RedBud Motocross betting, predictions, lines: Chase Sexton return makes Eli Tomac's odds compelling
Last week at The Wick 338 in Southwick, Massachusetts, Jett Lawrence made two statement rides, easily outperforming the field in both motos. The most likely outcome of that domination would have been that Jett's odds at RedBud would have lengthened, but with Sexton's return and the increased competition, he became slightly more attractive, moving from -380 to minus -307. Wagering $300 for the chance to win $100 is still a risky proposition, but betting odds often provide a unique perspective on the relative strength of the field.
Sexton's return also impacted Eli Tomac's odds, making him an attractive bet both in reference to the outright win and to score a podium. Tomac has averaged an opening line of about 5/2 during the past four Nationals, but the traders at Alt Sports Data, the official linemaker for the SuperMotocross Championship, are showing very little faith in the veteran. His outright win odds moved substantially from +242 last week to +833 for RedBud. Tomac also sports positive odds for a podium at +127.
While the increased line has as much to do with the traders' opinion that Jett is virtually unbeatable, Tomac fell from being the third-most attractive rider in their eyes to his being fourth.
Alt Sports is not quite willing to place Sexton in the second slot this week. That honor goes to Hunter Lawrence (+451), who finished second in both Southwick motos. His steady performance during the past several weeks has awakened the traders to his potential as Hunter had nearly 400 points shaved from his line compared to Southwick's +841.
The surprise of the week may well be Sexton landing third on the chart. His odds of +590 provide a lot of upside if Jett makes a mistake and Sexton is truly prepared for his return. After Jett's departure from the lineup last year before the RedBud Nationals, Sexton swept the season and won the Motocross championship. His prospectus against a healthy Jett is not as promising, however, and he finished behind him in every race they have contested with the sole exception of Jett's crash last year at Hangtown.
Aaron Plessinger (+1888) is fifth on the chart this week despite failing to score an overall top-five at Southwick. That sandy track did not suit his riding style and he struggled, but that will increase his desire to rebound during the weekend when his teammate, Sexton, returns to the lineup. Few expect Plessinger to win, but with a line of +213 to podium, a modest wager could be made.
Another podium bet worth considering is for Jorge Prado (+13414 for outright win) who had a raw opening line of +1786 to stand somewhere on the box. Prado earned his first overall top-five last week at The Wick but he contended for podiums in both races.
Justin Cooper (+2733) narrowly kept his top-five streak alive last week. He is the only other rider under 100/1 for the outright win. Bettors who favor a deep strategy might wish to place a modest wager on him.
Opening Odds, Outright Overall Win
Jett Lawrence, -307
Hunter Lawrence, +451
Chase Sexton, +590
Eli Tomac, +833
Aaron Plessinger, +1888
Justin Cooper, +2733
Cooper Webb, +12246
Jason Anderson, +12246
RJ Hampshire, +12246
Justin Barcia, +13414
Malcolm Stewart, +13414
Jorge Prado, +13414
Joey Savatgy, +13414
Lorenzo Locurcio, +14393
Harri Kullas, +14393
Valentin Guillod, +14393
Benoit Paturel, +14393
Mitchell Harrison, +15285
Derek Drake, +15525
Grant Harlan, +15525
Romain Pape, +15525
Colt Nichols, +15525
Derek Kelley, +15525
Coty Schock, +15525
Opening Odds, Overall Podium
Jett Lawrence, -2400
Hunter Lawrence, -163
Chase Sexton, -108
Eli Tomac, +127
Aaron Plessinger, +213
Justin Cooper, +300
RJ Hampshire, +487
Cooper Webb, +569
Jason Anderson, +698
Justin Barcia, +1190
Jorge Prado, +1786
Joey Savatgy, +3446
Malcolm Stewart, +4240
Benoit Paturel, +4240
Harri Kullas, +4240
Coty Schock, +4240
Valentin Guillod, +4240
Grant Harlan, +4240
Colt Nichols, +4240
Lorenzo Locurcio, +4240
Mitchell Harrison, +4240
Romain Pape, +4240
Derek Kelley, +4240
Derek Drake, +4240
More SuperMotocross News
Chase Sexton set to return at RedBud
Southwick 450 results | 250 results
Motocross community mourns the death of Aidan Zingg
