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National Hurricane Center monitors multiple systems ahead of possible tropical increase
National Hurricane Center monitors multiple systems ahead of possible tropical increase

Yahoo

time5 days ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center monitors multiple systems ahead of possible tropical increase

A tropical disturbance in the northwestern Caribbean popped up Thursday night and is showing a low chance for development over the next few days. Elsewhere in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on four tropical waves, including two in the Caribbean. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location There's been only one named storm in the Atlantic basin so far this season but forecasters are keeping an eye on areas close to the U.S. showing some potential for development as we get close to the Fourth of July weekend. The next named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Barry. Keep an umbrella handy today. Showers and thunderstorms are predicted across most of Florida Friday, June 27, according to the National Weather Service. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 2 p.m., June 27. A broad area of low pressure has formed over the Yucatan Peninsula in association with a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula. Some additional development is possible over the next few days when the system moves into the Bay of Campeche this weekend. By early next week this system should move inland over Mexico, ending its chances of additional development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. Formation chance through 48 hours: 20 percent. Formation chance through seven days: 30 percent. Tropical waves Tropical wave 1: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W from 15N southward, and moving west around 11 mph. Tropical wave 2: A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 52W from 17N southward, and moving west around 11 mph. Tropical wave 3: A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 83W from 16N southward across western Panama into the East Pacific. It is moving west at 11 mph. Tropical wave 4: Another tropical wave is along 90W from the northern Yucatan Peninsula southward across Guatemala and El Salvador into the East Pacific. It is moving west at around 6 mph. The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. There's no tropical system threatening Florida at this time. However, AccuWeather forecasters are warning there is a potential for tropical development in the Gulf or off the southeast coast of the U.S. in early July, the holiday weekend. 'The potential is definitely there off the Southeast Coast or in the Gulf," said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert via email. "The water temperatures are warm enough to support tropical development in that area and the wind shear looks to be fairly low overall in that area.' 'We're forecasting a low chance that anything develops at this point, but this time of the year, this is where we would typically see tropical activity spin up in late June and early July, If anything develops over the next two weeks, it will happen close to home. "There's nothing unusual here. We would typically look close to home for possible tropical development early in the season. If anything develops, it's likely that rainfall would be the primary concern. 'A cold front during the first couple of days of July will come off the southeast coast and stall. The tail of the front will essentially extend across Florida and into the Gulf. If that frontal boundary stalls for a couple of days and we see any convection, that's how we could end up with tropical development next week." 'We expect tropical activity to pick up later on in the hurricane season. This very well could be a back-half loaded season," DaSilva said. Right now, dry air and wind shear are helping keep tropical storms from developing, which isn't unusual for early in the hurricane season, which started June 1. "The second named storm in the Atlantic basin typically doesn't develop until mid to late July. We are on pace with the historical average. Records show that the first hurricane of the season typically doesn't develop until Aug. 11," DaSilva said. Predictions issued by NOAA, AccuWeather and Colorado State University all forecast an above-normal hurricane season. "We're forecasting a wet pattern across the Southeast in early July, regardless of any tropical development," DaSilva said. 'Much of Florida and the Southeast will see plenty of showers and thunderstorms during early July, and that could impact outdoor plans for the Fourth of July. 'Northern Florida and the Panhandle will see more rainfall than South Florida in early July.' 'There is a big plume of dust coming across the Atlantic right now. We expect more Saharan dust to reach portions of the southern U.S. from South Florida to Texas. 'We could have some Saharan dust high in the sky for the Fourth of July, especially across South Florida.' 'We could see some dirty rain across Florida that can make a mess on your car and other surfaces outside, thanks to the Saharan dust.' Florida weather forecast for June 27, 2025 Pensacola, western Panhandle: Early start to the morning with showers and storms already firing up along the coastline and out over the Gulf this morning. High near 87. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely today, with high near 92. Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Thunderstorm chances Increasing this afternoon and few severe storms are possible. Expect storms to develop along the sea breezes and northward from central Florida during the afternoon hours. The main threat with storms will be strong wind gusts. High near 91. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Plenty of thunderstorms expected this afternoon-evening from increasing moisture and a sea breeze collision near the Orlando metro area. Strong storms are possible and there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across much of the state. Temperatures expected to range from 88 in Daytona Beach to 87 in Stuart. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida: Quiet across South Florida this morning with the exception of a thunderstorm with plenty of lightning just offshore of Naples. Scattered storms and showers pick up in coverage this afternoon. Naples high near 90; West Palm Beach high near 84. Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: Interior portions of the forecast area are under a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms today with a threat of damaging wind gusts, hail 1inches in diameter or greater and locally heavy rainfall. Fort Myers high near 92 with heat index as high as 99; Sarasota high near 87. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This story was updated to add a gallery and new information. This article originally appeared on Florida Times-Union: National Hurricane Center monitors multiple systems ahead of possible tropical increase

