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New US-Vietnam deal risks retaliation from China over Trump tariffs
Under the deal, a 20 per cent tariff will be placed on Vietnamese exports to the US, with a 40 per cent levy on any goods deemed to be transshipped — a measure likely directed at China which has used other nations to skirt US import duties.
While the US levy on Vietnam is lower than the 46 per cent initially imposed by President Donald Trump in April, it's double the 10 per cent universal base rate being applied while negotiations are taking place. As a result, risks are still tilted to the downside for Vietnam, Bloomberg's Rana Sajedi wrote in a research note.
Sajedi estimates that under the agreement, Vietnam could lose 25 per cent of its exports to the US in the medium term, putting more than 2 per cent of its annual economic output at risk.
'This deal also does not seem to provide any guide for addressing concerns about sectoral tariffs, which are central to negotiations for many major trading partners, including Japan, South Korea and the EU,' Sajedi added.
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