Jett Lawrence sweeps Southwick for fifth win of 2025
Haiden Deegan earns truly perfect round at Southwick
Jett Lawrence runs away from field in Southwick Moto 1
Haiden Deegan wins Southwick Moto 1 by 25 seconds
Justin Barcia to return from knee injury in Southwick
Drew Adams sidelined with broken finger
Jo Shimoda highlights Japanese MXoN team
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
NBC Sports
3 hours ago
- NBC Sports
Tigers at Nationals Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 3
Its Thursday, July 3 and the Tigers (54-33) are in Washington for the series finale against the Nationals (36-50). Dietrich Enns is slated to take the mound for Detroit against Jake Irvin for Washington. These teams split a doubleheader Wednesday. The Tigers took the opener, 11-2. Riley Greene homered twice and drove in six to pace the attack for Detroit. Washington returned the favor in the nightcap scoring six in the eighth to win Game 2 of the series, 9-4. Nathaniel Lowe drove in four runs with a couple of hits to propel the Nats to their 36th win of the season. Lets dive into the series finale and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Tigers at Nationals Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025 Time: 6:45PM EST Site: Nationals Park City: Washington, DC Network/Streaming: FDSNDT, MASN Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Tigers at the Nationals The latest odds as of Thursday: Moneyline: Tigers (-161), Nationals (+135) Spread: Tigers -1.5 Total: 9.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Tigers at Nationals Pitching matchup for July 3, 2025: Dietrich Enns vs. Jake Irvin Tigers: Dietrich Enns (1-0, 0.00 ERA) Last outing: 6/26 vs. Athletics - 5IP, 0ER, 1H, 2BB, 4KsNationals: Jake Irvin (6-3, 4.73 ERA) Last outing: 6/27 at Angels - 4.1IP, 8ER, 9H, 4BB, 5Ks Tigers: Dietrich Enns (1-0, 0.00 ERA) Last outing: 6/26 vs. Athletics - 5IP, 0ER, 1H, 2BB, 4Ks Nationals: Jake Irvin (6-3, 4.73 ERA) Last outing: 6/27 at Angels - 4.1IP, 8ER, 9H, 4BB, 5Ks Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Tigers at Nationals The Tigers have won 5 of their last 7 at National League teams The Nationals' last 5 games have gone over the Total Riley Greene is 6-16 in his last 4 games Gleyber Torres was 1-8 in the doubleheader Wednesday If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Expert picks & predictions for today's game between the Tigers and the Nationals Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Tigers and the Nationals: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Detroit Tigers on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Washington Nationals at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 9.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
New York Times
3 hours ago
- New York Times
The Nationals declared their rebuild over. Then they stumbled toward last place
As spring training began, Nationals manager Dave Martinez declared his organization's elongated rebuild complete. In the five-plus seasons since Washington won the World Series in 2019, the organization hasn't even sniffed .500. Their 323-469 record post-championship tells the story of a one-time perennial contender whose top stars migrated out, be it for more lucrative contracts, retirement or because they were traded. Advertisement What was left over was less tangible: the promise of a rebuild via the acquisition of young, controllable talent. What was built once in the nation's capital, they hoped, could quickly be rebuilt. And that takes us back to Feb. 18 — the first day of full-squad workouts in West Palm Beach, Florida. Martinez, entering his eighth season as skipper in the District, made clear his belief that they were ready to fulfill that promise. 'I hear a lot about how our core guys are going to be really good. That they're coming,' Martinez said. 'And I really don't want to hear that anymore. I told them today, 'We're here. These are the core guys. … It's time to go out there and perform.' Three months in, his words seem hollow. After splitting a doubleheader Wednesday, the 36-50 Nationals are on pace to finish with fewer wins than the 71 they collected in each of the previous two seasons. Asked to explain the gulf between his expectations and his team's reality, Martinez could only muster a string of cliches. 