North Texas high school coach and athletic director placed on leave after arrest on child sex-related charges, officials say
North Texas high school coach and athletic director placed on leave after arrest on child sex-related charges, officials say

CBS News

time25-06-2025

  • CBS News

North Texas high school coach and athletic director placed on leave after arrest on child sex-related charges, officials say

Howe ISD has placed its head football coach and athletic director on administrative leave following his arrest earlier this month on three child sex-related charges, according to the school district's superintendent. Andrew Michael Harvey, 35, of Rhome, is charged with solicitation of a prostitute under the age of 18, online solicitation of a minor for sexual conduct, and the sale, distribution or display of harmful material to a minor, according to arrest records. Part of multi-agency sting Harvey was arrested on Tuesday as part of a multi-agency online solicitation of a minor operation, carried out June 17–18 by the Tarrant County Sheriff's Office Human Trafficking/Child Exploitation Unit. Andrew Michael Harvey, 35, of Rhome Tarrant County Sheriff's Office District response and reporting In correspondence with Howe ISD families, Superintendent Kevin Wilson said Harvey has been barred from district property and contact with students and staff as the district cooperates with law enforcement. In addition, Wilson said the incident has been reported to the Texas Education Agency and the Department of Family and Protective Services. Background and employment history Harvey's teaching certificate is currently under review by the Texas Education Agency. He previously worked in Keller ISD and Sanger ISD. According to Wilson, Harvey passed fingerprint-based background checks upon being hired in June 2022. "As with all employees, Harvey completed and passed an initial fingerprint-based background check that identifies criminal history results through both the FBI and the Texas Department of Public Safety," Wilson said. "Howe ISD maintains a subscription to all staff background reports for the entirety of their employment. "... We are cooperating fully with law enforcement and are committed to transparency as this case develops, within the limits of what the law allows us to share and while maintaining confidentiality for any victim, as outlined by law." Community urged to report concerns Wilson urged anyone in the Howe ISD community with concerns or information to contact the Tarrant County Sheriff's Office at (817) 884-3099 or the Texas Department of Family and Protective Services at (800) 252-5400. "We will continue to keep our community informed as appropriate," Wilson said. Ongoing coverage CBS News Texas will provide additional information as it becomes available.

National Hurricane Center watching system off Florida for possible tropical development
National Hurricane Center watching system off Florida for possible tropical development

Yahoo

time03-06-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center watching system off Florida for possible tropical development

Keep an eye open for potential tropical development of a system off Florida's coast in the coming days, especially if it remains offshore. The first indication of potential tropical development close to the southeastern United States appeared on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook Monday afternoon, June 3. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Chances for development over the next two days ticked up slightly by 8 a.m. Tuesday, June 3, increasing from 0 percent June 2 to 10 percent. Meanwhile, storms continue to bring rain to much of Florida, with a flood watch issued for four counties in South Florida. Saharan dust moving across the Atlantic and moving into Florida this week is helping to keep the tropics quiet. The dust helps prevent storms from developing or strengthening. Historically, tropical systems in June develop close to the U.S., off the southeast coast or in the Gulf of America or Caribbean. Later in the season, storms typically form out of tropical waves moving off the coast of Africa. The Atlantic hurricane season officially began Sunday, June 1, and meteorologists from NOAA to AccuWeather are predicting an above-normal season. The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m., June 3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near or offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast along a frontal boundary during the next couple of days, according to the National Hurricane Center. "If the low remains offshore, it could gradually develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week while moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph." Formation chance through 48 hours: low10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10 percent. The National Hurricane Center also is monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic. It's moving west at 11 mph. Forecasters urge all residents to keep an eye on the tropics and to always be prepared. The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. A tropical wave is a system of low pressure that moves westward across the tropics. Waves can lead to the formation of tropical cyclones, under the right conditions, according to the National Weather Service. The majority of tropical cyclones develop out of tropical waves, which also are called easterly waves, according to NOAA. AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said 85% of all tropical storms can trace their origins to tropical waves. "If a tropical wave survives its journey westward, it will find increasingly warm waters and moist air as it approaches the Lesser Antilles, a group of islands in the Caribbean Sea," AccuWeather said. Historically, named storms that develop in June pop up off the southeastern coast of the U.S. and the Gulf of America, according to data from NOAA and the National Weather Service. By August, storms usually develop in the Atlantic or as they emerge as tropical waves off the coast of Africa. AccuWeather meteorologists said while the area off the southeastern coast of the U.S. has a low risk for development, heavy rain, rip currents and rough surf are all possible from mid- to late week. Another area being watched for potential tropical development between June 8 and June 13 is the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf of America. Over the next week to 10 days, moist and dry air will alternate over the Caribbean and as far north as Florida waters in the Gulf and Atlantic, according to AccuWeather. Saharan dust is expected to move into Florida by mid week, with some areas noticing hazy skies as early as June 3. It's expected to hang around into Saturday. ➤ 'Wall of dust': See impacts of Saharan dust, smoke from Canadian wildfires in Florida The next few days will bring multiple rounds of heavy rainfall and the potential for localized flooding, the National Weather Service Miami posted on X. One to 3 inches of rain is likely across most of South Florida June 3, with localized amounts around 6 inches. A flood watch has been issued for Broward, Collier, Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. Just over 4 inches of rain was recorded over the past 24 hours, the National Weather Service Miami reported at 7 a.m. ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Along Florida's west coast and Southwest Florida, up to 5 inches of rain is possible in some locations, according to the National Weather Service Tampa Bay. The National Weather Service Melbourne warned residents of Central and east Florida while rain won't be continuous June 3, it will be heavy at times and lead to localized flooding. In Florida's Panhandle, localized heavy downpours are possible through Wednesday, June 4, along with gusty winds up to 40 mph. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: NHC tracking system off Florida. See chances for tropical development

