quietest start to hurricane season since 2009; but back half could be brutal "Initially, this area, as well as farther west over the interior of the Carolinas, Georgia, northern Florida and southern Alabama, will be quite active in terms of drenching showers and gusty thunderstorms from this weekend to early next week. "Fronts that stall near the warm waters of the southwestern Atlantic sometimes can slowly brew a tropical storm or a storm that forms along the front and becomes tropical over time. The latter tends to have much greater wind potential than a non-tropical storm and can go on to become a powerful hurricane. "Roughly from Saturday, Aug. 2, to Tuesday, Aug. 5, is the time frame for a tropical storm to develop just off the U.S. southern Atlantic coast," DaSilva said, adding steering breezes would likely guide any storm away from the U.S. later next week. "By the middle of next week, it's worth keeping an eye on the area between Florida, the Carolinas, and Bermuda, where one such wave may interact with a stalled-out cold front. But overall, I don't see significant tropical threats to the U.S. in the first third of August," Truchelut said. "Historically, there have been about 30 August U.S. major hurricane landfalls in the last 175 years, with a clear preference for these most powerful storms to strike the western Gulf." Could Florida feel any impacts from potential system off US coast? Regardless of development, tropical moisture that interacts with the stalled front and low pressure associated with a brewing storm is likely to unleash torrential downpours along the southern Atlantic Coast to the northeastern Gulf Coast from this weekend to early next week, according to AccuWeather. In areas that receive these downpours repeatedly day after day, the threat for flash flooding will grow and increase, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. The worst rain is predicted to miss Florida, but areas across the Panhandle and North Florida could see between 2 to almost 4 inches of rain, according to NOAA. The worst rain is expected to fall across southeast Georgia to coastal South Carolina, which could see 4 to 8 inches of rain over several days, AccuWeather warned. "Those with beach plans should be mindful of locally rough surf, thunderstorm downpours and the risk of brief tornadoes and waterspouts. Tropical Storm Gil expected to strengthen into hurricane in Pacific The National Hurricane Center is tracking four systems in the Pacific, including the seventh named storm in the eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm Gil. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph, with higher gusts. Further strengthening is forecast, and Gil is expected to become a hurricane today, Aug. 1. Iona is weakening, with maximum sustained winds now at 45 mph. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin Aug. 3. : Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a trough of low pressure located well south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable, anddevelopment is no longer anticipated. An area of low pressure is expected to form well southwest of southwestern Mexico within the next day or two. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development. Most of Florida under heat advisory On July 31, almost all of Florida — the lone exception was Monroe County — was under a heat advisory. On Friday, Aug. 1, heat advisories have been issued for Florida except for the western tip of the Panhandle and most of the west coast. Pensacola, western Panhandle: Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 106. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: A heat advisory is in effect through this evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon with gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. Jacksonville, North, Northeast Florida: The heatwave is expected to continue into Saturday. Don't be fooled by slightly lower air temps this weekend; the humidity will make it feel dangerously hot, with heat index values hitting 105-112. A heat advisory begins at 10 a.m. Daytona Beach to Stuart, central and eastern Florida: Stretch of hazardous heat continues. A heat advisory is in effect for all of East Central Florida today for heat index values up to 110 degrees. Showers and storms begin along the sea breeze by midday, moving inland in the afternoon/evening. South Florida: A heat advisory is in effect from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m. today. Offshore scattered showers continue on both coasts this morning. Southwest, western Florida: temperatures trending back closer to normal as rain chances increase. Temps in the mid 90s, with heat index between 100 and 107. 2025 hurricane season so far An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages: Tropical Storm Andrea: formed June 24. Average start date: June 20 Tropical Storm Barry: formed June 29. Average start date: July 17 Tropical Storm Chantal: formed July 5. Average start date: Aug. 3. Next up, Dexter: Average start date: Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. ➤ How to set up emergency cellphone notifications for flash flood warnings and safety tips ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Hurricane names for 2025 season Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea (June 24) Barry (June 29) Chantal (July 5) Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. When is the peak of hurricane season? National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Why does NHC say 'tropical cyclone' on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm? Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA said. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Hurricane Center hurricane forecast, Florida impacts for August