'We've been in almost every game, we really have,' he said on Saturday from his office before a game against the Angels. 'We're going to put one foot forward every day. These guys don't quit. They play hard every day. It's 26 guys out there pulling on the same rope. They get after it. We've fallen short in some games, and we play hard.' It's an answer that speaks to what is seemingly a larger issue: Things are going poorly, and the organization — led by the second-longest tenured manager-GM duo in baseball — has not presented a clear explanation why, or a way out of the malaise. On-field, some of those reasons seem obvious. Their 5.84 bullpen ERA is the worst in the sport. They only have three above-replacement everyday hitters in their lineup. And the starting rotation, outside of ace MacKenzie Gore, has minimal swing-and-miss potential. Advertisement Their identity was rooted in speed last season. But this year, Nationals baserunners are on pace for roughly 140 steals, compared to a league-leading 223 last year. All while getting thrown out at a higher clip. Those are things anyone can identify from reading box scores or stat pages. What's at the root of these problems, however, is the real issue. And that's one that the team and its leadership don't seem fully prepared to address. 'I think we've been playing pretty good baseball. We beat good teams,' said Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams. 'We've shown what we can do; it's just whether or not we're going to keep going. We've got to keep our heads down, stay where our feet are and keep playing good baseball.' Responsibility, ultimately, does not lie solely with the players. As The Athletic's Ken Rosenthal noted in May, the Nationals have many of the hallmarks of a stagnant organization, with leaders in safe jobs, reporting to an ownership group that is famously hands-off. On Monday, The Washington Post reported that the team doesn't invest in the same high-tech robotic pitching trainer as virtually everyone else. Player development has become a growing concern, as is scouting. These factors make completing a rebuild far more challenging and have left an incomplete team relying on a few standout players. Abrams is one of those players, a core part of Washington's rebuild, and his .842 OPS to go along with 17 stolen bases means he's living up to his end of the bargain. But, despite his assertion, the Nationals have not been playing good baseball. At the time of his comments, they'd won just 4 of 19 games, which started with an 11-game losing streak. Washington sits in last place in the National League East, 14.5 games back of the first-place Phillies and 10 games back of a playoff spot, with seven teams still to jump. Yet in the clubhouse, the players keep their heads down and hope; what else can they do? 'I don't think we're too far off,' said veteran first baseman Josh Bell. 'You look at wild-card teams in the hunt right now, and I don't think they're better teams than we are. They just have played better.' Advertisement Bell was a part of the blockbuster trade that sent would-be franchise player Juan Soto to the Padres in 2022. In that sense, Bell's perspective is unlike anyone else's in the organization. He was dealt as part of the rebuild and returned nearly three years later, hoping to see the fruits of his departure. Their clubhouse is filled with players who should be foundational building blocks, acquired by longtime president of baseball operations Mike Rizzo. That includes Dylan Crews, the No. 2 overall pick in 2023, and Keibert Ruiz, a catcher acquired in the Max Scherzer trade to be their backstop of the future. Then there's outfielder James Wood — already one of the top players in baseball at just 22 years old. It's that talent that gives Bell the belief that they can make a miracle comeback in the 2025 season. But even if they don't, he said, something special could happen in D.C. over the next three to five years. The Nationals fanbase wants to believe that, too. Like Bell, they see the talent. Just not the evidence to back up the rosy outlook. 'I think that's part of the fan experience. Wanting more from your team,' Bell said. 