National Hurricane Center's 1st advisory of 2025 season should be wake-up call. Here's what to do
National Hurricane Center's 1st advisory of 2025 season should be wake-up call. Here's what to do

Yahoo

time18-03-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center's 1st advisory of 2025 season should be wake-up call. Here's what to do

The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Monday, March 17, just in time for St. Patrick's Day. It wasn't a joke, and while the non-tropical area of low pressure well off Florida's coast didn't bring any subsequent advisories, it should be a wake-up call for all residents in Florida: Now is the time to prepare for the season. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Tropical storms and hurricanes do occur outside "the season." Here's what's happening today, along with a few suggestions on what you can do now to get ready for what's ahead. No. But shortly before 1 p.m. Monday, March 17, the National Hurricane Center issued an advisory about a "non-tropical area of low pressure" located about 700 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The system was not expected to develop as it moved northwest into an area of dry air and upper-level winds Monday and Tuesday. Both conditions inhibit tropical development. Formation chance when the advisory was issued was low, at 10 percent. No additional advisories have been issued and the National Hurricane Center said Monday no further outlooks were scheduled unless conditions warrant. The hatched area on the tropical outlook map indicated "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop with yellow being low, orange medium and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until a there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. Daily "tropical outlooks" will begin on May 15. The exception, like what happened March 17, is if a system showing some potential for development pops up — even if chances are low. Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. ➤ New to Florida and hurricanes? Here's what you should know as hurricane season approaches The Florida Department of Emergency Management offered these suggestions to get you started: Make a plan: Make a plan that is specific to the needs of your household, including children, pets and seniors. Know your zone: Is your home in an evacuation zone or flood-prone area? Go to Know Your Zone and enter your address to find out and learn the differences between various evacuation zones. Zone A is the most vulnerable and the most likely to be asked to evacuate first. ➤ Do you know if you live in a Florida evacuation zone? Here's how to find out Know your home: How strong is your home? Do you live in a manufactured home? Is your home able to withstand strong winds and heavy rain? Generally, homes built after 2002 include features that make them more resilient to hurricanes. There are also improvements you can make to your home now to strengthen it against future storms. Make needed repairs to your home now, including to the roof, windows and gutters Cut down dead trees or limbs. Check your shutters. If you need new plywood, start gathering and Have multiple ways to receive weather alerts: You'll want to stay informed at all times so have multiple ways to receive weather alerts. Officials encourage every household to have a battery-operated or hand-crank weather radio to receive alerts from the National Weather Service in the event of power outages or damaged cell towers. Sign up now for local emergency alerts at Sign up to get weather alerts via text from USA Today Network-Florida Restock your disaster supply kit: A disaster supply kit is essential. Make sure there is enough food, water and medicine to last each member of a household (including pets) for at least seven days. For a checklist of recommended supplies, visit Since 2003, there have been 15 tropical cyclones that have formed before June 1. Eleven of those storms formed in May. There have even been occasions when a tropical cyclone has formed in January. Here's a look back at a few of them: Jan. 16-17, 2023: Unnamed subtropical storm. May 22-23, 2021: Tropical Storm Ana. May 16-19, 2020: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 27-28, 2020: Tropical Storm Bertha. May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea. May 25-31, 2018: Tropical Storm Alberto. April 19-21, 2017: Tropical Storm Arlene. Jan. 12-15, 2016: Hurricane Alex May 27-June 4, 2016: Tropical Storm Bonnie May 8-11, 2015: Tropical Storm Ana. May 19-22, 2012: Tropical Storm Alberto. May 26-30, 2012: Tropical Storm Beryl. May 31-June 1, 2008: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea. April 20-24, 2003: Tropical Storm Ana. Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea: AN-dree uh Barry: BAIR-ree Chantal: shahn-TAHL Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Trump's order. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. We will start our daily tropical weather coverage on May 15. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: NHC issues first advisory of 2025 hurricane season. How to prepare

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