'Even being with the Diamondbacks last year — a team that had come so close to winning it all — there was still the same atmosphere. Panic in the fanbase. But you're right where you want to be.' But are they? FanGraphs gave the Nationals just a 2.9 percent chance of making the playoffs before this season started. Despite what Martinez said in February, it's not as though they are vastly underperforming expectations as a whole. What makes their record more concerning is the context of how they arrived at it. Abrams, Gore and Wood are All-Star caliber right now. And it's in spite of those great players — all returns in the aforementioned Soto trade — that they sit beyond the outskirts of contention before the All-Star break. 'It's been fun to watch in spurts. And once we're consistent, I think that's where it's really gonna turn,' said starter Jake Irvin. Advertisement As for why they haven't been consistent, Irvin was at more of a loss. 'That's harder to answer when you're in it. Sometimes you run into a good arm, just different baseball things. We have the pieces here, but we haven't all played together for a while. It's getting to learn each other's games.' When the Nationals went on their World Series run six years ago, they did so only after coming back from the dead. They famously started that season 19-31 — 10 games back of the division, and 8.5 out of the wild card. That team kept believing, kept playing, and ultimately made the postseason. That team, however, is not this team. That group had Soto, Trea Turner and a healthy Anthony Rendon in the lineup, with Scherzer, Patrick Corbin and Stephen Strasburg in the rotation. That group had the credibility of four postseasons in the prior seven years as evidence that they could turn things around. This Nationals team has none of that. And now, it has to grapple with the hope of a rebuild ending, against the reality that it might just not be working at all. 'I think we can be better,' Martinez said, I really do.' (Top photo of Martinez: Greg Fiume / Getty Images)
Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Yahoo
Nationals square off against the Tigers with series tied 1-1
Detroit Tigers (54-33, first in the AL Central) vs. Washington Nationals (36-50, fifth in the NL East) Washington; Thursday, 6:45 p.m. EDT PITCHING PROBABLES: Tigers: Dietrich Enns (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, four strikeouts); Nationals: Jake Irvin (6-3, 4.73 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 71 strikeouts) Advertisement BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Tigers -162, Nationals +135; over/under is 9 1/2 runs BOTTOM LINE: The Washington Nationals and Detroit Tigers meet on Thursday with the winner claiming the three-game series. Washington is 36-50 overall and 17-25 at home. The Nationals are ninth in the NL with 85 total home runs, averaging 1.0 per game. Detroit has a 24-19 record in road games and a 54-33 record overall. The Tigers are 39-4 in games when they have more hits than their opponents. The matchup Thursday is the third time these teams match up this season. TOP PERFORMERS: James Wood has 19 doubles and 22 home runs for the Nationals. C.J. Abrams is 15 for 46 with three doubles, a triple and two home runs over the last 10 games. Advertisement Riley Greene has 21 doubles and 21 home runs while hitting .296 for the Tigers. Kerry Carpenter is 7 for 30 with a double, a triple and three home runs over the last 10 games. LAST 10 GAMES: Nationals: 5-5, .287 batting average, 6.24 ERA, outscored by one run Tigers: 6-4, .297 batting average, 3.48 ERA, outscored opponents by 22 runs INJURIES: Nationals: Keibert Ruiz: 7-Day IL (head), Andrew Chafin: 15-Day IL (hamstring), Dylan Crews: 10-Day IL (back), Orlando Ribalta: 15-Day IL (biceps), Derek Law: 15-Day IL (forearm), DJ Herz: 60-Day IL (elbow), Mason Thompson: 60-Day IL (elbow), Josiah Gray: 60-Day IL (elbow) Advertisement Tigers: Sawyer Gipson-Long: 15-Day IL (neck), Kerry Carpenter: 10-Day IL (hamstring), Jackson Jobe: 60-Day IL (flexor), Jason Foley: 60-Day IL (shoulder), Alex Cobb: 60-Day IL (hip), Reese Olson: 15-Day IL (finger), Ty Madden: 60-Day IL (shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 60-Day IL (elbow), Alex Lange: 60-Day IL (lat) ___ The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
